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Starship、Starlink Group 31-1を打ち上げ（Starship 第14回飛行）
予定確度 79%2026年9月22日付で引用されたSpaceX[1]：「規制当局の承認を前提に、Starship 第14回飛行の打ち上げを早ければ9月28日（月）に実施する方向で調整中。75分間の打ち上げウィンドウは中部時間午前7時15分に開く」。すでに9月22日から1度延期されており、FAAのライセンスも未取得のままだった。
Kalshi
Polymarket
2段式打ち上げ機Starshipの14回目の試験飛行。Starship V3としては3回目の飛行で、Starshipが衛星（Starlink Group 31-1と呼ばれるStarlink衛星の一群）を安定した地球低軌道に放出する初めての飛行となる。
宇宙船は地表から高度約275kmを飛行し、約10時間かけて地球を約6周する見込みで、着水はチリ西方の太平洋を目標としている。
第14回飛行におけるブースターの主な試験目標は、打ち上げ、上昇、段分離、ブーストバック燃焼、そして湾内の洋上着陸地点での着陸燃焼を成功させることである。
Starshipは初めて26基のStarlink V3衛星を軌道へ運び、ネットワーク容量とユーザー速度の大幅な拡大を目指す。Starlink V3衛星1基あたり、コンステレーションに1Tbpsの容量が追加される。米国テキサス州のSpaceX Starbase、Orbital Launch Pad 2から地球低軌道へ向けて離昇。ブースターはメキシコ湾に着水する予定。
$449.00
Sonos Play (Sand)
推定確度 74%Gear Patrol[2][4] (https://www.gearpatrol.com/audio/sonos[1][3][5]-play-speaker-sand/) reports the sand finish revealed 2 September 2026 with pre-orders opening immediately and shipping 'at the end of the month'. No exact ship day is published, so the pin is dated to the last day of September 2026 as an estimate.
Portable wireless speaker now available in a new sand finish.
$299.00
Lilly Presents eloraTZP Phase 2 Results at EASD 2026 in Milan
予定確度 86%Lilly's release lists "EloraTZP symposium | Wednesday, September 30, 2026 | 4:30 to 5:30 p.m. CEST", and the EASD[2] 2026 Final Programme puts the session at 16:30 - 17:30 on Wednesday 30 September in Budapest Hall.
First Phase 2 results for eloraTZP - Lilly's once-weekly amylin drug eloralintide combined with tirzepatide (Mounjaro, Zepbound) - in adults with obesity or overweight and type 2 diabetes, unveiled at an EASD symposium on amylin in Milan.
Technics SL-1200 (55th Anniversary Edition)
推定確度 70%Technics[1] states only a month: the SL-1200M7G 55th Anniversary Edition is 'planned for global release in September 2026', with first deliveries at the end of the month (https://trackingangle.com[2]/features/technics-celebrates-55-years-of-the-sl-1200-series-with-a-new-limited-anniversary-edition). Month-only, so the last day of September 2026 is used.
Limited-edition direct-drive turntable in seven colors with gold details, limited to 12,000 units.
$1.5K
HPE Hosts Its Networking Investor Day in Sunnyvale
Juniper Building A, 1133 Innovation Way, Sunnyvale, California 94089, United States
Hewlett Packard Enterprise…
予定確度 84%HPE's[1][2][3][4][5] release: "HPE (NYSE: HPE) will host its Networking Investor Day on September 30, 2026, in Sunnyvale, California ... The webcast will begin Wednesday, September 30, at 10:30 a.m. CT (8:30 a.m. PT)", which is 15:30 UTC; HPE's investor events page gives the same "Wednesday, September 30 at 8:30AM PT".
Rami Rahim and his HPE Networking leadership team set out the strategy and growth plans of the business built around Juniper, now $2.9 billion of revenue a quarter, in a webcast from Sunnyvale starting at 8:30 a.m. PT.
ソニー WH-1000XM4C
推定確度 78%正確な発売日を示す情報源はない。ソニー自身の2026年9月7日付プレスリリース（https://sony[1].mediaroom.com[2]/2026-09-07-Sony-Electronics-Introduces-WH-1000XM4C-M4-2nd-Gen-Wireless-Noise-Cancelling-Headphones-and-Updates-Popular-Mid-and-Entry-Level-Wireless-Headphones-with-WH-CH730N-and-WH-CH530）は、WH-1000XM4Cについて「今秋、ブラックとプラチナシルバーで発売予定」と述べるにとどまる。小売関連の報道では2026年9月に絞られ、配送は9月23日〜10月1日とされている。推定として、示された月の最終日である2026年9月30日とした。
10バンドイコライザーを備えたミドルレンジのノイズキャンセリングヘッドホン。
$300.00
ソニー ULT Towerシリーズ（2026年）
推定確度 71%ソニーは2026年9月1日にULT Tower Max、Tower 7、Tower 5を発表したが、同社のプレスセンターでは発売時期を2026年9月としか示していない（https://www.sony[1].eu/presscentre/sony-expands-its-ult-power-sound-series-lineup-with-3-new-bass-powered-speakers）。月までしか判明していないため、このピンは推定として2026年9月30日付としている。
LEDライティングとBluetooth Auracast対応のParty Chain機能を備えたパーティースピーカー3機種。
Fosi Audio Disc Nano
推定確度 75%正確な発売日を示す情報源はない。2026年9月10日付の Gear Patrol[3][5] の記事（https://www.gearpatrol.com/audio/fosi-audio[1][2]-disc-nano-portable-cd-player/）は「Fosi Audio の Disc Nano CDプレーヤーは今月中に発売される。価格は99ドル」と述べており、当時はまだ発売されていなかった。推定として、記載された月の末日である2026年9月30日とした。
ディスクが半分露出したデザインのポータブルCDプレーヤー。Bluetoothと MagSafe リングマウントに対応。
$99.00
ソニー WH-CH730N
推定確度 76%正確な発売日を示す情報源はない。ソニー自身の2026年9月7日付プレスリリース（https://sony[1].mediaroom.com[3]/2026-09-07-Sony-Electronics-Introduces-WH-1000XM4C-M4-2nd-Gen-Wireless-Noise-Cancelling-Headphones-and-Updates-Popular-Mid-and-Entry-Level-Wireless-Headphones-with-WH-CH730N-and-WH-CH530）はWH-CH730Nが「2026年9月より」発売されるとしており、同リリースを伝えたEngadget[4]の記事もソニーが「今月中にWH-CH730Nを出荷する」と記している。推定として、記載された月の末日である2026年9月30日を日付とした。
アクティブノイズキャンセリングと50時間バッテリーを備えた低価格ワイヤレスヘッドホン。
$180.00
Jakarta Sets September 2026 Groundbreaking for Its Giant Sea Wall
Jakarta Bay, Jakarta, Indonesia
推定確度 70%Estimated: the January target was September 2026, but on 3 September 2026 CNN Indonesia[2] reported Governor Pramono is "menunggu arahan dari pemerintah pusat" (awaiting the central government's direction) rather than confirming it, and on 20 August he said "Ini kan pemerintah pusat. Kita menunggu saja" when asked if it would go ahead in September.
Jakarta's government targeted September 2026 to break ground on its 19km stretch of a hybrid concrete-and-mangrove sea wall, part of a revised, roughly 500km national coastal defence plan that has replaced the earlier Garuda-shaped bird design.
Samsung Cuts 739 New Jersey Roles as Its US Headquarters Moves to Texas
予定確度 79%The New Jersey Department of Labor's 2026 WARN Notice Archive lists "Samsung Electronics America, Inc. | Englewood Cliffs | July | 9/30/26 | 739" (effective date and number affected).[1]
Samsung Electronics America's New Jersey WARN notice lists 739 roles at its Englewood Cliffs headquarters ending on 30 September 2026, about 62% of its roughly 1,200 New Jersey staff, as the unit moves to Plano, Texas.
Zalando Closes Its Erfurt Fulfilment Centre
予定確度 80%Zalando's[1] 8 January 2026 release says it will "close our fulfilment centre in Erfurt, Germany, planned for the end of September 2026", and on 9 July 2026 a spokesman told dpa "Es bleibe bei der Standortschließung Ende September" (the closure stays at the end of September); pinned to 30 September.
Zalando is due to shut its Erfurt fulfilment centre at the end of September 2026, ending the jobs of about 2,100 remaining staff at a site that employed around 2,700 when the closure was announced.
€80M
$280.00
$140.00
US Fiscal Year 2027 Begins on a Stopgap
United States Department of the Treasury, Washington, D.C., United States
United States Department of the Treasury
予定確度 84%The US federal fiscal year runs 1 October to 30 September, so fiscal year 2027 begins on 1 October 2026 and ends on 30 September 2027.[1]
Polymarket
Fiscal year 2027 starts on 1 October 2026 with none of the twelve appropriations bills through both chambers, so the government runs on the continuing resolution signed in September rather than on a budget.
Benjamin Cowen Predicts Bitcoin Will Bottom in October 2026
推定確度 72%Cowen's own timeline, not a confirmed date: he expects the bottom about a year after the cycle's October 2025 top, the same gap as the prior two cycles, unless a deep capitulation event pulls it forward to around May 2026. He has separately named $40,000 - where Realized Price and Balanced Price converge - as the level he watches for that bottom.[1]
Benjamin Cowen, founder of Into The Cryptoverse and a former NASA researcher, argues Bitcoin's current cycle should bottom around October 2026 — about a year after its October 2025 peak near $126,000, matching the gap between top and bottom in each of Bitcoin's two prior cycles. He leaves room for an earlier low around May 2026 only if a sharp capitulation event pushes the year's returns well outside the range typical of past midterm-cycle years; CryptoQuant's on-chain models point to a similar September-November window.
『War』放送開始
『War』は、ロンドンで最も名声の高いライバル法律事務所2社——Cathcarts と Taylor & Byrne——が、世紀の離婚訴訟で真っ向から激突する物語。どちらも勝利を確信している。しかし訴訟が泥沼化し、忠誠心にひびが入るにつれ、双方の評判が懸かり、誰もが勝ちにいく。第1話「It's Done」：IT長者のモーガン・ヘンダーソンがある女性と関係を持つが、その女性は密かに2人の写真を撮り、彼の妻で映画スターのカーラに送りつける。カーラの弁護士ニコラス・テイラーとセリーナ・バーンは、依頼人のハニートラップ的手法に動揺しつつも、名を上げられるかもしれないこの案件を手放せない。やがて2人は、モーガン側の弁護士 Cathcarts & Sons と、どちらが先に離婚申立書を送達するかを競うことになる。シーズン1はHBOでスタート。
OpenAI Retires GPT-5.4-Cyber
予定確度 80%OpenAI's[1][2] own deprecation page, announced 2026-09-11, gives the shutdown date as 1 October 2026. A shutdown date is the vendor's commitment to developers and is occasionally pushed back, never brought forward.
OpenAI switches off GPT-5.4-Cyber on 1 October 2026; requests to them stop working and callers have to move to the named replacements. Going: gpt-5.4-cyber.
Falcon 9 launches Crew-13
SpaceX Crew-13 is the thirteenth crewed operational flight of a Crew Dragon spacecraft to the International Space Station as part of NASA's Commercial Crew Program. Lifts off from Space Launch Complex 40, Cape Canaveral SFS, FL, USA to Low Earth Orbit. The booster is due to land at Landing Zone 40.
Scrubs Season 2 Premieres
Old friends JD and Turk scrub in together for the first time in a long time, learning that medicine has changed; interns have changed; but their bromance has stood the test of time. The premiere, "My First Time in a While": J.D. enlists Turk and Elliot to help with Dr. Cox's care. Meanwhile, Elliot finds an unexpected burst of confidence years in the making. Season 2 starts on ABC.
The Apothecary Diaries Season 3 Premieres
予定確度 78%MyAnimeList's[1] own listing gives an exact broadcast-start date, "Oct 2, 2026 to ?" — announced and scheduled, but not yet aired.
The third season of The Apothecary Diaries begins airing, continuing Maomao's palace intrigue in the wake of the Shi clan's fall as Jinshi confronts his new role and a warning of coming disaster.
Google and DOJ Due to File a Joint Proposed Final Judgment in Ad Tech Case
Albert V. Bryan United States Courthouse, 401 Courthouse Square, Alexandria, VA 22314, United States
Google…
予定確度 86%The court's 2 September 2026 order (ECF 1857) directs the parties to "file one jointly proposed Final Judgment" "within 30 days of the date of this Order", which falls on 2 October 2026, and AdExchanger[1] reports "Both parties have until October 2 to submit their proposed final judgments".
Google and the Justice Department must file one jointly proposed Final Judgment in the ad tech antitrust case by 2 October 2026, writing Judge Brinkema's behavioral remedies into an order that takes effect 60 days after she enters it.
Law & Order Toronto: Criminal Intent Season 4 Premieres
予定確度 80%全 10 話予定TVmaze's[1][2] forward schedule gives 2026-10-01 as the announced premiere on Citytv.
In Toronto's war on crime, the worst offenders are pursued by the detectives of the specialized criminal investigations unit. These are their stories.As a psychological thriller wrapped in a criminal investigation, Law & Order Toronto: Criminal Intent follows an elite squad of detectives who investigate high-profile crime and corruption in metro Toronto. The premiere, "Diplomatico": Bateman must adjust to an unexpected change when she is assigned a new partner from the Guns & Gangs unit. Season 4 starts on Citytv.
Tesla Q3 2026 Production, Deliveries and Deployments Report
推定確度 75%Tesla[1] has not announced the date (Benzinga, 17 Sept 2026: "Tesla has not announced its Q3 delivery date. Its second-quarter tally arrived two days after the quarter ended."); it released Q3 2025 figures on 2 October 2025 and Q1 and Q2 2026 figures on 2 April and 2 July 2026, so 2 October 2026 is estimated from that pattern.
Tesla is expected to publish its third-quarter 2026 vehicle production, deliveries and energy-storage deployments on 2 October, after a 480,126-delivery second quarter; Q3 forecasts run from Goldman Sachs' 435,000 to a 456,000 Visible Alpha consensus.
Tesla Reveals the Next-Generation Roadster in Waco
延期6 か月遅れ確度 73%Not a Tesla App: Tesla is "locking in October 1, 2026, for the reveal" with a countdown to "UTC: October 2, 12:30 AM" (8:30 PM Eastern), after target dates "bounced from an original internal goal of April 1, 2026".[1]
Tesla unveils the long-delayed second-generation Roadster at an invite-only event for reservation holders in Waco, Texas, with a teaser showing SpaceX-style cold-gas thrusters.
$200K
Black Clover Season 2 Premieres
予定確度 78%MyAnimeList's[1] own listing gives an exact broadcast-start date, "Oct 3, 2026 to ?" — announced and scheduled, but not yet aired.
Studio Pierrot's Black Clover returns for a second season, continuing Asta and Yuno's story in the Clover Kingdom after the original run ended its manga catch-up in 2021.
Blue Box Season 2 Premieres
予定確度 78%MyAnimeList's[1] own listing gives an exact broadcast-start date, "Oct 4, 2026 to ?" — announced and scheduled, but not yet aired.
Electric Circus's second season of Blue Box continues Taiki and Chinatsu's sports romance as they navigate badminton, basketball, and their feelings for each other.
Ranma ½ (2024) Season 3 Premieres
予定確度 83%The October 4, 2026 Nippon TV premiere comes from the official site as reported by MyAnimeList[1][2] and appears on the title's MAL page and Wikipedia[3].
MAPPA's remake of Rumiko Takahashi's Ranma ½ returns for a third season on Nippon TV, bringing in new faces such as the Furinkan headmaster voiced by Masako Nozawa.
Heartland Season 20 Premieres
Life is hard on the Flemings' ranch in the Alberta foothills where abused or neglected horses find refuge with a kind, hard-working family. Debts abound and the bank is about to foreclose. Can they keep the ranch running? Season 20 starts on CBC Gem.
TMS Entertainment
Googlebook Laptops Go On Sale
予定確度 81%Google's announcement says "Devices arrive on shelves starting October 4 in the U.S., and October 5 in Canada, the U.K., Ireland, France, Germany, and Australia", with pre-orders "now open" from September 21.[1]
Google's Googlebook, a new premium laptop category built on Android and designed for Gemini, reaches US shelves on October 4, 2026, from $899, after pre-orders opened on September 21.
$899.00
Brazil Votes in the First Round of Its Presidential Election
Palacio do Planalto, Praca dos Tres Poderes, Brasilia, Brazil
予定確度 73%Polymarket's[1][2] rules open with "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026", which is the first Sunday of October, the date Brazilian law sets.
Polymarket
Polymarket
Brazil's presidential election is scheduled for Sunday, October 4, 2026. On 20 September 2026 Polymarket's winner market, which includes any second round, had Flavio Bolsonaro at 58% and Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva at 42%; a runoff, if no one clears 50%, falls on October 25.
TikTok Closes Its Nashville Office, Cutting 250 Jobs
予定確度 80%The Tennessee Department of Labor's WARN memo dated August 5, 2026 says TikTok USDS JV notified the agency "of a permanent closure effective October 5, 2026. The total number of affected workers is 250."[1]
TikTok's US joint venture is permanently closing its Music Row office in Nashville on 5 October 2026, eliminating all 250 jobs there, including members of its content-moderation team.
Marshals Season 2 Premieres
Marshals stars Luke Grimes reprising his role as Kayce Dutton. With the Yellowstone Ranch behind him, Dutton joins an elite unit of U.S. Marshals, combining his skills as a cowboy and Navy SEAL to bring range justice to Montana. Kayce and his teammates - Pete Calvin, Belle Skinner, Andrea Cruz and Miles Kittle - must balance the high psychological cost of serving as the last line of defense in the region's war on violence with their duty to their families, which for Kayce includes his son Tate and his confidants Thomas Rainwater and Mo from the Broken Rock reservation. The premiere, "All Hat No Cattle": When Kayce realizes Tate has been taken hostage, he goes rogue in a desperate race to save his son as the Marshals uncover a powerful criminal operation tied to the East Camp land grab. A violent showdown ensues, putting everything Kayce cares about at risk. Season 2 starts on CBS.
Signora Volpe Season 3 Premieres
予定確度 80%全 3 話予定TVmaze's[1][2] forward schedule gives 2026-10-05 as the announced premiere on Acorn TV.
To the casual observer, there's nothing remarkable about Sylvia. An intelligent, confident woman, Sylvia tends to keep quiet about her formidable linguistic abilities, impressive knowledge of weaponry, and skills as a markswoman. Questions about her professional life are met with bland answers about an unspectacular career in the Civil Service. Which is only very slightly true – because until recently, Sylvia was a high-ranking British spy. The premiere, "Bitter Harvest": After a winery owner confides that someone wants him dead, Sylvia discovers the man murdered in his vineyard; Riva and Barzini follow the evidence while Sylvia probes the Lazzarini family's secrets, drawing her dangerously close to the killer. Season 3 starts on Acorn TV.
The Nobel Assembly Names the 2026 Medicine Laureates
予定確度 87%The Nobel Foundation's press release sets it for "Monday, 5 October, 11:30 CEST at the earliest", so the hour can slip later in the day.[1]
The Nobel Assembly at Karolinska Institutet announces the 2026 Nobel Prize in Physiology or Medicine from Wallenbergsalen in the Nobel Forum, opening Nobel week. The announcement is broadcast live and the laureates are usually telephoned only minutes beforehand.
FBI Season 9 Premieres
FBI is a fast-paced drama about the inner workings of the New York Field Office of the Federal Bureau of Investigation. These first-class agents, including Special Agent Maggie Bell and her partner, Special Agent Omar Adom 'OA' Zidan, bring all their talents, intellect and technical expertise on major cases in order to keep New York and the country safe. The premiere, "Rendition": After a young traveler is found shot dead in a state park, the team discovers she was witness to an execution of a person involved in a top-secret government sponsored project. Meanwhile, Maggie struggles to bond with her new partner Isaiah Green, OA adjusts to a new role and CIA's Deputy Chief of Station Nikki Reynard lends a helping hand on the case. Season 9 starts on CBS.