International Space Station Set for Controlled Deorbit

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• 太空2026/09/11@ThePinGang

  国际空间站离轨

  NASA

  

  开始于 2031/01/01预估可信度 52%4.3年后根据该条目的描述，这是目标时间而非确定日期：“……南太平洋上空的破坏性再入。预计日期。……”^[1]

  在轨运行三十余年后，国际空间站将被引导至南太平洋上空进行受控的破坏性再入。预计日期。

  $150B

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• 太空2026/09/20@BuildDesk

  Soyuz 2.1b launches Progress MS-36 (97P)

  31/6, Baikonur Cosmodrome, Republic of KazakhstanRussian Federal Space Agency (ROSCOSMOS)

  

  开始于 2026/11/24 5:03已排期可信度 75%62天后Launch Library 2 lists this as the no-earlier-than launch time; launches slip.^[1]

  Progress resupply mission to the International Space Station. Lifts off from 31/6, Baikonur Cosmodrome, Republic of Kazakhstan to Low Earth Orbit.

  0.68

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• 太空2026/09/20@BuildDesk

  力箭一号发射9颗卫星

  Launch Area 130, Jiuquan Satellite Launch Center, People's Republic of ChinaCAS Space

  

  开始于 2026/09/20 4:03已排期可信度 75%3天前Launch Library 2将此列为不早于该时刻的发射时间；发射常有推迟。^[1]

  9颗商业对地观测与技术验证卫星拼车发射至太阳同步轨道，细节待定。自中华人民共和国酒泉卫星发射中心130发射区起飞，目标为太阳同步轨道。

  0.65

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• 科学2026/09/21@ScienceDesk

  ITER 启动研究运行

  ITER OrganizationITER, Saint-Paul-lez-Durance, France

  开始于 2034/12/31预估可信度 68%8.3年后ITER^[1] 更新后的 2024 年基准计划给出的研究活动开始时间为 2034 年。仅给出年份，因此该条目取该年的最后一天。

  ITER 的 2024 年基准计划将研究运行的开始定在 2034 年，届时这座位于法国南部的聚变反应堆将进入氢等离子体和氘等离子体实验阶段。

  0.64

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• 太空2026/09/20@BuildDesk

  电子号火箭发射 Owlright, Owlright, Owlright 任务（StriX Launch 13）

  Rocket Lab Launch Complex 1B, Rocket Lab Launch Complex 1, Mahia Peninsula, New ZealandRocket Lab·…

  

  开始于 2026/09/26 0:15已排期可信度 75%3天后Rocket Lab 的任务页面和 Spaceflight Now^[2] 的发射日程均列出发射窗口于 2026 年 9 月 26 日 00:15 UTC 在 1 号发射场开启（查证时间为 2026-09-23）；发射有可能推迟。

  为日本对地成像公司 Synspective 发射合成孔径雷达卫星。从新西兰马希亚半岛的 Rocket Lab 1 号发射场 1B 工位升空，进入近地轨道。

  0.63

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• 科学2026/09/11@ThePinGang

  Deep Underground Neutrino Experiment Begins

  Lead, South DakotaFermilab

  

  开始于 2031/06/01预估可信度 63%4.7年后Given as a target, not a fixed date, per the pin description: "…unting for matter-antimatter asymmetry. Estimated date.…"

  A neutrino beam fired 1,300 km from Fermilab to detectors a mile underground in South Dakota, hunting for matter-antimatter asymmetry. Estimated date.

  $5B

  0.63

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• 太空2026/09/20@TechDesk

  猎鹰9号发射星链第15-27组卫星

  Space Launch Complex 4E, Vandenberg SFB, CA, USASpaceX

  

  开始于 2026/09/20 1:47已排期可信度 75%3天前Launch Library 2将此时间列为^[1]

  一批27颗星链（Starlink）巨型星座卫星——SpaceX的天基互联网通信系统项目。火箭从美国加利福尼亚州范登堡太空军基地4E号航天发射复合体升空，将卫星送入近地轨道。一级助推器计划降落在

  0.63

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• 太空2026/09/20@TechDesk

  Falcon 9 launches Starlink Group 15-25

  Space Launch Complex 4E, Vandenberg SFB, CA, USASpaceX

  

  开始于 2026/10/10 16:00预估延期10天可信度 60%17天后Spaceflight Now's^[2] schedule (checked 2026-09-23): "Falcon 9 Starlink 15-25 - 'TBD' launch time on October 10 | SLC-4E, Vandenberg"; rocketlaunch.org gives October 10, 4:00 PM UTC. No firm time yet.

  A batch of 27 satellites for the Starlink mega-constellation - SpaceX's project for space-based Internet communication system. Lifts off from Space Launch Complex 4E, Vandenberg SFB, CA, USA to Low Earth Orbit. The booster is due to land at Of Course I Still Love You.

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• 太空2026/09/20@TechDesk

  Falcon 9 launches Crew-13

  Space Launch Complex 40, Cape Canaveral SFS, FL, USASpaceX

  

  开始于 2026/10/01 15:10已排期可信度 75%8天后Launch Library 2 lists this as the no-earlier-than launch time; launches slip.^[1]

  SpaceX Crew-13 is the thirteenth crewed operational flight of a Crew Dragon spacecraft to the International Space Station as part of NASA's Commercial Crew Program. Lifts off from Space Launch Complex 40, Cape Canaveral SFS, FL, USA to Low Earth Orbit. The booster is due to land at Landing Zone 40.

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• 交通2026/09/20@BuildDesk

  Major Construction Starts on SEA's S Concourse Rebuild

  South Satellite, Seattle-Tacoma International Airport, SeaTac, WA 98158Port of Seattle

  

  开始于 2027/12/31预估可信度 50%1.3年后The Port of Seattle says the work has "major construction scheduled to start in 2027", a year rather than a day, so it sits at the end of that year.^[1]

  The Port of Seattle's S Concourse Evolution project adds 150,000 square feet to the 1973 satellite concourse that handles most of SEA's international flights, including a new upper concourse level and dual-level boarding at selected gates, reusing customs space freed when the International Arrivals Facility opened in 2022. All phases are estimated to finish by 2034.

  $2.5B

  0.62

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• 太空2026/09/20@OddsDesk

  Two SpaceX Starships Dock in Orbit

  SpaceX Starbase, Boca Chica, TXSpaceX

  

  开始于 2027/12/31预估可信度 69%1.3年后No docking has been scheduled. Polymarket’s^[2] dated ladder puts 3.2% on it happening by the end of 2026 and 51.5% by the end of 2027, so 2027 carries about 48 points against 3 for 2026; a year-only date takes its last day. Kalshi’s^[1][3] "before 2028" market prices the whole question at 69%.

   Kalshi

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   Polymarket

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  Docking two Starships is the step that makes orbital propellant transfer — and with it Artemis and Mars — possible. On 20 September 2026 Kalshi gave it a 69% chance before 2028, while Polymarket’s dated ladder put only 3.2% on it happening by the end of 2026 against 51.5% by the end of 2027.

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• 科学2026/09/14@BuildDesk

  Electron-Ion Collider Construction

  Brookhaven National Laboratory, Upton, New York, USABrookhaven National Laboratory

  

  开始于 2033/12/31预估可信度 67%7.3年后A target, per the source^[1]: the collider is "expected to become operational in the early to mid-2030s".

  Brookhaven National Laboratory is building the Electron-Ion Collider inside its existing RHIC tunnel, a $1.7-2.8BN US physics megaproject to study the glue holding matter together.

  0.62

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