Cambodia Confirms Sixth Human H5N1 Case of 2026

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• Health09/30/2026@ThePinGang

  Hong Kong Reports First Local Chikungunya Case of 2026

  Li Tak Street, Tai Kok Tsui, Kowloon, Hong KongCentre for Health Protection (Hong Kong)

  

  Starts 09/17/2026CONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins79% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 79%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better13 days agoThe CHP press release of 17 September 2026 announces it is "investigating a locally acquired case of chikungunya fever" and that "Hong Kong has recorded three confirmed CF cases this year to date, including one local case".^[1]

  Hong Kong's Centre for Health Protection reported on 17 September a locally acquired chikungunya case in a 55-year-old woman from Tai Kok Tsui who had no travel history. The city has recorded three cases in 2026 (one local, two imported) against 82 in 2025.

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• Health09/30/2026@ThePinGang

  Pakistan Confirms Fifth Wild Polio Case of 2026 in Bannu

  Domel, Bannu District, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, PakistanNational Emergency Operations Centre (Pakistan)

  

  Starts 09/29/2026CONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins79% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 79%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better1 day agoGeo^[1] News^[2], 29 September 2026: the NEOC reported "the fifth polio case of 2026", a 17-month-old girl in Domel tehsil, Bannu.

  Pakistan's National Emergency Operations Centre announced on 29 September a wild poliovirus case in a 17-month-old girl from Khandar Khankhel union council, Domel tehsil, Bannu district, the fifth of 2026. Four of the five cases are from Bannu division; Pakistan reported 31 in 2025.

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• Health09/30/2026@ThePinGang

  South-East Asia's Measles and Rubella Elimination Deadline Falls

  WHO Regional Office for South-East Asia, Indraprastha Estate, New Delhi, IndiaWorld Health Organization

  

  Starts 12/31/2026DELAYEDDate confidence: DELAYEDThe date has movedHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all DELAYED pins6 years late68% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 68%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins from 50% to 74% confidencein 92 daysAt the Seventy-seventh Regional Committee on 10 October 2024 members "agreed to extend the target for elimination of measles and rubella by the Region, aspiring to achieve by 2026"; a year alone is taken as its last day.^[1]

  WHO South-East Asia's target to eliminate measles and rubella by 2026 reaches its deadline on 31 December, after being moved from 2020 to 2023 to 2026. The Regional Verification Commission warned in June that the target "may not be achieved" as outbreaks rise in Bangladesh, India, Nepal, Thailand and Maldives.

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• Health09/30/2026@ThePinGang

  80th World Health Assembly Opens in Geneva; PABS Annex Due

  Palais des Nations, Avenue de la Paix 8-14, 1211 Geneva, SwitzerlandWorld Health Organization

  

  05/23/2027 - 05/30/2027SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins75% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 75%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or betterin 235 daysWHO's^[1][2][3][4] constitutional meetings calendar lists "23-30 May" Geneva for the "Eightieth World Health Assembly", and the 18 September 2026 news item names "May 2027" (WHA80) for the PABS annex.

  The World Health Assembly opens in Geneva on 23 May 2027 with the Pandemic Agreement's pathogen access and benefit-sharing (PABS) annex due for consideration after member states extended the negotiations in 2026.

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• Health09/30/2026@ThePinGang

  PAHO: Americas Measles Passes 51,000 Cases in 2026

  Pan American Health Organization, Washington, DC, USAPAHO

  

  Starts 09/01/2026CONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins78% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 78%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better29 days agoPAHO^[1][2][4] Situation Report #10 is titled '1 September 2026'; counts are for weeks 1-33 ending 22 August 2026.

  PAHO's Situation Report #10 reports 51,027 confirmed measles cases and 55 deaths in 17 countries and territories in epidemiological weeks 1-33 of 2026 (to 22 August), led by Guatemala, Mexico, the US and Canada.

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• Health09/30/2026@ThePinGang

  France Ends 2026 Chikungunya and Dengue Surveillance Season

  Santé publique France, Saint-Maurice, FranceSanté publique France

  

  Starts 11/30/2026ESTIMATEDDate confidence: ESTIMATEDA target, not a fixed dateHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all ESTIMATED pins70% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 70%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins from 50% to 74% confidencein 61 daysEstimated: SPF's data page says enhanced surveillance 'typically runs from May 1 to November 30'; the 2026 bulletin covers 1 May onward and no 2026 end date is stated.^[1]

  Santé publique France's enhanced surveillance of chikungunya, dengue, Zika and West Nile normally closes on 30 November; as of 21 September 2026 it counted 13 chikungunya episodes with 90 locally acquired cases, plus 4 dengue episodes with 6 cases.

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• Geopolitics09/20/2026@OddsDesk

  Norwegian Nobel Committee Names the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize Winner

  Norwegian Nobel Institute, Henrik Ibsens gate 51, Oslo, Norway

  

  Starts 10/09/2026 9:00AMSCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins86% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 86%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or betterin 9 daysNobelPrize.org^[2][5]'s announcement schedule and the Nobel Peace Center put the Peace Prize announcement on Friday 9 October 2026 at 11:00 CEST (09:00 UTC).

   Kalshi

  •   
  •   

  The Norwegian Nobel Committee announces the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize in Oslo on 9 October at 11:00 CEST, choosing from 287 nominees (208 individuals, 79 organizations). On 20 September 2026 Kalshi had no clear favourite: Doctors Without Borders at 13%, Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms at 12% and Save the Children at 11%.

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• Health09/30/2026@ThePinGang

  CPHIA 2026 Public Health in Africa Conference Opens in Addis Ababa

  Addis Ababa, EthiopiaAfrica CDC

  

  11/23/2026 - 11/27/2026SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins75% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 75%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or betterin 54 daysAfrica CDC's^[1][2][3] event page gives "23-27 November 2026" in Addis Ababa, co-hosted with the Government of Ethiopia.

  Africa CDC and Ethiopia host the 5th International Conference on Public Health in Africa, 23-27 November 2026, under the theme of health security and sovereignty as the Bundibugyo Ebola emergency continues.

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• Health09/30/2026@ThePinGang

  Nigeria Reports Over 65,000 Suspected Cholera Cases in 2026

  Abuja, NigeriaNigeria Centre for Disease Control and Prevention

  

  Starts 08/28/2026CONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins78% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 78%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better33 days agoPremium Times (28 August 2026) and Leadership^[2] report NCDC Director-General Jide Idris gave the figures at a press briefing in Abuja 'on Friday', which is 28 August 2026.

  At a 28 August 2026 press briefing in Abuja, NCDC said Nigeria had recorded more than 65,000 suspected cholera cases across 35 states and about 195 LGAs, with weekly cases well below the season's peak. It also cited over 10,000 confirmed diphtheria cases.

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• Health09/30/2026@ThePinGang

  Uganda Declares Its Bundibugyo Ebola Outbreak Over

  Kampala, UgandaWorld Health Organization

  

  Starts 08/27/2026CONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins78% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 78%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better34 days agoWHO^[1] Africa's news release dated 27 August 2026 says the 42-day countdown from the last patient's discharge on 16 July was complete and the outbreak had ended; Uganda had announced interruption of local transmission on 28 July.

  Africa CDC and WHO welcomed the end of Uganda's Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak after 42 consecutive days without a new confirmed case, counted from the last imported patient's discharge on 16 July 2026. Uganda reported 20 confirmed cases (15 imported from DRC, 5 local), 18 recoveries and 2 deaths.

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• Health09/30/2026@ThePinGang

  Bangladesh Dengue Deaths Reach 239 as September Toll Hits 142

  Directorate General of Health Services, Mohakhali, Dhaka, BangladeshDirectorate General of Health Services (Bangladesh)

  

  Starts 09/29/2026CONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins79% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 79%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better1 day agobdnews24^[1], 29 September 2026, citing DGHS: "six more dengue deaths as September toll rises to 142", 239 deaths so far this year.

  Bangladesh's health directorate (DGHS) reported six more dengue deaths in the 24 hours to 8 am on 29 September, taking the 2026 toll to 239, with 142 deaths in September alone, the highest month this year. Hospitals admitted 1,942 patients in the day and 77,672 since January.

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• Geopolitics09/27/2026@DefenseDesk

  Thailand and Cambodia Sign the Kuala Lumpur Peace Accord

  KLCC Convention Center, KLCC-Bukit Bintang Pedestrian Walkway, Bukit Bintang, Kuala Lumpur, 50540, MalaysiaASEAN

  

  Starts 10/26/2025CONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins80% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 80%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 3 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better339 days agoThe joint declaration states the two prime ministers, 'as witnessed by the President of the United States of America and the Prime Minister of Malaysia, having met in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, on October 26, 2025, declare the following'.^[1]

  Thai prime minister Anutin Charnvirakul and Cambodian prime minister Hun Manet signed a joint declaration at the ASEAN summit, witnessed by Donald Trump and Anwar Ibrahim, to pull heavy weapons off the border under ASEAN observers after the July 2025 fighting.

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