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Government Funding Runs Out Again on December 11
SCHEDULED86% CONFIDENCEin 79 daysH.R. 6500 funds federal agencies through 11 December 2026, so the continuing resolution expires at the end of that day.[1]The stopgap signed in September expires on 11 December 2026, the deadline for Congress to enact the twelve fiscal 2027 appropriations bills or pass another continuing resolution before agencies shut down.0.75US Fiscal Year 2027 Begins on a Stopgap
United States Department of the Treasury, Washington, D.C., United StatesUnited States Department of the Treasury
SCHEDULED84% CONFIDENCEin 8 daysThe US federal fiscal year runs 1 October to 30 September, so fiscal year 2027 begins on 1 October 2026 and ends on 30 September 2027.[1]PolymarketFiscal year 2027 starts on 1 October 2026 with none of the twelve appropriations bills through both chambers, so the government runs on the continuing resolution signed in September rather than on a budget.0.69Half the Government Shuts Down for Four Days
CONFIRMED87% CONFIDENCE235 days agoThe funding lapse ran from 31 January 2026, when the continuing resolution expired, to 3 February 2026, when the House passed the package 217-214 and the President signed it.[1]A stopgap covering six of the twelve appropriations bills expired on 31 January 2026, closing roughly half of federal agencies until the House passed a funding package 217-214 on 3 February.0.67US Fiscal Year 2028 Begins
United States Department of the Treasury, Washington, D.C., United States
SCHEDULED83% CONFIDENCEin 1.0 yearsThe federal fiscal year is the 12-month period beginning on 1 October and ending on 30 September of the next calendar year, so fiscal 2028 runs 1 October 2027 to 30 September 2028.[1]The United States federal fiscal year 2028 starts on 1 October 2027 - the date by which Congress must have funded the government or shut it down.0.65Ford Signs the Law That Creates the Strategic Petroleum Reserve
CONFIRMED92% CONFIDENCE50.8 years agoThe American Presidency Project dates Ford's signing statement to 22 December 1975, and the Act itself is P.L. 94-163, enacted that day.[1]Two years after the Arab oil embargo, the Energy Policy and Conservation Act set up a federal emergency oil stockpile and gave the President the power to order it sold when supply is severely interrupted. Ford called the bill imperfect but signed it anyway, to end "the long debate over national energy policy".0.64Biden Signs the $1.2 Trillion Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act
The White House, Washington, DC
CONFIRMED90% CONFIDENCE4.9 years agoHappened as dated, per the source[1]: "Biden signed the bill into law at a signing ceremony on November 15." Its authorisations ran FY2022-FY2026 and expired on 30 September 2026, per CRS R47573.President Biden signed the bipartisan Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act into law, directing $1.2 trillion toward roads, bridges, rail, water systems and broadband nationwide.$1.200.63J&J Signs a Drug-Pricing Deal With Trump and Joins TrumpRx
Johnson & Johnson World Headquarters, 1 Johnson and Johnson Plaza, New Brunswick, New Jersey 08933, United StatesJohnson & Johnson…
CONFIRMED86% CONFIDENCE258 days agoJ&J's release is datelined "New Brunswick, N.J. – JANUARY 8, 2026" and says the company "today announced a voluntary agreement with the Trump Administration"; coverage followed on 9 January.[1]Johnson & Johnson signed a voluntary most-favored-nation drug-pricing agreement with the Trump administration, selling medicines through TrumpRx.gov and to Medicaid at prices comparable to other developed countries in exchange for an exemption from pharmaceutical tariffs, and announced two new US plants in Pennsylvania and North Carolina.0.62Trump Greets Xi Jinping at Joint Base Andrews
SCHEDULED83% CONFIDENCETodayThe President's schedule for 23 September lists "6:00 PM - THE PRESIDENT departs the White House[7] en route to Joint Base Andrews" for the "Arrival Ceremony with the President of the People's Republic of China"; AP says Xi and Peng Liyuan "are expected to arrive at Joint Base Andrews on Wednesday evening". 18:30 ET is estimated from the 6 PM departure; this replaces SCMP's[9] earlier 'around 4pm'.Trump will meet Xi Jinping and Peng Liyuan on the tarmac at Joint Base Andrews at about 4pm on 23 September 2026, a reception US presidents almost never give a visiting head of state. It opens Xi's 23-25 September state visit, his first to Washington since 2015.0.62The Longest Government Shutdown in US History Begins
CONFIRMED89% CONFIDENCE357 days agoThe shutdown began just after midnight on 1 October 2025 and ended on 12 November 2025 when the President signed the stopgap, a span of 43 days.[1]Federal funding lapsed just after midnight on 1 October 2025 and stayed lapsed for 43 days, the longest shutdown ever, over a fight about expiring Affordable Care Act subsidies.0.62The President's Budget Request Falls Due
SCHEDULED83% CONFIDENCEin 131 daysThe Budget Enforcement Act of 1990 requires the President to submit the budget no later than the first Monday in February, which in 2027 is 1 February.[1]The statutory deadline for the President to send the fiscal 2028 budget to Congress is the first Monday in February 2027 - a deadline no president has met in over a decade.0.61Judge Geck Upholds the Injunction Blocking Sable's Onshore Pipeline Restart
Santa Barbara County Courthouse, 1100, Anacapa Street, Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara County, California, 93121, United StatesSable Offshore…
CONFIRMED88% CONFIDENCE208 days agoStated as a completed action, per biologicaldiversity.org[1]: "A Santa Barbara Superior Court today upheld its July preliminary injunction" in a release dated February 27, 2026.A Santa Barbara Superior Court upheld its July preliminary injunction blocking Sable Offshore Corp. from restarting the Las Flores onshore pipeline system that ruptured at Refugio State Beach in 2015, requiring 10 court days' notice before any restart. The ruling also clarifies that the Trump administration's December move to seize control of the system and issue an emergency special permit does not affect the court's prior decision.0.61The Fed Sets Rates at the December 2027 Meeting
SCHEDULED85% CONFIDENCEin 1.2 yearsThe Federal Reserve's[2] published FOMC calendar lists the meeting as "December 7-8" 2027, and Kalshi's[1] market for it strikes at the decision time on the second day. The Fed adds that "Each meeting date is tentative until confirmed at the meeting immediately preceding it".KalshiThe FOMC announces its rate decision on the second day of its December 7-8 2027 meeting. The meeting is one of the four in 2027 that comes with a Summary of Economic Projections - the "dot plot" - and a press conference. On 21 September 2026 Kalshi last traded Fed maintains rate 73%, Cut 25bps 13%, Hike 25bps 6%.0.60
