The U.S. could hit the debt ceiling by June 1, much sooner than expected, Yellen warns

FinancePublié 01/05/202301/05/2023 à 23:36@ThePinGang Vers la chronologie

United States Department of the Treasury

Du 01/06/2023 au 03/06/2023

The U.S. could hit the debt ceiling by June 1, much sooner than expected, Yellen warns · Chronopin

Économie21/09/2026@EconDesk
The Fed Sets Rates at the June 2027 Meeting
Eccles Building, Washington, D.C., United StatesFederal Reserve System
Commence le 09/06/2027 18:00PROGRAMMÉ CONFIANCE 85 %dans 259 joursThe Federal Reserve's^[2] published FOMC calendar lists the meeting as "June 8-9" 2027, and Kalshi's^[1] market for it strikes at the decision time on the second day. The Fed adds that "Each meeting date is tentative until confirmed at the meeting immediately preceding it".
Kalshi
The FOMC announces its rate decision on the second day of its June 8-9 2027 meeting. The meeting is one of the four in 2027 that comes with a Summary of Economic Projections - the "dot plot" - and a press conference. On 21 September 2026 Kalshi last traded Fed maintains rate 59%, Cut >25bps 28%, Hike 25bps 20%.
0.63
Finance09/05/2023@ThePinGang
Probability for another 25bps hike in June doubled today 8.5% to 16.6%
Federal Reserve
Probability for another 25bps hike in June doubled today pic.twitter.com/OWDq1ceIEx
— Jay Cal (@Jay__Cale) May 8, 2023

Commence le 08/05/2023 NON VÉRIFIÉ CONFIANCE 25 %il y a 3,4 ans
Tweet from @Jay__Cale (8 May 2023): the market-implied probability of another 25bps Fed rate hike in June doubled in a day, from 8.5% to 16.6%.
0.62
Économie19/09/2026@OddsDesk
Fed Decides Whether to Hike Rates Again at October 2026 FOMC Meeting
Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, 20th St & Constitution Ave NW, Washington, DCFederal Reserve
Commence le 28/10/2026 18:00PROGRAMMÉ CONFIANCE 78 %dans 35 joursThe Federal Reserve's^[2][5] published 2026 FOMC calendar lists the October 27-28 meeting, and the policy statement is released at 2:00 p.m. ET on the second day; Kalshi's^[1] market strikes on October 28, 2026 at 18:00 UTC.
Kalshi
The Federal Open Market Committee announces its October 2026 rate decision at 2:00 p.m. ET on October 28, six weeks after raising the federal funds target range a quarter point to 3.75%-4.00% on September 16, its first hike since 2023. On 19 September 2026 Kalshi traders were split between holding the rate and a second 25bp hike, with cuts priced near zero.
0.61
Économie21/09/2026@EconDesk
The Fed Sets Rates at the March 2027 Meeting
Eccles Building, Washington, D.C., United StatesFederal Reserve System
Commence le 17/03/2027 18:00PROGRAMMÉ CONFIANCE 85 %dans 175 joursThe Federal Reserve's^[2] published FOMC calendar lists the meeting as "March 16-17" 2027, and Kalshi's^[1] market for it strikes at the decision time on the second day. The Fed adds that "Each meeting date is tentative until confirmed at the meeting immediately preceding it".
Kalshi
The FOMC announces its rate decision on the second day of its March 16-17 2027 meeting. The meeting is one of the four in 2027 that comes with a Summary of Economic Projections - the "dot plot" - and a press conference. On 21 September 2026 Kalshi last traded Fed maintains rate 67%, Hike 25bps 27%, Cut 25bps 10%.
0.61
Économie21/09/2026@EconDesk
The Fed Sets Rates at the September 2027 Meeting
Eccles Building, Washington, D.C., United StatesFederal Reserve System
Commence le 15/09/2027 18:00PROGRAMMÉ CONFIANCE 85 %dans 357 joursThe Federal Reserve's^[2] published FOMC calendar lists the meeting as "September 14-15" 2027, and Kalshi's^[1] market for it strikes at the decision time on the second day. The Fed adds that "Each meeting date is tentative until confirmed at the meeting immediately preceding it".
Kalshi
The FOMC announces its rate decision on the second day of its September 14-15 2027 meeting. The meeting is one of the four in 2027 that comes with a Summary of Economic Projections - the "dot plot" - and a press conference. On 21 September 2026 Kalshi last traded Fed maintains rate 59%, Hike 25bps 20%, Cut 25bps 6%.
0.61
Finance04/05/2023@ThePinGang
The Fed's rate-setting body said it would raise its benchmark rate to a range between 5% and 5.25%, the highest level since 2007
Federal Reserve
Du 03/05/2023 au 08/05/2023 NON VÉRIFIÉ CONFIANCE 70 %il y a 3,4 ans
The increase is the 10th straight interest-rate hike since last March in what has been the most aggressive rate-hiking regime since the 1980s.
0.61
Économie21/09/2026@EconDesk
The Fed Sets Rates at the April 2027 Meeting
Eccles Building, Washington, D.C., United StatesFederal Reserve System
Commence le 28/04/2027 18:00PROGRAMMÉ CONFIANCE 85 %dans 217 joursThe Federal Reserve's^[2] published FOMC calendar lists the meeting as "April 27-28" 2027, and Kalshi's^[1] market for it strikes at the decision time on the second day. The Fed adds that "Each meeting date is tentative until confirmed at the meeting immediately preceding it".
Kalshi
The FOMC announces its rate decision on the second day of its April 27-28 2027 meeting. On 21 September 2026 Kalshi last traded Fed maintains rate 63%, Cut 25bps 11%, Hike 25bps 8%.
0.61
Économie21/09/2026@EconDesk
The Fed Sets Rates at the December 2027 Meeting
Eccles Building, Washington, D.C., United StatesFederal Reserve System
Commence le 08/12/2027 19:00PROGRAMMÉ CONFIANCE 85 %dans 1,2 anThe Federal Reserve's^[2] published FOMC calendar lists the meeting as "December 7-8" 2027, and Kalshi's^[1] market for it strikes at the decision time on the second day. The Fed adds that "Each meeting date is tentative until confirmed at the meeting immediately preceding it".
Kalshi
The FOMC announces its rate decision on the second day of its December 7-8 2027 meeting. The meeting is one of the four in 2027 that comes with a Summary of Economic Projections - the "dot plot" - and a press conference. On 21 September 2026 Kalshi last traded Fed maintains rate 73%, Cut 25bps 13%, Hike 25bps 6%.
0.60
Économie21/09/2026@EconDesk
The Fed Sets Rates at the July 2027 Meeting
Eccles Building, Washington, D.C., United StatesFederal Reserve System
Commence le 28/07/2027 18:00PROGRAMMÉ CONFIANCE 85 %dans 308 joursThe Federal Reserve's^[2] published FOMC calendar lists the meeting as "July 27-28" 2027, and Kalshi's^[1] market for it strikes at the decision time on the second day. The Fed adds that "Each meeting date is tentative until confirmed at the meeting immediately preceding it".
Kalshi
The FOMC announces its rate decision on the second day of its July 27-28 2027 meeting. On 21 September 2026 Kalshi last traded Fed maintains rate 76%, Hike 25bps 17%, Hike >25bps 10%.
0.60
Économie21/09/2026@EconDesk
The Fed Sets Rates at the October 2027 Meeting
Eccles Building, Washington, D.C., United StatesFederal Reserve System
Commence le 27/10/2027 18:00PROGRAMMÉ CONFIANCE 85 %dans 1,1 anThe Federal Reserve's^[2] published FOMC calendar lists the meeting as "October 26-27" 2027, and Kalshi's^[1] market for it strikes at the decision time on the second day. The Fed adds that "Each meeting date is tentative until confirmed at the meeting immediately preceding it".
Kalshi
The FOMC announces its rate decision on the second day of its October 26-27 2027 meeting. On 21 September 2026 Kalshi last traded Fed maintains rate 54%, Hike 25bps 46%, Cut 25bps 7%.
0.60
Économie21/09/2026@EconDesk
The Fed Sets Rates at the January 2027 Meeting
Eccles Building, Washington, D.C., United StatesFederal Reserve System
Commence le 27/01/2027 19:00PROGRAMMÉ CONFIANCE 85 %dans 126 joursThe Federal Reserve's^[2] published FOMC calendar lists the meeting as "January 26-27" 2027, and Kalshi's^[1] market for it strikes at the decision time on the second day. The Fed adds that "Each meeting date is tentative until confirmed at the meeting immediately preceding it".
Kalshi
The FOMC announces its rate decision on the second day of its January 26-27 2027 meeting. On 21 September 2026 Kalshi last traded Fed maintains rate 61%, Hike 25bps 25%, Cut 25bps 8%.
0.60
Économie21/09/2026@EconDesk
US Fiscal Year 2028 Begins
United States Department of the Treasury, Washington, D.C., United StatesUnited States Department of the Treasury
Du 01/10/2027 au 30/09/2028PROGRAMMÉ CONFIANCE 83 %l’année prochaineThe federal fiscal year is the 12-month period beginning on 1 October and ending on 30 September of the next calendar year, so fiscal 2028 runs 1 October 2027 to 30 September 2028.^[1]
The United States federal fiscal year 2028 starts on 1 October 2027 - the date by which Congress must have funded the government or shut it down.
0.59

The Fed Sets Rates at the June 2027 Meeting

Probability for another 25bps hike in June doubled today 8.5% to 16.6%

Fed Decides Whether to Hike Rates Again at October 2026 FOMC Meeting

The Fed Sets Rates at the March 2027 Meeting

The Fed Sets Rates at the September 2027 Meeting

The Fed's rate-setting body said it would raise its benchmark rate to a range between 5% and 5.25%, the highest level since 2007

The Fed Sets Rates at the April 2027 Meeting

The Fed Sets Rates at the December 2027 Meeting

The Fed Sets Rates at the July 2027 Meeting

The Fed Sets Rates at the October 2027 Meeting

The Fed Sets Rates at the January 2027 Meeting

US Fiscal Year 2028 Begins

The U.S. could hit the debt ceiling by June 1, much sooner than expected, Yellen warns

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The Fed Sets Rates at the June 2027 Meeting

Probability for another 25bps hike in June doubled today 8.5% to 16.6%

Fed Decides Whether to Hike Rates Again at October 2026 FOMC Meeting

The Fed Sets Rates at the March 2027 Meeting

The Fed Sets Rates at the September 2027 Meeting

The Fed's rate-setting body said it would raise its benchmark rate to a range between 5% and 5.25%, the highest level since 2007

The Fed Sets Rates at the April 2027 Meeting

The Fed Sets Rates at the December 2027 Meeting

The Fed Sets Rates at the July 2027 Meeting

The Fed Sets Rates at the October 2027 Meeting

The Fed Sets Rates at the January 2027 Meeting

US Fiscal Year 2028 Begins

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