The first entry is always the pin's source. Overall confidence is a weighted average of how firmly each reference supports the start and end times used above; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newest.
The NFL has long had Super Bowl LXI fixed for 14 February 2027 at SoFi Stadium[3]; Wikipedia[2] and the stadium's own event listing both give that date, and Kalshi's market expires the same day.
Gives the 14 February 2027 date, SoFi Stadium[3] as the venue and the note that this is the ninth Super Bowl in the Los Angeles area.
The host venue's own event page confirms it is staging Super Bowl LXI.[1]
A 8 September 2026 episode in which Chris Simms and Connor Rogers pick division winners, the playoff bracket and their Super Bowl LXI champion; useful as a read on the field, not as a date source (the episode has no transcript, so this rests on its own summary).[1]
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