99th Academy Awards Crown the Best Picture of 2026

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• 映画2026/09/20@OddsDesk

  The Highest-Grossing Film of 2026 Is Settled on 31 December

  Sony Pictures Studios, 10202 West Washington Boulevard, Culver City, CA 90232, USA

  

  開始 2026/12/31予定確度 72%99 日後The 2026 calendar year closes on 31 December, and Polymarket's^[1] own rules tie settlement to Box Office Mojo's^[2] 2026 calendar-gross table once that day's data is available.

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  Polymarket's $17m market on the year's biggest film was close to done on 20 September 2026: Spider-Man: Brand New Day was priced at 94%, with Avengers: Doomsday a distant 4% and everything else at a cent or less. It resolves on Box Office Mojo's 2026 domestic calendar gross once 31 December's numbers land.

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• ゲーム2026/09/20@OddsDesk

  The Game Awards 2026 Names Its Game of the Year

  Peacock Theater, 777 Chick Hearn Court, Los Angeles, CA 90015, USA

  

  開始 2026/12/10予定確度 78%78 日後The Game Awards^[2]' own announcement and the Peacock Theater's^[3] event listing both give Thursday 10 December 2026, and Polymarket's market on the same award ends that night.

   Kalshi

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  The Game Awards return to the Peacock Theater in Los Angeles on Thursday 10 December 2026. On 20 September 2026 Kalshi had Grand Theft Auto VI at 69% for Game of the Year, well clear of Resident Evil Requiem at 14% and Phantom Blade Zero at 7%.

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• 文学2026/09/20@ScienceDesk

  The Swedish Academy Names the 2026 Literature Laureate

  Swedish AcademyBörssalen, Svenska Akademien, Källargränd 4, Stockholm, Sweden

  開始 2026/10/08 11:00予定確度 87%15 日後The Nobel Foundation's press release sets it for "Thursday, 8 October, 13:00 CEST at the earliest", so the hour can slip later in the day.^[1]

  The Swedish Academy announces the 2026 Nobel Prize in Literature from the Börssalen in Stockholm's old stock exchange, where its permanent secretary opens the doors to say the name aloud.

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• 音楽2026/09/20@OddsDesk

  The 69th Grammy Awards Pick Album of the Year

  Crypto.com Arena, 1111 South Figueroa Street, Los Angeles, CA 90015, USA

  

  開始 2027/02/07予定確度 82%137 日後Variety^[3] and Deadline reported the Recording Academy's announced date of 7 February 2027 when the telecast moved to ABC, and Kalshi's^[1] market expires the morning after.

   Kalshi

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  The 69th Grammy Awards are on Sunday 7 February 2027 at Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles, the first Grammys on ABC since 1972. On 20 September 2026 Kalshi's Album of the Year market led with "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" at 37% and Rosalía's "Lux" at 25%.

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• 映画2026/09/21@FilmDesk

  Cannes Opens Its 80th Festival

  Palais des Festivals et des Congrès, Cannes, FranceFestival de Cannes

  

  2027/05/11〜2027/05/22予定確度 83%230 日後Screen reports the festival has confirmed its 2027 dates: the 80th edition runs from Tuesday 11 May to Saturday 22 May 2027. The pin's exclusive end is the following midnight UTC.^[1]

  The Cannes Film Festival runs 11-22 May 2027 at the Palais des Festivals, its 80th edition.

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• 地政学2026/09/20@OddsDesk

  Norwegian Nobel Committee Names the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize Winner

  Norwegian Nobel Institute, Henrik Ibsens gate 51, Oslo, Norway

  

  開始 2026/10/09 9:00予定確度 86%16 日後NobelPrize.org^[2][5]'s announcement schedule and the Nobel Peace Center put the Peace Prize announcement on Friday 9 October 2026 at 11:00 CEST (09:00 UTC).

   Kalshi

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  The Norwegian Nobel Committee announces the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize in Oslo on 9 October at 11:00 CEST, choosing from 287 nominees (208 individuals, 79 organizations). On 20 September 2026 Kalshi had no clear favourite: Doctors Without Borders at 13%, Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms at 12% and Save the Children at 11%.

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• スポーツ2026/09/20@OddsDesk

  The 2026 Ballon d'Or Is Awarded in London

  London Palladium, 8 Argyll Street, London W1F 7TF, United Kingdom

  

  開始 2026/10/26予定確度 71%33 日後Yahoo^[3] Sports and Athlon both give Monday 26 October 2026 for the ceremony, and Polymarket's^[2] Ballon d'Or market ends 26 October, so the date is firm even though organisers had not formally confirmed the venue.

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  For the first time the Ballon d'Or leaves Paris: the 2026 ceremony is on Monday 26 October 2026 in London, marking 70 years since the first award. On 20 September 2026 Harry Kane was a clear favourite on both exchanges at 55-56%, with Lamine Yamal at 22% and Kylian Mbappé at 8%.

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• 映画2026/09/20@FilmDesk

  Children of Blood and Bone Opens in Theaters January 15

  5555 Melrose Ave, Los Angeles, CA 90038Paramount Pictures

  

  開始 2027/01/15予定確度 73%114 日後Wikipedia^[1] lists "January 15, 2027" as the scheduled release date, matching Geek Vibes Nation's^[2] 2027 list.

  Children of Blood and Bone is an upcoming American fantasy film directed by Gina Prince-Bythewood, who co-wrote the screenplay with Tomi Adeyemi, based on the 2018 novel by Adeyemi. The film stars Thuso Mbedu, Damson Idris, Amandla Stenberg, Tosin Cole, Cynthia Erivo, Lashana Lynch, Zackary Momoh, Richard Mofe-Damijo, Chiwetel Ejiofor, Regina King, Idris Elba, and Viola Davis.

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• 映画2026/09/20@FilmDesk

  Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse (2023) Opens in Theaters

  10202 W Washington Blvd, Culver City, CA 90232Sony Pictures Animation

  

  開始 2023/06/02確定確度 90%3.3 年前Released theatrically on June 2, 2023 per the film's Wikipedia^[1] infobox.

  Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse is a 2023 American animated superhero film directed by Joaquim Dos Santos, Kemp Powers and Justin K. Thompson from a screenplay by the writing team of Phil Lord and Christopher Miller and Dave Callaham.

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• 科学2026/09/20@ScienceDesk

  The Royal Swedish Academy Names the 2026 Physics Laureates

  Royal Swedish Academy of SciencesSession Hall, Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences, Lilla Frescativägen 4A, Stockholm, Sweden

  開始 2026/10/06 9:45予定確度 87%13 日後The Nobel Foundation's press release sets it for "Tuesday, 6 October, 11:45 CEST at the earliest", so the hour can slip later in the day.^[1]

  The Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences announces the 2026 Nobel Prize in Physics from its Session Hall at Frescati in Stockholm. The prize may be split between up to three laureates.

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• 科学2026/09/20@ScienceDesk

  The Royal Swedish Academy Names the 2026 Chemistry Laureates

  Royal Swedish Academy of SciencesSession Hall, Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences, Lilla Frescativägen 4A, Stockholm, Sweden

  開始 2026/10/07 9:45予定確度 87%14 日後The Nobel Foundation's press release sets it for "Wednesday, 7 October, 11:45 CEST at the earliest", so the hour can slip later in the day.^[1]

  The Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences announces the 2026 Nobel Prize in Chemistry from its Session Hall at Frescati in Stockholm, a day after the physics prize.

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• 映画2026/09/20@FilmDesk

  Supergirl (2026) Opens in Theaters

  4000 Warner Blvd, Burbank, CA 91522Warner Bros.

  

  開始 2026/06/26確定確度 90%89 日前Released theatrically on June 26, 2026 per the film's Wikipedia^[1] infobox.

  Supergirl is a 2026 American superhero film based on the DC Comics superheroine Kara Zor-El / Supergirl. Directed by Craig Gillespie and written by Ana Nogueira, it is the second film in the DC Universe (DCU).

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