- Start
- Jan 28, 202690% CONFIDENCEfrom the source
Fed Holds Rates at 3.50%-3.75% at the January 2026 FOMC Meeting With Two Dissents for a Cut
- The Federal Open Market Committee decided on 28 January 2026 to maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 3-1/2 to 3-3/4 percent, with the statement released at 2:00 p.m. EST[1]
- It described economic activity as expanding at a solid pace, job gains as low with some signs the unemployment rate had stabilised, and inflation as somewhat elevated[1]
- Ten members voted for the action; Stephen Miran and Christopher Waller voted against, preferring to lower the range by 1/4 percentage point[1]
- Kalshi's decision market resolved to Fed maintains rate, and Polymarket's January decision market resolved to No change[3]
- Chair Jerome Powell held a press conference after the statement[2]
References 485% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 85%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
The first entry is always the pin's source. Overall confidence is a weighted average of how firmly each reference supports the start and end times used above; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newest.
- [1]90%federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20260128a.htmfederalreserve.gov· Posted Oct 1, 2026· Starts Jan 28, 2026 ✓· 25% of score
The Federal Reserve's[2] statement is dated 28 January 2026 and marked for release at 2:00 p.m. ET, matching the 27-28 January meeting on its calendar and the strike times of the Kalshi[3] and Polymarket[4] decision markets.
- [2]95%FOMC Meeting calendars and information - Federal Reserve Boardfederalreserve.gov· Added Oct 1, 2026· 25% of score
The Federal Reserve's[1] own calendar lists the January 27-28 2026 meeting and links its statement, implementation note and press conference.
- [3]80%Fed decision in January 2026? - Kalshikalshi.com· Added Oct 1, 2026· 25% of score
Kalshi's KXFEDDECISION market for the meeting strikes on 28 January 2026 and resolved to Fed maintains rate, with 36.0 million contracts traded across its five outcomes.
- [4]75%Fed decision in January? - Polymarketpolymarket.com· Added Oct 1, 2026· 25% of score
Polymarket's decision event for the meeting resolved to No change, with about $659 million traded, independently confirming the outcome.
Suggest a correction
Something missing or wrong? Say it in your own words: a link that backs this pin up, a different start or end date and why, or a fact it lacks or gets wrong. The AI checks it against this pin's sources, searches for better ones, and adds any page that backs you up. The pin's own sources still count most. A picture that shows something else, or shows it badly, is looked at too, and moved down or replaced.
