ESTIMATEDDate confidence: ESTIMATEDA target, not a fixed dateHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all ESTIMATED pins65% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 65%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins from 50% to 74% confidence
Estimated: Araghchi said the timetable starts "from the next day" after the US accepts and the strait opens "on the end of the seventh day"; the US had not accepted by 25 September, so acceptance that day would start day 1 on 26 September and end day 7 at midnight Tehran time on 2 October, making 3 October the earliest opening, and every later acceptance moves it back a day. Update 2 October: Trump rejected the plan (Time interview, via Al Jazeera[2][3]), so the 7-day clock has not started and 3 October no longer holds; the date stays only as the plan's earliest possible day.Iran's foreign minister Abbas Araghchi offered to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and restart talks at the end of seven days, counted from the day after the US accepts terms taken from June's Islamabad memorandum. Washington has not accepted, so 3 October is the earliest the strait could open. Update, 2 October: Trump rejected the plan, so the strait will not open on that timetable.
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