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The Fed Sets Rates at the October 2027 Meeting
PROGRAMADO85% DE CONFIANZAdentro de 1,1 añosThe Federal Reserve's[2] published FOMC calendar lists the meeting as "October 26-27" 2027, and Kalshi's[1] market for it strikes at the decision time on the second day. The Fed adds that "Each meeting date is tentative until confirmed at the meeting immediately preceding it".KalshiThe FOMC announces its rate decision on the second day of its October 26-27 2027 meeting. On 21 September 2026 Kalshi last traded Fed maintains rate 54%, Hike 25bps 46%, Cut 25bps 7%.0.85The Fed Sets Rates at the July 2027 Meeting
PROGRAMADO85% DE CONFIANZAdentro de 308 díasThe Federal Reserve's[2] published FOMC calendar lists the meeting as "July 27-28" 2027, and Kalshi's[1] market for it strikes at the decision time on the second day. The Fed adds that "Each meeting date is tentative until confirmed at the meeting immediately preceding it".KalshiThe FOMC announces its rate decision on the second day of its July 27-28 2027 meeting. On 21 September 2026 Kalshi last traded Fed maintains rate 76%, Hike 25bps 17%, Hike >25bps 10%.0.82The Fed Sets Rates at the January 2027 Meeting
PROGRAMADO85% DE CONFIANZAdentro de 126 díasThe Federal Reserve's[2] published FOMC calendar lists the meeting as "January 26-27" 2027, and Kalshi's[1] market for it strikes at the decision time on the second day. The Fed adds that "Each meeting date is tentative until confirmed at the meeting immediately preceding it".KalshiThe FOMC announces its rate decision on the second day of its January 26-27 2027 meeting. On 21 September 2026 Kalshi last traded Fed maintains rate 61%, Hike 25bps 25%, Cut 25bps 8%.0.82The Fed Sets Rates at the April 2027 Meeting
PROGRAMADO85% DE CONFIANZAdentro de 217 díasThe Federal Reserve's[2] published FOMC calendar lists the meeting as "April 27-28" 2027, and Kalshi's[1] market for it strikes at the decision time on the second day. The Fed adds that "Each meeting date is tentative until confirmed at the meeting immediately preceding it".KalshiThe FOMC announces its rate decision on the second day of its April 27-28 2027 meeting. On 21 September 2026 Kalshi last traded Fed maintains rate 63%, Cut 25bps 11%, Hike 25bps 8%.0.82The Fed Sets Rates at the September 2027 Meeting
PROGRAMADO85% DE CONFIANZAdentro de 357 díasThe Federal Reserve's[2] published FOMC calendar lists the meeting as "September 14-15" 2027, and Kalshi's[1] market for it strikes at the decision time on the second day. The Fed adds that "Each meeting date is tentative until confirmed at the meeting immediately preceding it".KalshiThe FOMC announces its rate decision on the second day of its September 14-15 2027 meeting. The meeting is one of the four in 2027 that comes with a Summary of Economic Projections - the "dot plot" - and a press conference. On 21 September 2026 Kalshi last traded Fed maintains rate 59%, Hike 25bps 20%, Cut 25bps 6%.0.81The Fed Sets Rates at the June 2027 Meeting
PROGRAMADO85% DE CONFIANZAdentro de 259 díasThe Federal Reserve's[2] published FOMC calendar lists the meeting as "June 8-9" 2027, and Kalshi's[1] market for it strikes at the decision time on the second day. The Fed adds that "Each meeting date is tentative until confirmed at the meeting immediately preceding it".KalshiThe FOMC announces its rate decision on the second day of its June 8-9 2027 meeting. The meeting is one of the four in 2027 that comes with a Summary of Economic Projections - the "dot plot" - and a press conference. On 21 September 2026 Kalshi last traded Fed maintains rate 59%, Cut >25bps 28%, Hike 25bps 20%.0.81The Fed Sets Rates at the December 2027 Meeting
PROGRAMADO85% DE CONFIANZAdentro de 1,2 añosThe Federal Reserve's[2] published FOMC calendar lists the meeting as "December 7-8" 2027, and Kalshi's[1] market for it strikes at the decision time on the second day. The Fed adds that "Each meeting date is tentative until confirmed at the meeting immediately preceding it".KalshiThe FOMC announces its rate decision on the second day of its December 7-8 2027 meeting. The meeting is one of the four in 2027 that comes with a Summary of Economic Projections - the "dot plot" - and a press conference. On 21 September 2026 Kalshi last traded Fed maintains rate 73%, Cut 25bps 13%, Hike 25bps 6%.0.80The Fed Sets Rates at the March 2027 Meeting
PROGRAMADO85% DE CONFIANZAdentro de 175 díasThe Federal Reserve's[2] published FOMC calendar lists the meeting as "March 16-17" 2027, and Kalshi's[1] market for it strikes at the decision time on the second day. The Fed adds that "Each meeting date is tentative until confirmed at the meeting immediately preceding it".KalshiThe FOMC announces its rate decision on the second day of its March 16-17 2027 meeting. The meeting is one of the four in 2027 that comes with a Summary of Economic Projections - the "dot plot" - and a press conference. On 21 September 2026 Kalshi last traded Fed maintains rate 67%, Hike 25bps 27%, Cut 25bps 10%.0.80Fed Sets Rates at the December 2026 FOMC Meeting
Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, 20th St & Constitution Ave NW, Washington, DCFederal Reserve
PROGRAMADO78% DE CONFIANZAdentro de 77 díasThe Federal Reserve’s[2] published 2026 FOMC calendar lists the December 8–9 meeting, and the statement is released at 2:00 p.m. ET on the second day; Kalshi’s[1][4] market expires December 9, 2026 at 19:05 UTC and closes at 18:59 UTC, minutes before the announcement.KalshiPolymarketThe Federal Open Market Committee announces its final 2026 rate decision at 2:00 p.m. ET on December 9, the last of the year’s eight scheduled meetings. On 20 September 2026 Kalshi had a second consecutive quarter-point hike as the favourite at 67%, with a hold at 31% and cuts priced near zero; Polymarket agreed almost to the point.0.79Probability for another 25bps hike in June doubled today 8.5% to 16.6%
Probability for another 25bps hike in June doubled today pic.twitter.com/OWDq1ceIEx
— Jay Cal (@Jay__Cale) May 8, 2023Tweet from @Jay__Cale (8 May 2023): the market-implied probability of another 25bps Fed rate hike in June doubled in a day, from 8.5% to 16.6%.0.73The Fed's rate-setting body said it would raise its benchmark rate to a range between 5% and 5.25%, the highest level since 2007
The increase is the 10th straight interest-rate hike since last March in what has been the most aggressive rate-hiking regime since the 1980s.
0.66- 0.65
