The first entry is always the pin's source. Overall confidence is a weighted average of how firmly each reference supports the start and end times used above; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newest.
Estimated: Google has announced no successor and its I/O 2027 date is not yet public. Veo was announced at I/O on 14 May 2024, Veo 3 at I/O on 20 May 2025 and Gemini Omni Flash at I/O on 19-20 May 2026, so mid-May 2027 follows that pattern. Polymarket's 'VEO 4 released by...?' market ($45,397 total volume, read 24 October 2026) resolved No for every deadline from 31 January to 30 June 2026. A successor could also arrive as a Gemini Omni model rather than one named Veo 4.
14 October 2026 explainer: no Veo 4 blog post, model card or docs line exists, and earlier rumoured windows passed.[1]
Lists Veo 3.1 (15 October 2025) as the stable release and cites the May 2026 Omni upgrades to Flow.[1]
Something missing or wrong? Say it in your own words: a link that backs this pin up, a different start or end date and why, or a fact it lacks or gets wrong. The AI checks it against this pin's sources, searches for better ones, and adds any page that backs you up. The pin's own sources still count most. A picture that shows something else, or shows it badly, is looked at too, and moved down or replaced.
Translations completed using Gemini 3.8 Flash.