Norwegian Nobel Committee Names the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize Winner

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• 科学2026/09/20@ScienceDesk

  The Royal Swedish Academy Names the 2026 Chemistry Laureates

  Royal Swedish Academy of SciencesSession Hall, Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences, Lilla Frescativägen 4A, Stockholm, Sweden

  開始 2026/10/07 9:45予定確度 87%14 日後The Nobel Foundation's press release sets it for "Wednesday, 7 October, 11:45 CEST at the earliest", so the hour can slip later in the day.^[1]

  The Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences announces the 2026 Nobel Prize in Chemistry from its Session Hall at Frescati in Stockholm, a day after the physics prize.

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• 科学2026/09/20@ScienceDesk

  The Nobel Assembly Names the 2026 Medicine Laureates

  Karolinska InstituteWallenbergsalen, Nobel Forum, Nobels väg 1, Solna, Sweden

  開始 2026/10/05 9:30予定確度 87%12 日後The Nobel Foundation's press release sets it for "Monday, 5 October, 11:30 CEST at the earliest", so the hour can slip later in the day.^[1]

  The Nobel Assembly at Karolinska Institutet announces the 2026 Nobel Prize in Physiology or Medicine from Wallenbergsalen in the Nobel Forum, opening Nobel week. The announcement is broadcast live and the laureates are usually telephoned only minutes beforehand.

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• 科学2026/09/20@ScienceDesk

  The Royal Swedish Academy Names the 2026 Physics Laureates

  Royal Swedish Academy of SciencesSession Hall, Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences, Lilla Frescativägen 4A, Stockholm, Sweden

  開始 2026/10/06 9:45予定確度 87%13 日後The Nobel Foundation's press release sets it for "Tuesday, 6 October, 11:45 CEST at the earliest", so the hour can slip later in the day.^[1]

  The Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences announces the 2026 Nobel Prize in Physics from its Session Hall at Frescati in Stockholm. The prize may be split between up to three laureates.

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• 科学2026/09/20@ScienceDesk

  The Royal Swedish Academy Names the 2026 Economic Sciences Laureates

  Royal Swedish Academy of SciencesSession Hall, Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences, Lilla Frescativägen 4A, Stockholm, Sweden

  開始 2026/10/12 9:45予定確度 87%19 日後The Nobel Foundation's press release sets it for "Monday, 12 October, 11:45 CEST at the earliest", so the hour can slip later in the day.^[1]

  The Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences announces the Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel, closing the 2026 announcement season. It is the only one of the six not established by Alfred Nobel's will.

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• 文学2026/09/20@ScienceDesk

  The Swedish Academy Names the 2026 Literature Laureate

  Swedish AcademyBörssalen, Svenska Akademien, Källargränd 4, Stockholm, Sweden

  開始 2026/10/08 11:00予定確度 87%15 日後The Nobel Foundation's press release sets it for "Thursday, 8 October, 13:00 CEST at the earliest", so the hour can slip later in the day.^[1]

  The Swedish Academy announces the 2026 Nobel Prize in Literature from the Börssalen in Stockholm's old stock exchange, where its permanent secretary opens the doors to say the name aloud.

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• 地政学2026/09/20@OddsDesk

  The Next UN Secretary-General Takes Office

  United Nations Headquarters, 405 East 42nd Street, New York, New York

  

  開始 2027/01/01予定確度 75%100 日後UN Secretaries-General serve five-year terms that run from January 1; Guterres's second expires December 31, 2026, so his successor starts January 1, 2027. Kalshi's^[1] contracts close on January 5, 2027.

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  Antonio Guterres's second term ends on December 31, 2026 and his successor's five-year term begins on January 1, 2027. On 20 September 2026 Kalshi's market on who is confirmed had Rebeca Grynspan at 37%, Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett at 18% and Olara Otunnu at 10%.

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• 選挙2026/09/20@OddsDesk

  Israelis Elect the Next Knesset

  Knesset, Kiryat Ben-Gurion, Jerusalem

  

  開始 2026/10/27予定確度 72%34 日後Polymarket's^[1][3] rules state "Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026", a Tuesday, the weekday Israeli elections are always held on.

   Polymarket

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   Kalshi

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  Israel's legislative election is set for Tuesday, October 27, 2026. On 20 September 2026 Polymarket's market on who is sworn in as prime minister afterwards had Gadi Eizenkot at 52%, Benjamin Netanyahu at 30% and Naftali Bennett at 10%; Kalshi put a new government winning a Knesset confidence vote by February 3, 2027 at 89%.

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• スポーツ2026/09/20@OddsDesk

  The 2026 Ballon d'Or Is Awarded in London

  London Palladium, 8 Argyll Street, London W1F 7TF, United Kingdom

  

  開始 2026/10/26予定確度 71%33 日後Yahoo^[3] Sports and Athlon both give Monday 26 October 2026 for the ceremony, and Polymarket's^[2] Ballon d'Or market ends 26 October, so the date is firm even though organisers had not formally confirmed the venue.

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  For the first time the Ballon d'Or leaves Paris: the 2026 ceremony is on Monday 26 October 2026 in London, marking 70 years since the first award. On 20 September 2026 Harry Kane was a clear favourite on both exchanges at 55-56%, with Lamine Yamal at 22% and Kylian Mbappé at 8%.

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• ゲーム2026/09/20@OddsDesk

  The Game Awards 2026 Names Its Game of the Year

  Peacock Theater, 777 Chick Hearn Court, Los Angeles, CA 90015, USA

  

  開始 2026/12/10予定確度 78%78 日後The Game Awards^[2]' own announcement and the Peacock Theater's^[3] event listing both give Thursday 10 December 2026, and Polymarket's market on the same award ends that night.

   Kalshi

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  The Game Awards return to the Peacock Theater in Los Angeles on Thursday 10 December 2026. On 20 September 2026 Kalshi had Grand Theft Auto VI at 69% for Game of the Year, well clear of Resident Evil Requiem at 14% and Phantom Blade Zero at 7%.

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• 選挙2026/09/20@OddsDesk

  Americans Vote in the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election

  The White House, 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue NW, Washington, DC

  

  開始 2028/11/07予定確度 72%2.1 年後Federal law sets Election Day on the Tuesday after the first Monday in November, which falls on November 7 in 2028.^[1]

   Kalshi

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   Polymarket

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  Election Day for the 2028 U.S. presidential race is November 7, 2028, and Kalshi's winner market was still wide open on 20 September 2026: J.D. Vance led at 22%, followed by Jon Ossoff at 12% and Marco Rubio at 9.6%. The winner takes office on January 20, 2029.

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• 半導体2026/09/23@TechDesk

  TSMC 2026 North America Technology Symposium in Santa Clara

  TSMC·…Santa Clara Convention Center, 5001 Great America Parkway, Santa Clara, CA 95054, United States

  開始 2026/04/22 15:30確定確度 85%154 日前TSMC's^[1] release is datelined "SANTA CLARA, CA, Apr. 22, 2026" and says it "today debuted" A13 at the symposium; GUC's event page gives "8:30 a.m. - 5:30 p.m. (PDT, UTC-7)" at the Santa Clara Convention Center.

  TSMC's largest annual customer event opened its 2026 series at the Santa Clara Convention Center on 22 April, where it debuted the A13 process, previewed A12 and introduced N2U.

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• 選挙2026/09/20@OddsDesk

  France Votes in the 2027 Presidential Election

  Elysee Palace, 55 Rue du Faubourg Saint-Honore, Paris, France

  

  開始 2027/04/18予定確度 78%207 日後The French government announced the date after a cabinet meeting on 30 June 2026, and the official service-public.gouv.fr^[2] page now gives the rounds as "April 18 and May 2, 2027". This replaces the earlier reading, which derived April 11 from the constitutional window because Polymarket^[1][3] said only "around April 2027".

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  Emmanuel Macron's second term ends on May 13, 2027, which puts the first round on Sunday, April 11 and the runoff on April 25. On 20 September 2026 Polymarket's 128-name market had Marine Le Pen at 37%, Edouard Philippe at 25% and Jean-Luc Melenchon at 13%.

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