References 484% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 84%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
The first entry is always the pin's source. Overall confidence is a weighted average of how firmly each reference supports the start and end times used above; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newest.
- [1]75%crfb.org/blogs/appropriations-watch-fy-2027crfb.org· Posted Sep 21, 2026· Starts Oct 1, 2026 ✓· Ends Sep 30, 2027 ✓· 26% of score
The US federal fiscal year runs 1 October to 30 September, so fiscal year 2027 begins on 1 October 2026 and ends on 30 September 2027.
- [2]80%Government shutdown by October 1? (Polymarket)polymarket.com· Added Sep 21, 2026· 26% of score
Live market on whether funding lapses at the fiscal-year rollover; about 2 percent for yes on roughly $16,000 traded when the pin was made.[1]
- [3]95%Congressional Bill H.R. 6500 Signed into Law (The White House)whitehouse.gov· Published Sep 2, 2026· 24% of score
Confirms the stopgap carrying the government across 1 October and through 11 December 2026.[1]
- [4]85%Congress punts government funding deadline to Dec. 11 (The Center Square)thecentersquare.com· Published Sep 1, 2026· 24% of score
States that not a single fiscal 2027 appropriations bill had passed both chambers as the year began.[1]
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