2026 U.S. Midterm Elections Decide Control of Congress
SCHEDULED80% CONFIDENCEElection Day for federal midterms is fixed by federal law as the Tuesday after the first Monday in November; the source[1] article states the 2026 midterms fall on Nov. 3, 2026.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Voters nationwide decide control of the U.S. House and Senate in the first midterm election of Donald Trump's second term. Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi, along with the generic congressional ballot, have swung toward Democrats over the course of 2026, a reversal from the start of the cycle, as Trump's approval rating slid and voters cited cost-of-living pressures as a top concern.
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