FOMC: upcoming dates · Chronopin

FOMC: upcoming dates · Chronopin

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Economy10/01/2026@EconDesk
Fed Raises Rates a Quarter Point to 3.75%-4.00% at the September 2026 FOMC Meeting
Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, 20th St & Constitution Ave NW, Washington, DCFederal Reserve
Starts 09/16/2026 6:00PM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins87% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 87%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better18 days agoThe Federal Reserve's^[1][2][3] statement is dated 16 September 2026 and marked for release at 2:00 p.m. ET, matching the 15-16 September meeting on its calendar and the strike times of the Kalshi^[4] and Polymarket^[5] decision markets.
Kalshi
Polymarket
The FOMC voted 12-0 on 16 September 2026 to raise the federal funds target range by 1/4 percentage point to 3-3/4 to 4 percent, and its projections now point to a higher year-end rate.
Economy10/01/2026@EconDesk
Fed Holds Rates at the July 2026 FOMC Meeting With Three Dissents in Favour of a Hike
Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, 20th St & Constitution Ave NW, Washington, DCFederal Reserve
Starts 07/29/2026 6:00PM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins87% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 87%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better67 days agoThe Federal Reserve's^[1][2][3] statement is dated 29 July 2026 and marked for release at 2:00 p.m. ET, matching the 28-29 July meeting on its calendar and the strike times of the Kalshi^[4] and Polymarket^[5] decision markets.
Kalshi
Polymarket
The FOMC kept the target range at 3-1/2 to 3-3/4 percent on 29 July 2026 by a 9-3 vote, with Beth Hammack, Neel Kashkari and Lorie Logan preferring a quarter-point increase.
Economy10/01/2026@EconDesk
Fed Holds Rates at the June 2026 FOMC Meeting Under Chair Warsh and Removes the Easing Bias
Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, 20th St & Constitution Ave NW, Washington, DCFederal Reserve
Starts 06/17/2026 6:00PM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins88% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 88%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 6 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better109 days agoThe Federal Reserve's^[1][2][3][4] statement is dated 17 June 2026 and marked for release at 2:00 p.m. ET, matching the 16-17 June meeting on its calendar and the strike times of the Kalshi^[5] and Polymarket^[6] decision markets.
Kalshi
Polymarket
At the first meeting led by Kevin Warsh, the FOMC voted 12-0 on 17 June 2026 to keep the target range at 3-1/2 to 3-3/4 percent, and its projections moved from cuts to a hike by year-end.
Economy10/01/2026@EconDesk
Fed Holds Rates at the April 2026 FOMC Meeting in an 8-4 Vote With Four Dissents
Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, 20th St & Constitution Ave NW, Washington, DCFederal Reserve
Starts 04/29/2026 6:00PM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins87% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 87%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better158 days agoThe Federal Reserve's^[1][2][3] statement is dated 29 April 2026 and marked for release at 2:00 p.m. ET, matching the 28-29 April meeting on its calendar and the strike times of the Kalshi^[4] and Polymarket^[5] decision markets.
Kalshi
Polymarket
The FOMC held the federal funds target range at 3-1/2 to 3-3/4 percent on 29 April 2026, its most divided vote of the year: Stephen Miran wanted a cut, and three presidents objected to the statement's easing bias.
Economy10/01/2026@EconDesk
Fed Holds Rates at 3.50%-3.75% at the March 2026 FOMC Meeting and Flags Middle East Uncertainty
Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, 20th St & Constitution Ave NW, Washington, DCFederal Reserve
Starts 03/18/2026 6:00PM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins87% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 87%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better200 days agoThe Federal Reserve's^[1][2][3] statement is dated 18 March 2026 and marked for release at 2:00 p.m. ET, matching the 17-18 March meeting on its calendar and the strike times of the Kalshi^[4] and Polymarket^[5] decision markets.
Kalshi
Polymarket
The FOMC held the federal funds target range at 3-1/2 to 3-3/4 percent on 18 March 2026 by an 11-1 vote, adding that developments in the Middle East made the outlook uncertain.
Economy10/01/2026@EconDesk
Fed Holds Rates at 3.50%-3.75% at the January 2026 FOMC Meeting With Two Dissents for a Cut
Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, 20th St & Constitution Ave NW, Washington, DCFederal Reserve
Starts 01/28/2026 7:00PM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins85% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 85%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better249 days agoThe Federal Reserve's^[1][2] statement is dated 28 January 2026 and marked for release at 2:00 p.m. ET, matching the 27-28 January meeting on its calendar and the strike times of the Kalshi^[3] and Polymarket^[4] decision markets.
Kalshi
Polymarket
The FOMC left the federal funds target range at 3-1/2 to 3-3/4 percent on 28 January 2026 by a 10-2 vote, with Stephen Miran and Christopher Waller preferring a quarter-point cut.
Economy10/01/2026@EconDesk
Fed Cuts Rates a Quarter Point to 3.50%-3.75% at the December 2025 FOMC Meeting With Three Dissents
Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, 20th St & Constitution Ave NW, Washington, DCFederal Reserve
Starts 12/10/2025 7:00PM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins87% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 87%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better298 days agoThe Federal Reserve's^[1][2][3] statement is dated 10 December 2025 and marked for release at 2:00 p.m. ET, matching the 9-10 December meeting on its calendar and the resolution date of the Kalshi^[4] and Polymarket^[5] decision markets.
Kalshi
Polymarket
The FOMC lowered the federal funds target range by 1/4 percentage point to 3-1/2 to 3-3/4 percent on 10 December 2025 by a 9-3 vote and began buying shorter-term Treasury securities to keep reserves ample.
Economy10/01/2026@EconDesk
Fed Cuts Rates a Quarter Point to 3.75%-4.00% at the October 2025 FOMC Meeting and Will End Balance Sheet Runoff
Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, 20th St & Constitution Ave NW, Washington, DCFederal Reserve
Starts 10/29/2025 6:00PM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins85% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 85%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better340 days agoThe Federal Reserve's^[1][2] statement is dated 29 October 2025 and marked for release at 2:00 p.m. ET, matching the 28-29 October meeting on its calendar and the resolution date of the Kalshi^[3] and Polymarket^[4] decision markets.
Kalshi
Polymarket
The FOMC lowered the federal funds target range by 1/4 percentage point to 3-3/4 to 4 percent on 29 October 2025 by a 10-2 vote and decided to end the reduction of its securities holdings on 1 December.
Economy10/01/2026@EconDesk
Fed Cuts Rates a Quarter Point to 4.00%-4.25% at the September 2025 FOMC Meeting
Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, 20th St & Constitution Ave NW, Washington, DCFederal Reserve
Starts 09/17/2025 6:00PM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins87% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 87%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better1.0 years agoThe Federal Reserve's^[1][2][3] statement is dated 17 September 2025 and marked for release at 2:00 p.m. ET, matching the 16-17 September meeting on its calendar and the resolution date of the Kalshi^[4] and Polymarket^[5] decision markets.
Kalshi
Polymarket
The FOMC lowered the federal funds target range by 1/4 percentage point to 4 to 4-1/4 percent on 17 September 2025 by an 11-1 vote, with Stephen Miran preferring a half-point cut.
Economy10/01/2026@EconDesk
Fed Holds Rates at 4.25%-4.50% at the July 2025 FOMC Meeting With Two Governors Dissenting for a Cut
Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, 20th St & Constitution Ave NW, Washington, DCFederal Reserve
Starts 07/30/2025 6:00PM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins85% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 85%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better1.2 years agoThe Federal Reserve's^[1][2] statement is dated 30 July 2025 and marked for release at 2:00 p.m. ET, matching the 29-30 July meeting on its calendar and the resolution date of the Kalshi^[3] and Polymarket^[4] decision markets.
Kalshi
Polymarket
The FOMC left the federal funds target range at 4-1/4 to 4-1/2 percent on 30 July 2025 by a 9-2 vote, with Michelle Bowman and Christopher Waller preferring a quarter-point cut.
Economy10/01/2026@EconDesk
Fed Holds Rates at 4.25%-4.50% at the June 2025 FOMC Meeting
Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, 20th St & Constitution Ave NW, Washington, DCFederal Reserve
Starts 06/18/2025 6:00PM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins87% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 87%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better1.3 years agoThe Federal Reserve's^[1][2][3] statement is dated 18 June 2025 and marked for release at 2:00 p.m. ET, matching the 17-18 June meeting on its calendar and the resolution date of the Kalshi^[4] and Polymarket^[5] decision markets.
Kalshi
Polymarket
The FOMC held the federal funds target range at 4-1/4 to 4-1/2 percent on 18 June 2025 by a unanimous vote, with projections still pointing to two cuts in 2025.
Economy10/01/2026@EconDesk
Fed Holds Rates at 4.25%-4.50% at the May 2025 FOMC Meeting With Net Exports Swinging the Data
Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, 20th St & Constitution Ave NW, Washington, DCFederal Reserve
Starts 05/07/2025 6:00PM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins85% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 85%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better1.4 years agoThe Federal Reserve's^[1][2] statement is dated 7 May 2025 and marked for release at 2:00 p.m. ET, matching the 6-7 May meeting on its calendar and the resolution date of the Kalshi^[3] and Polymarket^[4] decision markets.
Kalshi
Polymarket
The FOMC held the federal funds target range at 4-1/4 to 4-1/2 percent on 7 May 2025 by a unanimous vote, noting that swings in net exports had affected the data.
Economy10/01/2026@EconDesk
Fed Holds Rates at 4.25%-4.50% at the March 2025 FOMC Meeting and Slows Its Balance Sheet Runoff
Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, 20th St & Constitution Ave NW, Washington, DCFederal Reserve
Starts 03/19/2025 6:00PM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins87% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 87%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better1.5 years agoThe Federal Reserve's^[1][2][3] statement is dated 19 March 2025 and marked for release at 2:00 p.m. ET, matching the 18-19 March meeting on its calendar and the resolution date of the Kalshi^[4] and Polymarket^[5] decision markets.
Kalshi
Polymarket
The FOMC held the federal funds target range at 4-1/4 to 4-1/2 percent on 19 March 2025 and cut the Treasury redemption cap to $5 billion a month from April, with Christopher Waller dissenting.
Economy10/01/2026@EconDesk
Fed Holds Rates at 4.25%-4.50% at the January 2025 FOMC Meeting After Three Cuts
Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, 20th St & Constitution Ave NW, Washington, DCFederal Reserve
Starts 01/29/2025 7:00PM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins85% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 85%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better1.7 years agoThe Federal Reserve's^[1][2] statement is dated 29 January 2025 and marked for release at 2:00 p.m. ET, matching the 28-29 January meeting on its calendar and the resolution date of the Kalshi^[3] and Polymarket^[4] decision markets.
Kalshi
Polymarket
The FOMC left the federal funds target range at 4-1/4 to 4-1/2 percent on 29 January 2025, with all twelve voting members in favour.
Economy10/01/2026@EconDesk
Fed Cuts Rates a Quarter Point to 4.25%-4.50% at the December 2024 FOMC Meeting With One Dissent
Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, 20th St & Constitution Ave NW, Washington, DCFederal Reserve
Starts 12/18/2024 7:00PM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins87% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 87%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better1.8 years agoThe Federal Reserve's^[1][2][3] statement is dated 18 December 2024 and marked for release at 2:00 p.m. ET, matching the 17-18 December meeting on its calendar and the resolution date of the Kalshi^[4] and Polymarket^[5] decision markets.
Kalshi
Polymarket
The FOMC lowered the federal funds target range by 1/4 percentage point to 4-1/4 to 4-1/2 percent on 18 December 2024 by an 11-1 vote, with Beth Hammack preferring to hold.
Economy10/01/2026@EconDesk
Fed Cuts Rates a Quarter Point to 4.50%-4.75% at the November 2024 FOMC Meeting
Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, 20th St & Constitution Ave NW, Washington, DCFederal Reserve
Starts 11/07/2024 7:00PM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins85% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 85%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better1.9 years agoThe Federal Reserve's^[1][2] statement is dated 7 November 2024 and marked for release at 2:00 p.m. ET, matching the 6-7 November meeting on its calendar and the resolution date of the Kalshi^[3] and Polymarket^[4] decision markets.
Kalshi
Polymarket
The FOMC lowered the federal funds target range by 1/4 percentage point to 4-1/2 to 4-3/4 percent on 7 November 2024, with all twelve voting members in favour.
Economy10/01/2026@EconDesk
Fed Cuts Rates by Half a Point to 4.75%-5.00% at the September 2024 FOMC Meeting
Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, 20th St & Constitution Ave NW, Washington, DCFederal Reserve
Starts 09/18/2024 6:00PM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins87% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 87%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better2.0 years agoThe Federal Reserve's^[1][2][3] statement is dated 18 September 2024 and marked for release at 2:00 p.m. ET, matching the 17-18 September meeting on its calendar and the resolution date of the Kalshi^[4] and Polymarket^[5] decision markets.
Kalshi
Polymarket
The FOMC lowered the federal funds target range by 1/2 percentage point to 4-3/4 to 5 percent on 18 September 2024 by an 11-1 vote, with Michelle Bowman preferring a quarter-point cut.
Economy10/01/2026@EconDesk
Fed Holds Rates at 5.25%-5.50% at the July 2024 FOMC Meeting With Unemployment Edging Up
Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, 20th St & Constitution Ave NW, Washington, DCFederal Reserve
Starts 07/31/2024 6:00PM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins85% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 85%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better2.2 years agoThe Federal Reserve's^[1][2] statement is dated 31 July 2024 and marked for release at 2:00 p.m. ET, matching the 30-31 July meeting on its calendar and the resolution date of the Kalshi^[3] and Polymarket^[4] decision markets.
Kalshi
Polymarket
The FOMC held the federal funds target range at 5-1/4 to 5-1/2 percent on 31 July 2024 by a unanimous vote, with the unemployment rate having moved up.
Economy10/01/2026@EconDesk
Fed Holds Rates at 5.25%-5.50% at the June 2024 FOMC Meeting and Projects One Cut in 2024
Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, 20th St & Constitution Ave NW, Washington, DCFederal Reserve
Starts 06/12/2024 6:00PM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins87% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 87%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better2.3 years agoThe Federal Reserve's^[1][2][3] statement is dated 12 June 2024 and marked for release at 2:00 p.m. ET, matching the 11-12 June meeting on its calendar and the resolution date of the Kalshi^[4] and Polymarket^[5] decision markets.
Kalshi
Polymarket
The FOMC held the federal funds target range at 5-1/4 to 5-1/2 percent on 12 June 2024 by a unanimous vote, noting modest further progress on inflation.
Economy10/01/2026@EconDesk
Fed Holds Rates at 5.25%-5.50% at the May 2024 FOMC Meeting and Slows Its Balance Sheet Runoff
Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, 20th St & Constitution Ave NW, Washington, DCFederal Reserve
Starts 05/01/2024 6:00PM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins85% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 85%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better2.4 years agoThe Federal Reserve's^[1][2] statement is dated 1 May 2024 and marked for release at 2:00 p.m. ET, matching the 30 April-1 May May meeting on its calendar and the resolution date of the Kalshi^[3] and Polymarket^[4] decision markets.
Kalshi
Polymarket
The FOMC held the federal funds target range at 5-1/4 to 5-1/2 percent on 1 May 2024 and said it would slow the pace of decline of its securities holdings from June.
Economy10/01/2026@EconDesk
Fed Holds Rates at 5.25%-5.50% at the March 2024 FOMC Meeting
Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, 20th St & Constitution Ave NW, Washington, DCFederal Reserve
Starts 03/20/2024 6:00PM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins87% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 87%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better2.5 years agoThe Federal Reserve's^[1][2][3] statement is dated 20 March 2024 and marked for release at 2:00 p.m. ET, matching the 19-20 March meeting on its calendar and the resolution date of the Kalshi^[4] and Polymarket^[5] decision markets.
Kalshi
Polymarket
The FOMC held the federal funds target range at 5-1/4 to 5-1/2 percent on 20 March 2024 by a unanimous vote, and its projections pointed to a lower rate by year-end.
Economy10/01/2026@EconDesk
Fed Holds Rates at 5.25%-5.50% at the January 2024 FOMC Meeting
Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, 20th St & Constitution Ave NW, Washington, DCFederal Reserve
Starts 01/31/2024 7:00PM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins85% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 85%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better2.7 years agoThe Federal Reserve's^[1][2] statement is dated 31 January 2024 and marked for release at 2:00 p.m. ET, matching the 30-31 January meeting on its calendar and the resolution date of the Kalshi^[3] and Polymarket^[4] decision markets.
Kalshi
Polymarket
The FOMC left the federal funds target range at 5-1/4 to 5-1/2 percent on 31 January 2024, with all twelve voting members in favour.
Economy10/01/2026@EconDesk
Fed Holds Rates at 5.25%-5.50% at the December 2023 FOMC Meeting
Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, 20th St & Constitution Ave NW, Washington, DCFederal Reserve
Starts 12/13/2023 7:00PM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins87% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 87%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better2.8 years agoThe Federal Reserve's^[1][2][3] statement is dated 13 December 2023 and marked for release at 2:00 p.m. EST, matching the December 2023 meeting on its calendar.
Kalshi
Polymarket
The FOMC left the federal funds target range at 5.25%-5.50% on 13 December 2023, with every voting member in favour.
Economy10/01/2026@EconDesk
Fed Holds Rates at 5.25%-5.50% at the November 2023 FOMC Meeting
Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, 20th St & Constitution Ave NW, Washington, DCFederal Reserve
Starts 11/01/2023 6:00PM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins85% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 85%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better2.9 years agoThe Federal Reserve's^[1][2] statement is dated 1 November 2023 and marked for release at 2:00 p.m. EDT, matching the November 2023 meeting on its calendar.
Kalshi
Polymarket
The FOMC left the federal funds target range at 5.25%-5.50% on 1 November 2023, with every voting member in favour.