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US Fiscal Year 2028 Begins
United States Department of the Treasury, Washington, D.C., United StatesUnited States Department of the Treasury
SCHEDULED83% CONFIDENCEin 1.0 yearsThe federal fiscal year is the 12-month period beginning on 1 October and ending on 30 September of the next calendar year, so fiscal 2028 runs 1 October 2027 to 30 September 2028.[1]The United States federal fiscal year 2028 starts on 1 October 2027 - the date by which Congress must have funded the government or shut it down.0.83Government Funding Runs Out Again on December 11
SCHEDULED86% CONFIDENCEin 79 daysH.R. 6500 funds federal agencies through 11 December 2026, so the continuing resolution expires at the end of that day.[1]The stopgap signed in September expires on 11 December 2026, the deadline for Congress to enact the twelve fiscal 2027 appropriations bills or pass another continuing resolution before agencies shut down.0.80Trump Signs the Stopgap That Funds the Government to December 11
CONFIRMED90% CONFIDENCE21 days agoThe White House[1] statement dates the signing of H.R. 6500 to Wednesday, September 2, 2026. The act is in force from that day and its appropriations run to 11 December 2026, the date named in section 106(3) of the enrolled text.H.R. 6500, the Continuing Appropriations and Extensions Act, 2027, was signed on 2 September 2026, four weeks before the fiscal year ran out. Its appropriations run from 1 October to 11 December 2026, pushing the next shutdown fight past the midterm elections.0.77The President's Budget Request Falls Due
SCHEDULED83% CONFIDENCEin 131 daysThe Budget Enforcement Act of 1990 requires the President to submit the budget no later than the first Monday in February, which in 2027 is 1 February.[1]The statutory deadline for the President to send the fiscal 2028 budget to Congress is the first Monday in February 2027 - a deadline no president has met in over a decade.0.72The Fed Sets Rates at the December 2027 Meeting
SCHEDULED85% CONFIDENCEin 1.2 yearsThe Federal Reserve's[2] published FOMC calendar lists the meeting as "December 7-8" 2027, and Kalshi's[1] market for it strikes at the decision time on the second day. The Fed adds that "Each meeting date is tentative until confirmed at the meeting immediately preceding it".KalshiThe FOMC announces its rate decision on the second day of its December 7-8 2027 meeting. The meeting is one of the four in 2027 that comes with a Summary of Economic Projections - the "dot plot" - and a press conference. On 21 September 2026 Kalshi last traded Fed maintains rate 73%, Cut 25bps 13%, Hike 25bps 6%.0.72The Fed Sets Rates at the March 2027 Meeting
SCHEDULED85% CONFIDENCEin 175 daysThe Federal Reserve's[2] published FOMC calendar lists the meeting as "March 16-17" 2027, and Kalshi's[1] market for it strikes at the decision time on the second day. The Fed adds that "Each meeting date is tentative until confirmed at the meeting immediately preceding it".KalshiThe FOMC announces its rate decision on the second day of its March 16-17 2027 meeting. The meeting is one of the four in 2027 that comes with a Summary of Economic Projections - the "dot plot" - and a press conference. On 21 September 2026 Kalshi last traded Fed maintains rate 67%, Hike 25bps 27%, Cut 25bps 10%.0.71The Fed Sets Rates at the June 2027 Meeting
SCHEDULED85% CONFIDENCEin 259 daysThe Federal Reserve's[2] published FOMC calendar lists the meeting as "June 8-9" 2027, and Kalshi's[1] market for it strikes at the decision time on the second day. The Fed adds that "Each meeting date is tentative until confirmed at the meeting immediately preceding it".KalshiThe FOMC announces its rate decision on the second day of its June 8-9 2027 meeting. The meeting is one of the four in 2027 that comes with a Summary of Economic Projections - the "dot plot" - and a press conference. On 21 September 2026 Kalshi last traded Fed maintains rate 59%, Cut >25bps 28%, Hike 25bps 20%.0.71The Fed Sets Rates at the September 2027 Meeting
SCHEDULED85% CONFIDENCEin 357 daysThe Federal Reserve's[2] published FOMC calendar lists the meeting as "September 14-15" 2027, and Kalshi's[1] market for it strikes at the decision time on the second day. The Fed adds that "Each meeting date is tentative until confirmed at the meeting immediately preceding it".KalshiThe FOMC announces its rate decision on the second day of its September 14-15 2027 meeting. The meeting is one of the four in 2027 that comes with a Summary of Economic Projections - the "dot plot" - and a press conference. On 21 September 2026 Kalshi last traded Fed maintains rate 59%, Hike 25bps 20%, Cut 25bps 6%.0.71Microsoft FY27 Q1 Earnings Release and Conference Call
ESTIMATED67% CONFIDENCEin 35 daysMicrosoft[1][2][4] has not named the date (its investor site says "The next earnings release will be announced soon"); its last eight results 8-Ks on SEC EDGAR were all filed on the last Wednesday of the month after the quarter (FY26 Q1 on 29 October 2025, then 28 January, 29 April and 29 July 2026), each with a conference call "at 2:30 p.m. Pacific time (5:30 p.m. Eastern time)", so Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 2:30 p.m. PDT (21:30 UTC) is estimated; Wall Street Horizon[3] also lists it "UNCONFIRMED for Wednesday 10/28/2026 After Market", while some calendars show 27 October.Microsoft is expected to report its first fiscal 2027 quarter after the market close, most likely on Wednesday 28 October, and discuss it on a 2:30 p.m. Pacific webcast; the previous quarter brought $90.0 billion of revenue, up 18%.0.71Half the Government Shuts Down for Four Days
CONFIRMED87% CONFIDENCE235 days agoThe funding lapse ran from 31 January 2026, when the continuing resolution expired, to 3 February 2026, when the House passed the package 217-214 and the President signed it.[1]A stopgap covering six of the twelve appropriations bills expired on 31 January 2026, closing roughly half of federal agencies until the House passed a funding package 217-214 on 3 February.0.70India Presents the 2027-28 Union Budget
ESTIMATED68% CONFIDENCEin 131 daysFebruary 1 became the Union Budget's presentation date in 2017 and has held every year since, including the 2026-27 budget presented on Sunday 1 February 2026. The Lok Sabha Speaker confirms the date each year and has not yet done so for 2027-28, so the pin follows the convention rather than a confirmed announcement.[1]India's finance minister presents the Union Budget for 2027-28 in the Lok Sabha, by convention on 1 February at 11am.0.68The U.S. could hit the debt ceiling by June 1, much sooner than expected, Yellen warns
CONFIRMED83% CONFIDENCE3.3 years agoHappened as dated, per cnbc.com[1]: "…nge, analysts wrote, "once the Treasury announces a specific deadline for Congress to raise the debt…"The U.S. could fail to meet its debt obligations sooner than expected, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen warned in a letter to House Speaker Kevin McCarthy.
Yellen said a drop in tax receipts meant the U.S. could hit its debt ceiling as soon as June 1, earlier than Wall Street and Washington had estimated.
This date is earlier than Wall Street economists were expecting. Goldman Sachs’ latest estimate this week put the deadline at some point in late July, though the bank’s economists acknowledged that weaker-than-expected tax receipts could advance that timeline.
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