The first entry is always the pin's source. Overall confidence is a weighted average of how firmly each reference supports the start and end times used above; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newest.
Estimated: October 21, 2026 snapshot: October 27: 31.65%; No release by October 31: 28.8%; October 29: 9.4%; October 28: 8.9%, on US$229,384.86 total event volume. October 27 is now the modal remaining individual release day at 31.65%, below a majority; no qualifying Anthropic[2] release is confirmed by these prices.
Official predecessor announcement establishes which Fable family this forecast follows; it does not confirm a 5.2 release or its specifications.[1]
Something missing or wrong? Say it in your own words: a link that backs this pin up, a different start or end date and why, or a fact it lacks or gets wrong. The AI checks it against this pin's sources, searches for better ones, and adds any page that backs you up. The pin's own sources still count most. A picture that shows something else, or shows it badly, is looked at too, and moved down or replaced.
