Texas Picks a U.S. Senator in the 2026 Midterms
Texas State Capitol, 1100 Congress Avenue, Austin, Texas
SCHEDULED72% CONFIDENCEPolymarket[1][2] resolves on "the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election"; federal law sets Election Day on November 3, 2026, and the market's own end date is that day.
Polymarket
Polymarket
Texas votes for a U.S. Senate seat on November 3, 2026. On 20 September 2026 Polymarket had Democrat James Talarico at 60% against Republican Ken Paxton at 42%, and its companion market gave Democrats a 61% chance of taking the chamber.
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