- Start
- Oct 27, 202775% CONFIDENCEfrom the source
The Fed Sets Rates at the October 2027 Meeting
- The Federal Open Market Committee meets on October 26-27 2027 and announces its rate decision on the second day[2]
- Kalshi's market for the meeting last traded at Fed maintains rate 54%, Hike 25bps 46%, Cut 25bps 7%[1]
- The market has turned over about $8,252, which is thin - small enough that the prices move on a few trades[1]
- The Federal Reserve notes that "Each meeting date is tentative until confirmed at the meeting immediately preceding it"[2]
References 285% CONFIDENCE
The first entry is always the pin's source. Overall confidence is a weighted average of how firmly each reference supports the start and end times used above; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newest.
- [1]75%kalshi.com/markets/kxfeddecision/fed-decision-in-oct-2027/kxfeddecision-27octkalshi.com· Posted Sep 21, 2026· Starts Oct 27, 2027 ✓· 50% of score
The Federal Reserve's[2] published FOMC calendar lists the meeting as "October 26-27" 2027, and Kalshi's market for it strikes at the decision time on the second day. The Fed adds that "Each meeting date is tentative until confirmed at the meeting immediately preceding it".
- [2]95%FOMC Meeting calendars and information - Federal Reserve Boardfederalreserve.gov· Added Sep 21, 2026· 50% of score
The Federal Reserve's own published meeting calendar, which sets the date the pin uses; read in this run.
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