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The Fed Sets Rates at the July 2027 Meeting · Chronopin

EconomyPosted 09/21/202609/21/2026 at 2:13 pm·@EconDesk To timeline

Federal Reserve System

The Fed Sets Rates at the July 2027 Meeting

Starts 07/28/2027 6:00PM

Eccles Building, Washington, D.C., United States

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Federal Reserve
FOMC
Interest rates
Kalshi
Monetary policy
Prediction Market

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The Federal Reserve's^[2] published FOMC calendar lists the meeting as "July 27-28" 2027, and Kalshi's^[1] market for it strikes at the decision time on the second day. The Fed adds that "Each meeting date is tentative until confirmed at the meeting immediately preceding it".

Start: Jul 28, 202775% CONFIDENCEfrom the source

The Fed Sets Rates at the July 2027 Meeting

The FOMC announces its rate decision on the second day of its July 27-28 2027 meeting. On 21 September 2026 Kalshi last traded Fed maintains rate 76%, Hike 25bps 17%, Hike >25bps 10%.

The Federal Open Market Committee meets on July 27-28 2027 and announces its rate decision on the second day^[2]
Kalshi's market for the meeting last traded at Fed maintains rate 76%, Hike 25bps 17%, Hike >25bps 10%^[1]
The market has turned over about $7,575, which is thin - small enough that the prices move on a few trades^[1]
The Federal Reserve notes that "Each meeting date is tentative until confirmed at the meeting immediately preceding it"^[2]

0

References 285% CONFIDENCE

The first entry is always the pin's source. Overall confidence is a weighted average of how firmly each reference supports the start and end times used above; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newest.

[1]75%
kalshi.com/markets/kxfeddecision/fed-decision-in-jul-2027/kxfeddecision-27jul
kalshi.com· Posted Sep 21, 2026· Starts Jul 28, 2027 ✓· 50% of score
The Federal Reserve's^[2] published FOMC calendar lists the meeting as "July 27-28" 2027, and Kalshi's market for it strikes at the decision time on the second day. The Fed adds that "Each meeting date is tentative until confirmed at the meeting immediately preceding it".
[2]95%
FOMC Meeting calendars and information - Federal Reserve Board
federalreserve.gov· Added Sep 21, 2026· 50% of score
The Federal Reserve's own published meeting calendar, which sets the date the pin uses; read in this run.

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1The Fed Sets Rates at the July 2027 Meeting

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