ESTIMATEDDate confidence: ESTIMATEDA target, not a fixed dateHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all ESTIMATED pins85% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 85%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better1 day ago
Estimated: October 30, 2026 evening observation: all 30 October Brent threshold contracts are closed after their 21:00 UTC / 17:00 EDT observation time, but the opened exchange API publishes neither expiration_value nor result. Aggregate volume is 262,218.52 contract units, not reported dollar turnover. Closed is not the same as finalized: the realized settlement price and accuracy explanation remain pending. Current empty-book quotes of zero bid/one-dollar ask do not supply a valid new forecast. The earlier morning distribution is retained below as history, not represented as live evening odds.[1] Kalshi
October Brent contracts closed after the October 30 observation, but the exchange has not published a realized settlement value or result. Earlier forecast history is retained; confirmation remains pending.