CONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins97% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 97%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better64 days ago
Confirmed: All20 retrieved finalized contracts give expiration_value90.75 for 2026-08-3117:00EDT. Forecast history is reconstructed from exchange hourly candles cut off24 hours earlier, not invented from settled binary prices.[1] Kalshi
Kalshi’s August terminal observation settled at US$90.75/bbl. The reconstructed24-hour-ahead modal band was US$88.99–90.99; estimated final-book dollar turnover was US$124,287. This is a retrospective verified settlement, not a new forecast.