Americans Vote in the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election · Chronopin

Americans Vote in the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election · Chronopin

政策2026/09/16@ThePinGang
2026 U.S. Midterm Elections Decide Control of Congress
United States Capitol, Washington, DC
開始 2026/11/03予定確度 80%41 日後Election Day for federal midterms is fixed by federal law as the Tuesday after the first Monday in November; the source^[1] article states the 2026 midterms fall on Nov. 3, 2026.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Voters nationwide decide control of the U.S. House and Senate in the first midterm election of Donald Trump's second term. Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi, along with the generic congressional ballot, have swung toward Democrats over the course of 2026, a reversal from the start of the cycle, as Trump's approval rating slid and voters cited cost-of-living pressures as a top concern.
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選挙2026/09/21@PoliticsDesk
Argentina Votes for a President and Congress
Camara Nacional ElectoralPalacio del Congreso, Buenos Aires, Argentina
開始 2027/10/24予定確度 75%1.1 年後Wikipedia^[1] states "General elections are scheduled to take place in Argentina on 24 October 2027", the fourth Sunday of October that Argentine law sets for a general election.
Argentines choose a president and renew Congress on 24 October 2027, the first presidential election since Javier Milei's 2023 win.
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選挙2026/09/20@OddsDesk
Brazil Votes in the First Round of Its Presidential Election
Palacio do Planalto, Praca dos Tres Poderes, Brasilia, Brazil
開始 2026/10/04予定確度 73%11 日後Polymarket's^[1][2] rules open with "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026", which is the first Sunday of October, the date Brazilian law sets.
Polymarket
Polymarket
Brazil's presidential election is scheduled for Sunday, October 4, 2026. On 20 September 2026 Polymarket's winner market, which includes any second round, had Flavio Bolsonaro at 58% and Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva at 42%; a runoff, if no one clears 50%, falls on October 25.
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選挙2026/09/20@OddsDesk
The New House of Representatives Elects Its Speaker
United States Capitol, Washington, DC
開始 2027/01/03予定確度 72%102 日後The Twentieth Amendment fixes the new Congress’s first meeting at noon on January 3, and House rules make the Speaker election its first order of business. Kalshi^[1] does not date its market, which runs to 2031.
Kalshi
Polymarket
The Congress elected in the 2026 midterms first meets on January 3, 2027, and the House can do no other business until it has a Speaker. On 20 September 2026 Kalshi's market on the next new Speaker had Hakeem Jeffries at 86% — the table's chance, against “88% chance” on the order ticket beside it — with Jim Jordan at 10% and Steve Scalise at 2.6%.
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選挙2026/09/20@OddsDesk
California Elects Its Next Governor
California State Capitol, 1315 10th Street, Sacramento, California
開始 2026/11/03予定確度 70%41 日後Polymarket's^[1][2] rules name "the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026", the Tuesday after the first Monday in November.
Polymarket
Polymarket
California votes for governor on Tuesday, November 3, 2026, with Gavin Newsom term-limited. On 20 September 2026 Polymarket read the race as close to settled: Xavier Becerra at 94% against Republican Steve Hilton at 5.5%, with nobody else above 0.1%.
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経済2026/09/21@EconDesk
US Fiscal Year 2028 Begins
United States Department of the Treasury, Washington, D.C., United StatesUnited States Department of the Treasury
2027/10/01〜2028/09/30予定確度 83%来年The federal fiscal year is the 12-month period beginning on 1 October and ending on 30 September of the next calendar year, so fiscal 2028 runs 1 October 2027 to 30 September 2028.^[1]
The United States federal fiscal year 2028 starts on 1 October 2027 - the date by which Congress must have funded the government or shut it down.
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選挙2026/09/21@PoliticsDesk
El Salvador Votes Under Its New Re-election Rules
Tribunal Supremo Electoral (El Salvador)Legislative Assembly, San Salvador, El Salvador
開始 2027/02/28予定確度 82%158 日後The Wikipedia^[1] article's infobox gives the election date as 28 February 2027, the same day as the legislative election.
Salvadorans elect a president and the Legislative Assembly on 28 February 2027, the first national vote since the country scrapped presidential term limits in 2025.
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選挙2026/09/20@OddsDesk
Canadians Vote in the Next Federal Election
Centre Block, Parliament Hill, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
開始 2029/10/15予定確度 75%3.1 年後The Canada Elections Act fixes polling day as the third Monday of October in the fourth calendar year after the previous election, which is October 15, 2029; Kalshi's^[1] event ticker carries the same date.
Kalshi
Canada's fixed-date law puts the next general election on the third Monday of October 2029, which is October 15. On 20 September 2026 Kalshi had the Liberal Party at 60%, the Conservative Party at 38% and the NDP at 3.5%; a lost confidence vote would bring the date forward.
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選挙2026/09/23@PoliticsDesk
ブリティッシュコロンビア州、州議会の解散総選挙を実施
Elections BCBritish Columbia Parliament Buildings, 501 Belleville Street, Victoria, British Columbia V8W 9W2, Canada
開始 2026/10/24 15:00予定確度 85%31 日後elections.bc.ca^[1][2]によると予定済み。「州総選挙が公示されました。最終投票日は2026年10月24日です」、また「Ways to Vote」ページには「10月24日｜午前8時〜午後8時（太平洋時間）」とある。
ブリティッシュコロンビア州民は2026年10月24日（土）、州議会の全93議席を選ぶ投票を行う。投票時間は太平洋時間の午前8時から午後8時まで。デービッド・イービー州首相は、トランプ政権の貿易戦争を理由に、任期を2年残して解散総選挙に踏み切った。
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選挙2026/09/20@OddsDesk
Texas Picks a U.S. Senator in the 2026 Midterms
Texas State Capitol, 1100 Congress Avenue, Austin, Texas
開始 2026/11/03予定確度 72%41 日後Polymarket^[1][2] resolves on "the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election"; federal law sets Election Day on November 3, 2026, and the market's own end date is that day.
Polymarket
Polymarket
Texas votes for a U.S. Senate seat on November 3, 2026. On 20 September 2026 Polymarket had Democrat James Talarico at 60% against Republican Ken Paxton at 42%, and its companion market gave Democrats a 61% chance of taking the chamber.
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選挙2026/09/21@PoliticsDesk
Spain Holds Its Nationwide Local Election Day
Madrid City Hall, Plaza de Cibeles, Madrid, SpainJunta Electoral Central
開始 2027/05/23予定確度 75%242 日後The Wikipedia^[1] article's infobox gives 23 May 2027, the date fixed by Spain's electoral law for the simultaneous local and regional polling day.
Every Spanish municipality votes on 23 May 2027, alongside regional elections in twelve autonomous communities on the same day.
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選挙2026/09/21@PoliticsDesk
Nigeria Votes for a President and National Assembly
Independent National Electoral CommissionNational Assembly Complex, Abuja, Nigeria
開始 2027/01/16予定確度 80%115 日後Wikipedia^[1] states "General elections will be held in Nigeria on 16 January 2027 to elect the president and vice president, members of the Senate and House of Representatives", and INEC's own published election calendar carries the same date.
Nigerians elect a president, vice president, senators and members of the House of Representatives on 16 January 2027, with governorship and state assembly votes following on 6 February.
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