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WHO Ends the COVID-19 Public Health Emergency
CONFIRMED85% CONFIDENCE3.4 years agoThe WHO's[1] own statement on the fifteenth emergency committee meeting is dated 5 May 2023 and announces the end of the emergency.Three years and three months after declaring it, the WHO ended COVID-19's status as a public health emergency of international concern. The Director-General was careful to say the virus was not gone - only that it no longer needed emergency governance.0.72WHO Calls COVID-19 a Pandemic
CONFIRMED90% CONFIDENCE6.5 years agoThe Director-General used the word at the media briefing of 11 March 2020, the date the WHO's[2] own COVID-19 timeline carries.Six weeks after declaring a public health emergency, the WHO's Director-General told a Geneva briefing that COVID-19 could be characterised as a pandemic - 118,000 cases in 114 countries at the time. Most of the world's lockdowns began within a fortnight.0.67Measles Breaks Out Across Bangladesh
Dhaka, Bangladesh
ESTIMATED68% CONFIDENCE192 days agoThe source[1] dates the start only to "mid-March 2026", so the pin takes the middle of that month and leaves the end open: the outbreak is ongoing.A measles outbreak that began in mid-March 2026 has killed 909 people with suspected symptoms and confirmed nearly 20,000 cases, by the Directorate General of Health Services' count as of 10 September. It is still running.0.65Hidroituango Dam Crisis Forces Mass Evacuation in Colombia
CONFIRMED81% CONFIDENCE8.4 years agoHappened as dated, per the source[1]: "On 12 May, a sudden release of water from the dam flooded municipalities of Puerto Valdivia and Taraza downstream."A blocked diversion tunnel at Colombia's roughly $4 billion Hidroituango hydroelectric project triggered flooding and landslides that forced thousands of people downstream to evacuate.$4B0.62COP32 Brings the Climate Talks to Addis Ababa
ESTIMATED70% CONFIDENCEin 1.2 yearsEthiopia's hosting was endorsed by the African Group on the second day of COP30 and the conference is set for November 2027, but UNFCCC[1] has not yet published the exact days - so the pin takes the last day of the stated month.The 32nd UN climate conference is held in Addis Ababa in November 2027, the first COP in sub-Saharan Africa in sixteen years, with the African Group holding the presidency.0.61The 1918 Flu Surfaces at Camp Funston
Camp Funston, Fort Riley, Kansas, United States
ESTIMATED68% CONFIDENCE108.6 years ago4 March 1918 is the first recorded case at Camp Funston, which is the earliest documented outbreak rather than a proven origin - the pandemic's beginning is genuinely disputed.[1]A camp cook reported sick at Fort Riley's Camp Funston in Kansas, and within days hundreds of soldiers were down with influenza. It is the first recorded outbreak of the pandemic that killed more people than the war it travelled with - somewhere between 25 and 50 million.0.61New Royal Adelaide Hospital Opens to Patients
CONFIRMED90% CONFIDENCE9.0 years agoHappened as dated, per the source[1]: "New Royal Adelaide Hospital emergency department officially opens."The new Royal Adelaide Hospital opened its emergency department and began receiving patients, capping a large BIM-driven build delivered by the Celsus consortium.0.61Food Crisis in Africa, South Asia and especially Egypt where it imports over half the grain they need to survive
September and October, Egypt will have food crisis as Russia kills off Ukraine's Agriculture industry and ability to export through it's ports. Black Sea likely becomes a no-go zone.0.60Desert Storm Triggers the SPR's First Emergency Drawdown
James Forrestal Building, 1000 Independence Avenue SW, Washington, D.C. 20585, United StatesUS Department of Energy
CONFIRMED87% CONFIDENCE35.7 years agoDOE dates the authorisation to Bush's address of 16 January 1991 and the last of the 17.3 million barrels to 3 April 1991; the pin's exclusive end is the following midnight UTC.[1]Hours after announcing allied air attacks on Iraq, President Bush ordered the first emergency sale in the reserve's history. The Energy Department released its sales notice on 17 January 1991 and eventually sold 17.3 million barrels to 13 companies, half of what it offered: bids for sour crude came in too low to accept.0.60Smallpox Is Declared Eradicated
CONFIRMED90% CONFIDENCE46.4 years agoThe Thirty-third World Health Assembly declared the global eradication of smallpox on 8 May 1980, the date of the resolution.[1]The World Health Assembly certified that smallpox had been wiped from the earth - the only human disease ever eradicated. The last natural case had been in Somalia in 1977, and the campaign that found it had traced and vaccinated outwards from every case for a decade.0.60Norwegian Nobel Committee Names the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize Winner
Norwegian Nobel Institute, Henrik Ibsens gate 51, Oslo, Norway
SCHEDULED86% CONFIDENCEin 16 daysNobelPrize.org[2][5]'s announcement schedule and the Nobel Peace Center put the Peace Prize announcement on Friday 9 October 2026 at 11:00 CEST (09:00 UTC).KalshiThe Norwegian Nobel Committee announces the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize in Oslo on 9 October at 11:00 CEST, choosing from 287 nominees (208 individuals, 79 organizations). On 20 September 2026 Kalshi had no clear favourite: Doctors Without Borders at 13%, Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms at 12% and Save the Children at 11%.0.60Tokyo Unveils $109BN Resilience Project
CONFIRMED77% CONFIDENCE3.8 years agoHappened as dated, per the source[1]: "In December 2022, the Tokyo Metropolitan Government unveiled the Tokyo Resilience Project."Tokyo's Metropolitan Government unveiled an 18-year, ¥17 trillion ($109BN) Resilience Project to fortify the city of 40 million against earthquakes, typhoons, tsunamis and volcanic activity.$109B0.59
