Junta Electoral Central
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Mexico Elects a New Chamber of Deputies
SCHEDULED75% CONFIDENCEin 256 daysWikipedia[1] states "Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Mexico on 6 June 2027", the first Sunday of June set by Mexican electoral law.Mexicans elect all 500 members of the Chamber of Deputies on 6 June 2027, the midterm test of Claudia Sheinbaum's supermajority, held alongside state elections.0.66The 2027 Champions League Final Is Played in Madrid
Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Avenida de Luis Aragonés 4, 28022 Madrid, Spain
SCHEDULED85% CONFIDENCEin 255 daysUEFA.com[2]'s own announcement names the Estadio Metropolitano as the 2027 final venue on 5 June 2027, and Kalshi's[1] market expires that evening.KalshiUEFA has awarded the 2027 Champions League final to the Riyadh Air Metropolitano in Madrid on 5 June 2027, the stadium's second final after 2019. On 20 September 2026 Kalshi's winner market made Barcelona the favourite at about 25%, ahead of Bayern Munich, Arsenal and Real Madrid on 14% and PSG on 12%.0.63Morocco Votes for a New House of Representatives
CONFIRMED88% CONFIDENCETodayConfirmed as under way, per maroc.ma[1][3][6]: "Jour du scrutin : Vote sur l'ensemble du territoire national pour l'élection des membres de la Chambre des représentants" on "23 septembre 2026", and AP: "Voting centers across the North African kingdom are open from 8 a.m. to 7 p.m. local time" (Morocco has been on GMT since 20 September).Moroccans vote from 8 a.m. to 7 p.m. on Wednesday 23 September 2026 for all 395 seats in the House of Representatives, with results due the next day. It is the first national vote since the deadly youth-led Gen Z protests.0.61El Salvador Votes Under Its New Re-election Rules
SCHEDULED82% CONFIDENCEin 158 daysThe Wikipedia[1] article's infobox gives the election date as 28 February 2027, the same day as the legislative election.Salvadorans elect a president and the Legislative Assembly on 28 February 2027, the first national vote since the country scrapped presidential term limits in 2025.0.61The 2027 Spanish Grand Prix
SCHEDULED85% CONFIDENCEin 354 daysFormula 1's[2] own 2027 schedule gives this round's weekend as "10 - 12 Sep"; the Grand Prix is run on the Sunday, the last day of the weekend.The Spanish Grand Prix runs at Madrid's Madring, the part-street, part-permanent circuit around IFEMA that took the race off Barcelona.0.61France Votes in the 2027 Presidential Election
Elysee Palace, 55 Rue du Faubourg Saint-Honore, Paris, France
SCHEDULED78% CONFIDENCEin 207 daysThe French government announced the date after a cabinet meeting on 30 June 2026, and the official service-public.gouv.fr[2] page now gives the rounds as "April 18 and May 2, 2027". This replaces the earlier reading, which derived April 11 from the constitutional window because Polymarket[1][3] said only "around April 2027".PolymarketPolymarketEmmanuel Macron's second term ends on May 13, 2027, which puts the first round on Sunday, April 11 and the runoff on April 25. On 20 September 2026 Polymarket's 128-name market had Marine Le Pen at 37%, Edouard Philippe at 25% and Jean-Luc Melenchon at 13%.0.60British Columbia Votes in a Snap Provincial Election
SCHEDULED85% CONFIDENCEin 31 daysScheduled, per elections.bc.ca[1][2]: "A provincial general election has been called. Final Voting Day is October 24, 2026." and the Ways to Vote page: "October 24 | 8 a.m. to 8 p.m. (Pacific time)".British Columbians vote on Saturday 24 October 2026 for all 93 seats in the legislature, with polls open 8 a.m. to 8 p.m. Pacific. Premier David Eby called the snap election two years early, citing the Trump trade war.0.60Brazil Votes in the First Round of Its Presidential Election
Palacio do Planalto, Praca dos Tres Poderes, Brasilia, Brazil
SCHEDULED73% CONFIDENCEin 11 daysPolymarket's[1][2] rules open with "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026", which is the first Sunday of October, the date Brazilian law sets.PolymarketPolymarketBrazil's presidential election is scheduled for Sunday, October 4, 2026. On 20 September 2026 Polymarket's winner market, which includes any second round, had Flavio Bolsonaro at 58% and Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva at 42%; a runoff, if no one clears 50%, falls on October 25.0.59Finland Elects Its First Post-NATO Parliament
SCHEDULED85% CONFIDENCEin 207 daysThe Ministry of Justice's own election service gives the election day as "Sunday 18 April 2027", matching Wikipedia's[1] "Parliamentary elections will be held in Finland on 18 April 2027".Finns elect the 200 members of the Eduskunta on 18 April 2027, the first parliamentary election since Finland joined NATO in 2023.0.59Germany Elects Its Next Bundestag
Reichstag building, Platz der Republik 1, Berlin, Germany
ESTIMATED60% CONFIDENCEin 2.5 yearsNo date has been set. Kalshi[1] dates its event to March 25, 2029, the last day the Basic Law's 46-to-48-month window allows after the current Bundestag first sat on March 25, 2025; a snap election would come earlier.KalshiPolymarketThe Bundestag elected in February 2025 first sat on March 25, 2025, and the Basic Law requires a new election 46 to 48 months later - March 25, 2029 at the latest. On 20 September 2026 Kalshi's winner market had the AfD at 85% and the CDU/CSU at 12%.0.59Micronesia Elects Its Congress
SCHEDULED83% CONFIDENCEin 160 daysWikipedia[1] states "General elections are scheduled to be held in the Federated States of Micronesia on 2 March 2027", sourced to the FSM National Election Office.The Federated States of Micronesia holds general elections on 2 March 2027 for its 14-member Congress, including the four state senators elected every four years.0.59Argentina Votes for a President and Congress
SCHEDULED75% CONFIDENCEin 1.1 yearsWikipedia[1] states "General elections are scheduled to take place in Argentina on 24 October 2027", the fourth Sunday of October that Argentine law sets for a general election.Argentines choose a president and renew Congress on 24 October 2027, the first presidential election since Javier Milei's 2023 win.0.59
