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Electron launches Owlright, Owlright, Owlright (StriX Launch 13)
SCHEDULED75% CONFIDENCEin 3 daysRocket Lab's mission page and Spaceflight Now's[2] launch schedule both list the window opening at 00:15 UTC on 26 September 2026 from Launch Complex 1 (checked 2026-09-23); launches slip.Synthetic aperture radar satellite for Japanese Earth imaging company Synspective. Lifts off from Rocket Lab Launch Complex 1B, Rocket Lab Launch Complex 1, Mahia Peninsula, New Zealand to Low Earth Orbit.0.65Arianespace Launches Ariane 6 on Its Maiden Flight, VA262
CONFIRMED87% CONFIDENCE2.2 years agoArianespace's newsroom and Wikipedia's[2][3] Ariane flight VA262 article confirm Ariane 6's maiden flight lifted off from Kourou on 9 July 2024.Europe's new heavy-lift launcher Ariane 6, built by ArianeGroup, flew for the first time from the Guiana Space Centre. The inaugural flight met its main objectives despite an anomaly in an upper-stage auxiliary unit late in the mission.0.65The GCAP Combat Air Demonstrator Begins Flight Testing
ESTIMATED62% CONFIDENCEin 1.3 yearsA span the event runs from, per aerospacetestinginternational.com[1]: "Power-on is planned for mid-2027, aircraft ready by the end-2027 with flight test starting from early 2028", so the pin takes the first day of that period.Flight tests of the UK’s crewed sixth-generation demonstrator are due to start from early 2028, after power-on in mid-2027. More than 11,500 parts – about 90% of the aircraft’s weight – have been designed and released, with final assembly under way in Lancashire.0.64Dragonfly Launches for Titan
A nuclear-powered rotorcraft that will fly between sites on Saturn's moon Titan, arriving in the 2030s. Scheduled date.$3.4B0.62SpaceX Closes Out Its 2026 Launch Count
SCHEDULED75% CONFIDENCEin 99 daysAn annual count is settled when the year ends: Kalshi[1] expires the 2026 event on December 31, 2026 and Polymarket[2] closes its version at 04:59 UTC on January 1, 2027, so the date follows the market’s terms rather than an estimate.KalshiPolymarketKalshi settles its annual SpaceX launch tally at the end of 2026. On 20 September 2026 above 120 launches was all but certain at 97%, above 140 traded at 68% and above 150 at 11%. Polymarket’s bucketed version agreed, putting 140–159 at 75.9%.0.61Falcon 9 launches Starlink Group 15-25
ESTIMATED10 days late60% CONFIDENCEin 17 daysSpaceflight Now's[2] schedule (checked 2026-09-23): "Falcon 9 Starlink 15-25 - 'TBD' launch time on October 10 | SLC-4E, Vandenberg"; rocketlaunch.org gives October 10, 4:00 PM UTC. No firm time yet.A batch of 27 satellites for the Starlink mega-constellation - SpaceX's project for space-based Internet communication system. Lifts off from Space Launch Complex 4E, Vandenberg SFB, CA, USA to Low Earth Orbit. The booster is due to land at Of Course I Still Love You.0.60AMD Launches Helios Rack and Instinct MI450 GPUs
AMD launched its Helios rack-scale AI system, built on MI455X GPUs and Venice EPYC CPUs, with shipments to Microsoft starting in the second half of 2026 and a 2 GW Anthropic deployment from 2027.0.60Falcon 9 launches Starlink Group 15-27
SCHEDULED75% CONFIDENCE3 days agoLaunch Library 2 lists this as the no-earlier-than launch time; launches slip.[1]A batch of 27 satellites for the Starlink mega-constellation - SpaceX's project for space-based Internet communication system. Lifts off from Space Launch Complex 4E, Vandenberg SFB, CA, USA to Low Earth Orbit. The booster is due to land at Of Course I Still Love You.0.60Amazon Leo Consumer Satellite Internet Launch
ESTIMATED6 months late74% CONFIDENCEin 99 daysAmazon says consumer service comes 'later this year'; one report puts consumer beta in five countries in late 2026 or early 2027. The last day of 2026 is used.[1]Amazon says it has launched enough Leo satellites for initial service and will open its satellite broadband to consumers later in 2026, after an enterprise preview that began April 8.0.59ITER Starts Research Operations
ESTIMATED68% CONFIDENCEin 8.3 yearsITER's[1] updated 2024 baseline gives 2034 for the start of research activities. Only the year is stated, so the pin takes its last day.ITER's 2024 baseline puts the start of research operations in 2034, opening a period of hydrogen and deuterium plasma experiments at the fusion reactor in southern France.0.59Starship launches Starlink Group 31-1 (Starship Flight 14)
SCHEDULED79% CONFIDENCEin 5 daysSpaceX[1], quoted 22 Sep 2026: "Now targeting to launch Starship Flight 14 as early as Monday, September 28, pending regulatory approval. The 75-minute launch window will open at 7:15 a.m. CT." Already slipped once from 22 Sep, and the FAA licence was still pending.KalshiPolymarket14th test flight of the two-stage Starship launch vehicle. 3rd flight of Starship V3 and the first Starship flight to deploy satellites (a group of Starlink satellites known as Starlink Group 31-1) into stable Low Earth Orbit. The ship is expected to fly at an altitude approximately 275 km above Earth and complete approximately 6 orbits around the planet for nearly 10 hours, with splashdown targeted in the Pacific Ocean west of Chile. The booster’s primary test objective on Flight 14 will be executing a successful launch, ascent, stage separation, boostback burn, and landing burn at an offshore landing point in the Gulf. Starship will deliver 26 Starlink V3 satellites to orbit for the first time, which aim to greatly expand the network's capacity and user speeds. Each Starlink V3 satellite will add 1 Tbps of capacity to the constellation. Lifts off from Orbital Launch Pad 2, SpaceX Starbase, TX, USA to Low Earth Orbit. The booster is due to land at Gulf of Mexico.0.58Kinetica 1 launches 9 satellites
SCHEDULED75% CONFIDENCE3 days agoLaunch Library 2 lists this as the no-earlier-than launch time; launches slip.[1]Share-ride of 9 commercial Earth observation and technology demonstration satellites to SSO, details TBD. Lifts off from Launch Area 130, Jiuquan Satellite Launch Center, People's Republic of China to Sun-Synchronous Orbit.0.58
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