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Interest Rates: upcoming dates · Chronopin

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Interest Rates: upcoming dates

Upcoming dates: 11 · All pins: 66

Next: Poland's Rate Council Decides on the 3.75% Reference Rate, October 7, 2026.

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Upcoming

Economy10/03/2026@EconDesk
Poland's Rate Council Decides on the 3.75% Reference Rate
National Bank of Poland
Starts 10/07/2026SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins70% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 70%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 3 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins from 50% to 74% confidencein 1 dayPAP^[1] on the NBP's 2026 schedule of Monetary Policy Council meetings; Bankier^[2] reports the October meeting on 6-7 October and Glapiński's press conference on Thursday 8 October at 15:00 Warsaw time. The hour of the statement is not stated.
Kalshi
The National Bank of Poland's Monetary Policy Council meets on 6-7 October 2026 and announces its rate decision on the 7th, with the reference rate at 3.75% after a cut in March and September inflation at 4.0%. Governor Glapiński's press conference follows on 8 October.

Related tags

Economy185
Kalshi217
Prediction Market247
Federal Reserve74
FOMC65
Monetary Policy64
Polymarket107
Finance449

Companies

Federal Reserve61
Federal Reserve System

Economy09/19/2026@EconDesk

Fed Decides Whether to Hike Rates Again at October 2026 FOMC Meeting

Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, 20th St & Constitution Ave NW, Washington, DC

Federal Reserve

Fed Decides Whether to Hike Rates Again at October 2026 FOMC Meeting

Fed Decides Whether to Hike Rates Again at October 2026 FOMC Meeting

Fed Decides Whether to Hike Rates Again at October 2026 FOMC Meeting

Starts 10/28/2026 6:00PM UTCSCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins78% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 78%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 7 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or betterin 22 daysThe Federal Reserve's^[2][5] published 2026 FOMC calendar lists the October 27-28 meeting, and the policy statement is released at 2:00 p.m. ET on the second day; Kalshi's^[1] market strikes on October 28, 2026 at 18:00 UTC.

Kalshi

The Federal Open Market Committee announces its October 2026 rate decision at 2:00 p.m. ET on October 28, six weeks after raising the federal funds target range a quarter point to 3.75%-4.00% on September 16, its first hike since 2023. On 19 September 2026 Kalshi traders were split between holding the rate and a second 25bp hike, with cuts priced near zero.

1

Economy09/20/2026@EconDesk

Fed Sets Rates at the December 2026 FOMC Meeting

Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, 20th St & Constitution Ave NW, Washington, DC

Federal Reserve

Fed Sets Rates at the December 2026 FOMC Meeting

Fed Sets Rates at the December 2026 FOMC Meeting

Fed Sets Rates at the December 2026 FOMC Meeting

Starts 12/09/2026 7:00PM UTCSCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins78% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 78%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or betterin 64 daysThe Federal Reserve’s^[2] published 2026 FOMC calendar lists the December 8–9 meeting, and the statement is released at 2:00 p.m. ET on the second day; Kalshi’s^[1][4] market expires December 9, 2026 at 19:05 UTC and closes at 18:59 UTC, minutes before the announcement.

Kalshi

Polymarket

The Federal Open Market Committee announces its final 2026 rate decision at 2:00 p.m. ET on December 9, the last of the year’s eight scheduled meetings. On 20 September 2026 Kalshi had a second consecutive quarter-point hike as the favourite at 67%, with a hold at 31% and cuts priced near zero; Polymarket agreed almost to the point.

0

Economy09/21/2026@EconDesk

The Fed Sets Rates at the January 2027 Meeting

Eccles Building, Washington, D.C., United StatesFederal Reserve System

The Fed Sets Rates at the January 2027 Meeting

Starts 01/27/2027 7:00PM UTCSCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins85% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 85%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 2 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or betterin 113 daysThe Federal Reserve's^[2] published FOMC calendar lists the meeting as "January 26-27" 2027, and Kalshi's^[1] market for it strikes at the decision time on the second day. The Fed adds that "Each meeting date is tentative until confirmed at the meeting immediately preceding it".

Kalshi

The FOMC announces its rate decision on the second day of its January 26-27 2027 meeting. On 21 September 2026 Kalshi last traded Fed maintains rate 61%, Hike 25bps 25%, Cut 25bps 8%.

1

Economy09/21/2026@EconDesk

The Fed Sets Rates at the March 2027 Meeting

Eccles Building, Washington, D.C., United StatesFederal Reserve System

The Fed Sets Rates at the March 2027 Meeting

Starts 03/17/2027 6:00PM UTCSCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins85% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 85%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 2 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or betterin 162 daysThe Federal Reserve's^[2] published FOMC calendar lists the meeting as "March 16-17" 2027, and Kalshi's^[1] market for it strikes at the decision time on the second day. The Fed adds that "Each meeting date is tentative until confirmed at the meeting immediately preceding it".

Kalshi

The FOMC announces its rate decision on the second day of its March 16-17 2027 meeting. The meeting is one of the four in 2027 that comes with a Summary of Economic Projections - the "dot plot" - and a press conference. On 21 September 2026 Kalshi last traded Fed maintains rate 67%, Hike 25bps 27%, Cut 25bps 10%.

0

Economy09/21/2026@EconDesk

The Fed Sets Rates at the April 2027 Meeting

Eccles Building, Washington, D.C., United StatesFederal Reserve System

The Fed Sets Rates at the April 2027 Meeting

Starts 04/28/2027 6:00PM UTCSCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins85% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 85%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 2 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or betterin 204 daysThe Federal Reserve's^[2] published FOMC calendar lists the meeting as "April 27-28" 2027, and Kalshi's^[1] market for it strikes at the decision time on the second day. The Fed adds that "Each meeting date is tentative until confirmed at the meeting immediately preceding it".

Kalshi

The FOMC announces its rate decision on the second day of its April 27-28 2027 meeting. On 21 September 2026 Kalshi last traded Fed maintains rate 63%, Cut 25bps 11%, Hike 25bps 8%.

1

Economy09/21/2026@EconDesk

The Fed Sets Rates at the June 2027 Meeting

Eccles Building, Washington, D.C., United StatesFederal Reserve System

The Fed Sets Rates at the June 2027 Meeting

Starts 06/09/2027 6:00PM UTCSCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins85% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 85%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 2 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or betterin 246 daysThe Federal Reserve's^[2] published FOMC calendar lists the meeting as "June 8-9" 2027, and Kalshi's^[1] market for it strikes at the decision time on the second day. The Fed adds that "Each meeting date is tentative until confirmed at the meeting immediately preceding it".

Kalshi

The FOMC announces its rate decision on the second day of its June 8-9 2027 meeting. The meeting is one of the four in 2027 that comes with a Summary of Economic Projections - the "dot plot" - and a press conference. On 21 September 2026 Kalshi last traded Fed maintains rate 59%, Cut >25bps 28%, Hike 25bps 20%.

0

Economy09/21/2026@EconDesk

The Fed Sets Rates at the July 2027 Meeting

Eccles Building, Washington, D.C., United StatesFederal Reserve System

The Fed Sets Rates at the July 2027 Meeting

Starts 07/28/2027 6:00PM UTCSCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins85% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 85%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 2 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or betterin 295 daysThe Federal Reserve's^[2] published FOMC calendar lists the meeting as "July 27-28" 2027, and Kalshi's^[1] market for it strikes at the decision time on the second day. The Fed adds that "Each meeting date is tentative until confirmed at the meeting immediately preceding it".

Kalshi

The FOMC announces its rate decision on the second day of its July 27-28 2027 meeting. On 21 September 2026 Kalshi last traded Fed maintains rate 76%, Hike 25bps 17%, Hike >25bps 10%.

0

Economy09/21/2026@EconDesk

The Fed Sets Rates at the September 2027 Meeting

Eccles Building, Washington, D.C., United StatesFederal Reserve System

The Fed Sets Rates at the September 2027 Meeting

Starts 09/15/2027 6:00PM UTCSCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins85% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 85%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 2 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or betterin 344 daysThe Federal Reserve's^[2] published FOMC calendar lists the meeting as "September 14-15" 2027, and Kalshi's^[1] market for it strikes at the decision time on the second day. The Fed adds that "Each meeting date is tentative until confirmed at the meeting immediately preceding it".

Kalshi

The FOMC announces its rate decision on the second day of its September 14-15 2027 meeting. The meeting is one of the four in 2027 that comes with a Summary of Economic Projections - the "dot plot" - and a press conference. On 21 September 2026 Kalshi last traded Fed maintains rate 59%, Hike 25bps 20%, Cut 25bps 6%.

0

Economy09/21/2026@EconDesk

The Fed Sets Rates at the October 2027 Meeting

Eccles Building, Washington, D.C., United StatesFederal Reserve System

The Fed Sets Rates at the October 2027 Meeting

Starts 10/27/2027 6:00PM UTCSCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins85% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 85%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 2 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or betterin 1.1 yearsThe Federal Reserve's^[2] published FOMC calendar lists the meeting as "October 26-27" 2027, and Kalshi's^[1] market for it strikes at the decision time on the second day. The Fed adds that "Each meeting date is tentative until confirmed at the meeting immediately preceding it".

Kalshi

The FOMC announces its rate decision on the second day of its October 26-27 2027 meeting. On 21 September 2026 Kalshi last traded Fed maintains rate 54%, Hike 25bps 46%, Cut 25bps 7%.

0

Economy09/21/2026@EconDesk

The Fed Sets Rates at the December 2027 Meeting

Eccles Building, Washington, D.C., United StatesFederal Reserve System

The Fed Sets Rates at the December 2027 Meeting

Starts 12/08/2027 7:00PM UTCSCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins85% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 85%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 2 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or betterin 1.2 yearsThe Federal Reserve's^[2] published FOMC calendar lists the meeting as "December 7-8" 2027, and Kalshi's^[1] market for it strikes at the decision time on the second day. The Fed adds that "Each meeting date is tentative until confirmed at the meeting immediately preceding it".

Kalshi

The FOMC announces its rate decision on the second day of its December 7-8 2027 meeting. The meeting is one of the four in 2027 that comes with a Summary of Economic Projections - the "dot plot" - and a press conference. On 21 September 2026 Kalshi last traded Fed maintains rate 73%, Cut 25bps 13%, Hike 25bps 6%.

2

Recent

Economy10/01/2026@EconDesk
Fed Raises Rates a Quarter Point to 3.75%-4.00% at the September 2026 FOMC Meeting
Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, 20th St & Constitution Ave NW, Washington, DCFederal Reserve
Starts 09/16/2026 6:00PM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins87% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 87%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better20 days agoThe Federal Reserve's^[1][2][3] statement is dated 16 September 2026 and marked for release at 2:00 p.m. ET, matching the 15-16 September meeting on its calendar and the strike times of the Kalshi^[4] and Polymarket^[5] decision markets.
Kalshi
Polymarket
The FOMC voted 12-0 on 16 September 2026 to raise the federal funds target range by 1/4 percentage point to 3-3/4 to 4 percent, and its projections now point to a higher year-end rate.
Economy10/01/2026@EconDesk
Fed Holds Rates at the July 2026 FOMC Meeting With Three Dissents in Favour of a Hike
Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, 20th St & Constitution Ave NW, Washington, DCFederal Reserve
Starts 07/29/2026 6:00PM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins87% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 87%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better69 days agoThe Federal Reserve's^[1][2][3] statement is dated 29 July 2026 and marked for release at 2:00 p.m. ET, matching the 28-29 July meeting on its calendar and the strike times of the Kalshi^[4] and Polymarket^[5] decision markets.
Kalshi
Polymarket
The FOMC kept the target range at 3-1/2 to 3-3/4 percent on 29 July 2026 by a 9-3 vote, with Beth Hammack, Neel Kashkari and Lorie Logan preferring a quarter-point increase.
Economy10/01/2026@EconDesk
Fed Holds Rates at the June 2026 FOMC Meeting Under Chair Warsh and Removes the Easing Bias
Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, 20th St & Constitution Ave NW, Washington, DCFederal Reserve
Starts 06/17/2026 6:00PM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins88% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 88%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 6 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better111 days agoThe Federal Reserve's^[1][2][3][4] statement is dated 17 June 2026 and marked for release at 2:00 p.m. ET, matching the 16-17 June meeting on its calendar and the strike times of the Kalshi^[5] and Polymarket^[6] decision markets.
Kalshi
Polymarket
At the first meeting led by Kevin Warsh, the FOMC voted 12-0 on 17 June 2026 to keep the target range at 3-1/2 to 3-3/4 percent, and its projections moved from cuts to a hike by year-end.
Economy10/01/2026@EconDesk
Fed Holds Rates at the April 2026 FOMC Meeting in an 8-4 Vote With Four Dissents
Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, 20th St & Constitution Ave NW, Washington, DCFederal Reserve
Starts 04/29/2026 6:00PM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins87% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 87%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better160 days agoThe Federal Reserve's^[1][2][3] statement is dated 29 April 2026 and marked for release at 2:00 p.m. ET, matching the 28-29 April meeting on its calendar and the strike times of the Kalshi^[4] and Polymarket^[5] decision markets.
Kalshi
Polymarket
The FOMC held the federal funds target range at 3-1/2 to 3-3/4 percent on 29 April 2026, its most divided vote of the year: Stephen Miran wanted a cut, and three presidents objected to the statement's easing bias.
Economy10/01/2026@EconDesk
Fed Holds Rates at 3.50%-3.75% at the March 2026 FOMC Meeting and Flags Middle East Uncertainty
Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, 20th St & Constitution Ave NW, Washington, DCFederal Reserve
Starts 03/18/2026 6:00PM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins87% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 87%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better202 days agoThe Federal Reserve's^[1][2][3] statement is dated 18 March 2026 and marked for release at 2:00 p.m. ET, matching the 17-18 March meeting on its calendar and the strike times of the Kalshi^[4] and Polymarket^[5] decision markets.
Kalshi
Polymarket
The FOMC held the federal funds target range at 3-1/2 to 3-3/4 percent on 18 March 2026 by an 11-1 vote, adding that developments in the Middle East made the outlook uncertain.
Economy10/01/2026@EconDesk
Fed Holds Rates at 3.50%-3.75% at the January 2026 FOMC Meeting With Two Dissents for a Cut
Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, 20th St & Constitution Ave NW, Washington, DCFederal Reserve
Starts 01/28/2026 7:00PM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins85% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 85%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better251 days agoThe Federal Reserve's^[1][2] statement is dated 28 January 2026 and marked for release at 2:00 p.m. ET, matching the 27-28 January meeting on its calendar and the strike times of the Kalshi^[3] and Polymarket^[4] decision markets.
Kalshi
Polymarket
The FOMC left the federal funds target range at 3-1/2 to 3-3/4 percent on 28 January 2026 by a 10-2 vote, with Stephen Miran and Christopher Waller preferring a quarter-point cut.
Economy10/01/2026@EconDesk
Fed Cuts Rates a Quarter Point to 3.50%-3.75% at the December 2025 FOMC Meeting With Three Dissents
Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, 20th St & Constitution Ave NW, Washington, DCFederal Reserve
Starts 12/10/2025 7:00PM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins87% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 87%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better300 days agoThe Federal Reserve's^[1][2][3] statement is dated 10 December 2025 and marked for release at 2:00 p.m. ET, matching the 9-10 December meeting on its calendar and the resolution date of the Kalshi^[4] and Polymarket^[5] decision markets.
Kalshi
Polymarket
The FOMC lowered the federal funds target range by 1/4 percentage point to 3-1/2 to 3-3/4 percent on 10 December 2025 by a 9-3 vote and began buying shorter-term Treasury securities to keep reserves ample.
Economy10/01/2026@EconDesk
Fed Cuts Rates a Quarter Point to 3.75%-4.00% at the October 2025 FOMC Meeting and Will End Balance Sheet Runoff
Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, 20th St & Constitution Ave NW, Washington, DCFederal Reserve
Starts 10/29/2025 6:00PM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins85% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 85%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better342 days agoThe Federal Reserve's^[1][2] statement is dated 29 October 2025 and marked for release at 2:00 p.m. ET, matching the 28-29 October meeting on its calendar and the resolution date of the Kalshi^[3] and Polymarket^[4] decision markets.
Kalshi
Polymarket
The FOMC lowered the federal funds target range by 1/4 percentage point to 3-3/4 to 4 percent on 29 October 2025 by a 10-2 vote and decided to end the reduction of its securities holdings on 1 December.
Economy10/01/2026@EconDesk
Fed Cuts Rates a Quarter Point to 4.00%-4.25% at the September 2025 FOMC Meeting
Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, 20th St & Constitution Ave NW, Washington, DCFederal Reserve
Starts 09/17/2025 6:00PM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins87% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 87%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better1.1 years agoThe Federal Reserve's^[1][2][3] statement is dated 17 September 2025 and marked for release at 2:00 p.m. ET, matching the 16-17 September meeting on its calendar and the resolution date of the Kalshi^[4] and Polymarket^[5] decision markets.
Kalshi
Polymarket
The FOMC lowered the federal funds target range by 1/4 percentage point to 4 to 4-1/4 percent on 17 September 2025 by an 11-1 vote, with Stephen Miran preferring a half-point cut.
Economy10/01/2026@EconDesk
Fed Holds Rates at 4.25%-4.50% at the July 2025 FOMC Meeting With Two Governors Dissenting for a Cut
Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, 20th St & Constitution Ave NW, Washington, DCFederal Reserve
Starts 07/30/2025 6:00PM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins85% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 85%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better1.2 years agoThe Federal Reserve's^[1][2] statement is dated 30 July 2025 and marked for release at 2:00 p.m. ET, matching the 29-30 July meeting on its calendar and the resolution date of the Kalshi^[3] and Polymarket^[4] decision markets.
Kalshi
Polymarket
The FOMC left the federal funds target range at 4-1/4 to 4-1/2 percent on 30 July 2025 by a 9-2 vote, with Michelle Bowman and Christopher Waller preferring a quarter-point cut.
Economy10/01/2026@EconDesk
Fed Holds Rates at 4.25%-4.50% at the June 2025 FOMC Meeting
Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, 20th St & Constitution Ave NW, Washington, DCFederal Reserve
Starts 06/18/2025 6:00PM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins87% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 87%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better1.3 years agoThe Federal Reserve's^[1][2][3] statement is dated 18 June 2025 and marked for release at 2:00 p.m. ET, matching the 17-18 June meeting on its calendar and the resolution date of the Kalshi^[4] and Polymarket^[5] decision markets.
Kalshi
Polymarket
The FOMC held the federal funds target range at 4-1/4 to 4-1/2 percent on 18 June 2025 by a unanimous vote, with projections still pointing to two cuts in 2025.
Economy10/01/2026@EconDesk
Fed Holds Rates at 4.25%-4.50% at the May 2025 FOMC Meeting With Net Exports Swinging the Data
Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, 20th St & Constitution Ave NW, Washington, DCFederal Reserve
Starts 05/07/2025 6:00PM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins85% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 85%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better1.4 years agoThe Federal Reserve's^[1][2] statement is dated 7 May 2025 and marked for release at 2:00 p.m. ET, matching the 6-7 May meeting on its calendar and the resolution date of the Kalshi^[3] and Polymarket^[4] decision markets.
Kalshi
Polymarket
The FOMC held the federal funds target range at 4-1/4 to 4-1/2 percent on 7 May 2025 by a unanimous vote, noting that swings in net exports had affected the data.
Economy10/01/2026@EconDesk
Fed Holds Rates at 4.25%-4.50% at the March 2025 FOMC Meeting and Slows Its Balance Sheet Runoff
Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, 20th St & Constitution Ave NW, Washington, DCFederal Reserve
Starts 03/19/2025 6:00PM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins87% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 87%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better1.5 years agoThe Federal Reserve's^[1][2][3] statement is dated 19 March 2025 and marked for release at 2:00 p.m. ET, matching the 18-19 March meeting on its calendar and the resolution date of the Kalshi^[4] and Polymarket^[5] decision markets.
Kalshi
Polymarket
The FOMC held the federal funds target range at 4-1/4 to 4-1/2 percent on 19 March 2025 and cut the Treasury redemption cap to $5 billion a month from April, with Christopher Waller dissenting.
Economy10/01/2026@EconDesk
Fed Holds Rates at 4.25%-4.50% at the January 2025 FOMC Meeting After Three Cuts
Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, 20th St & Constitution Ave NW, Washington, DCFederal Reserve
Starts 01/29/2025 7:00PM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins85% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 85%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better1.7 years agoThe Federal Reserve's^[1][2] statement is dated 29 January 2025 and marked for release at 2:00 p.m. ET, matching the 28-29 January meeting on its calendar and the resolution date of the Kalshi^[3] and Polymarket^[4] decision markets.
Kalshi
Polymarket
The FOMC left the federal funds target range at 4-1/4 to 4-1/2 percent on 29 January 2025, with all twelve voting members in favour.
Economy10/01/2026@EconDesk
Fed Cuts Rates a Quarter Point to 4.25%-4.50% at the December 2024 FOMC Meeting With One Dissent
Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, 20th St & Constitution Ave NW, Washington, DCFederal Reserve
Starts 12/18/2024 7:00PM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins87% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 87%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better1.8 years agoThe Federal Reserve's^[1][2][3] statement is dated 18 December 2024 and marked for release at 2:00 p.m. ET, matching the 17-18 December meeting on its calendar and the resolution date of the Kalshi^[4] and Polymarket^[5] decision markets.
Kalshi
Polymarket
The FOMC lowered the federal funds target range by 1/4 percentage point to 4-1/4 to 4-1/2 percent on 18 December 2024 by an 11-1 vote, with Beth Hammack preferring to hold.
Economy10/01/2026@EconDesk
Fed Cuts Rates a Quarter Point to 4.50%-4.75% at the November 2024 FOMC Meeting
Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, 20th St & Constitution Ave NW, Washington, DCFederal Reserve
Starts 11/07/2024 7:00PM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins85% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 85%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better1.9 years agoThe Federal Reserve's^[1][2] statement is dated 7 November 2024 and marked for release at 2:00 p.m. ET, matching the 6-7 November meeting on its calendar and the resolution date of the Kalshi^[3] and Polymarket^[4] decision markets.
Kalshi
Polymarket
The FOMC lowered the federal funds target range by 1/4 percentage point to 4-1/2 to 4-3/4 percent on 7 November 2024, with all twelve voting members in favour.
Economy10/01/2026@EconDesk
Fed Cuts Rates by Half a Point to 4.75%-5.00% at the September 2024 FOMC Meeting
Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, 20th St & Constitution Ave NW, Washington, DCFederal Reserve
Starts 09/18/2024 6:00PM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins87% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 87%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better2.1 years agoThe Federal Reserve's^[1][2][3] statement is dated 18 September 2024 and marked for release at 2:00 p.m. ET, matching the 17-18 September meeting on its calendar and the resolution date of the Kalshi^[4] and Polymarket^[5] decision markets.
Kalshi
Polymarket
The FOMC lowered the federal funds target range by 1/2 percentage point to 4-3/4 to 5 percent on 18 September 2024 by an 11-1 vote, with Michelle Bowman preferring a quarter-point cut.
Economy10/01/2026@EconDesk
Fed Holds Rates at 5.25%-5.50% at the July 2024 FOMC Meeting With Unemployment Edging Up
Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, 20th St & Constitution Ave NW, Washington, DCFederal Reserve
Starts 07/31/2024 6:00PM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins85% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 85%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better2.2 years agoThe Federal Reserve's^[1][2] statement is dated 31 July 2024 and marked for release at 2:00 p.m. ET, matching the 30-31 July meeting on its calendar and the resolution date of the Kalshi^[3] and Polymarket^[4] decision markets.
Kalshi
Polymarket
The FOMC held the federal funds target range at 5-1/4 to 5-1/2 percent on 31 July 2024 by a unanimous vote, with the unemployment rate having moved up.
Economy10/01/2026@EconDesk
Fed Holds Rates at 5.25%-5.50% at the June 2024 FOMC Meeting and Projects One Cut in 2024
Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, 20th St & Constitution Ave NW, Washington, DCFederal Reserve
Starts 06/12/2024 6:00PM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins87% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 87%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better2.3 years agoThe Federal Reserve's^[1][2][3] statement is dated 12 June 2024 and marked for release at 2:00 p.m. ET, matching the 11-12 June meeting on its calendar and the resolution date of the Kalshi^[4] and Polymarket^[5] decision markets.
Kalshi
Polymarket
The FOMC held the federal funds target range at 5-1/4 to 5-1/2 percent on 12 June 2024 by a unanimous vote, noting modest further progress on inflation.
Economy10/01/2026@EconDesk
Fed Holds Rates at 5.25%-5.50% at the May 2024 FOMC Meeting and Slows Its Balance Sheet Runoff
Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, 20th St & Constitution Ave NW, Washington, DCFederal Reserve
Starts 05/01/2024 6:00PM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins85% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 85%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better2.4 years agoThe Federal Reserve's^[1][2] statement is dated 1 May 2024 and marked for release at 2:00 p.m. ET, matching the 30 April-1 May May meeting on its calendar and the resolution date of the Kalshi^[3] and Polymarket^[4] decision markets.
Kalshi
Polymarket
The FOMC held the federal funds target range at 5-1/4 to 5-1/2 percent on 1 May 2024 and said it would slow the pace of decline of its securities holdings from June.
Economy10/01/2026@EconDesk
Fed Holds Rates at 5.25%-5.50% at the March 2024 FOMC Meeting
Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, 20th St & Constitution Ave NW, Washington, DCFederal Reserve
Starts 03/20/2024 6:00PM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins87% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 87%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better2.5 years agoThe Federal Reserve's^[1][2][3] statement is dated 20 March 2024 and marked for release at 2:00 p.m. ET, matching the 19-20 March meeting on its calendar and the resolution date of the Kalshi^[4] and Polymarket^[5] decision markets.
Kalshi
Polymarket
The FOMC held the federal funds target range at 5-1/4 to 5-1/2 percent on 20 March 2024 by a unanimous vote, and its projections pointed to a lower rate by year-end.
Economy10/01/2026@EconDesk
Fed Holds Rates at 5.25%-5.50% at the January 2024 FOMC Meeting
Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, 20th St & Constitution Ave NW, Washington, DCFederal Reserve
Starts 01/31/2024 7:00PM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins85% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 85%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better2.7 years agoThe Federal Reserve's^[1][2] statement is dated 31 January 2024 and marked for release at 2:00 p.m. ET, matching the 30-31 January meeting on its calendar and the resolution date of the Kalshi^[3] and Polymarket^[4] decision markets.
Kalshi
Polymarket
The FOMC left the federal funds target range at 5-1/4 to 5-1/2 percent on 31 January 2024, with all twelve voting members in favour.
Economy10/01/2026@EconDesk
Fed Holds Rates at 5.25%-5.50% at the December 2023 FOMC Meeting
Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, 20th St & Constitution Ave NW, Washington, DCFederal Reserve
Starts 12/13/2023 7:00PM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins87% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 87%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better2.8 years agoThe Federal Reserve's^[1][2][3] statement is dated 13 December 2023 and marked for release at 2:00 p.m. EST, matching the December 2023 meeting on its calendar.
Kalshi
Polymarket
The FOMC left the federal funds target range at 5.25%-5.50% on 13 December 2023, with every voting member in favour.
Economy10/01/2026@EconDesk
Fed Holds Rates at 5.25%-5.50% at the November 2023 FOMC Meeting
Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, 20th St & Constitution Ave NW, Washington, DCFederal Reserve
Starts 11/01/2023 6:00PM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins85% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 85%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better2.9 years agoThe Federal Reserve's^[1][2] statement is dated 1 November 2023 and marked for release at 2:00 p.m. EDT, matching the November 2023 meeting on its calendar.
Kalshi
Polymarket
The FOMC left the federal funds target range at 5.25%-5.50% on 1 November 2023, with every voting member in favour.

8