Xi Jinping's 48-hour plan to invade Taiwan, 2027 is the date that he wants the Chinese army to be ‘ready’ to take back Taiwan

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• Geopolítica20/09/2026@OddsDesk

  Will China Invade Taiwan Before 2027?

  Presidential Office Building, 122 Chongqing South Road, Taipei, Taiwan

  

  Empieza el 31/12/2026ESTIMADO63% DE CONFIANZAdentro de 99 díasNothing is scheduled: the pin is dated to the market's own deadline, December 31, 2026, the last day the contract can resolve Yes, and the market page shows that only a 4% chance.^[1]

   Polymarket

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   Polymarket

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  Polymarket's contract on China commencing a military offensive against any inhabited territory Taiwan administers, on or before December 31, 2026, showed a 4% chance on 20 September 2026 — its own note put the implied probability of no invasion at 95.8%. A separate market on any direct China-Taiwan military clash over the same window showed 6%.

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• Geopolítica21/09/2026@PoliticsDesk

  A State Arrival Ceremony for Xi Jinping on the South Lawn

  South Lawn, The White House, Washington, DC, United StatesThe White House

  

  Empieza el 24/09/2026PROGRAMADO80% DE CONFIANZAmañanaThe White House^[1] programme states that "on Thursday morning, September 24, the President and First Lady will host a State Arrival Ceremony". It gives the day but no hour, so the pin is all-day on 24 September.

  479 military personnel from every branch, an Armed Forces Full Honor Cordon, a Rose Garden military review and a flyover by a B-2 and four F-22s: the formal welcome for Xi Jinping on the morning of 24 September 2026, his first White House arrival ceremony since 2015.

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• Geopolítica21/09/2026@PoliticsDesk

  Trump recibe a Xi Jinping en la Base Conjunta Andrews

  Joint Base Andrews, Maryland, United StatesThe White House

  

  Empieza el 23/09/2026 22:30PROGRAMADO83% DE CONFIANZAHoyLa agenda del presidente para el 23 de septiembre indica «6:00 PM - EL PRESIDENTE sale de la Casa Blanca rumbo a la Base Conjunta Andrews» para la «Ceremonia de llegada con el presidente de la República Popular China»; AP dice que Xi y Peng Liyuan «llegarán previsiblemente a la Base Conjunta Andrews el miércoles por la noche». Las 18:30 ET se estiman a partir de la salida a las 6 PM; esto sustituye al «alrededor de las 4 de la tarde» indicado antes por el SCMP^[9].

  Trump recibirá a Xi Jinping y a Peng Liyuan en la pista de la Base Conjunta Andrews hacia las 4 de la tarde del 23 de septiembre de 2026, un gesto que los presidentes de EE. UU. casi nunca tienen con un jefe de Estado visitante. Así se inaugura la visita de Estado de Xi del 23 al 25 de septiembre, la primera a Washington desde 2015.

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• Geopolítica21/09/2026@PoliticsDesk

  Biden and Xi Meet at Filoli

  Filoli, 86 Cañada Road, Woodside, California, United StatesThe White House

  

  Empieza el 15/11/2023CONFIRMADO78% DE CONFIANZAhace 2,9 añosThe White House readout is dated 15 November 2023 and states that Biden "today held a Summit with President Xi Jinping of the People's Republic of China (PRC), in Woodside, California".^[1]

  Four hours of talks at a country estate south of San Francisco on 15 November 2023 restarted two things that had been switched off: military-to-military communication, and Chinese cooperation against fentanyl precursors.

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• Geopolítica21/09/2026@PoliticsDesk

  Pelosi Lands in Taipei

  Taipei Songshan Airport, Songshan District, Taipei, TaiwanUnited States House of Representatives

  

  Empieza el 02/08/2022CONFIRMADO80% DE CONFIANZAhace 4,1 añosThe delegation's own statement is datelined "Taipei, Taiwan – August 2, 2022" and was "issued this statement upon arrival in Taiwan". No hour is given, so the pin is an all-day one; the landing was late on 2 August local time, which is the same UTC day.^[1]

  The first Speaker of the House to visit Taiwan in 25 years touched down in Taipei on the night of 2 August 2022. Within hours the PLA's Eastern Theater Command began live-fire exercises around the island, opening the Fourth Taiwan Strait Crisis.

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• Transporte15/09/2026@BuildDesk

  Thailand-China Railway's First Phase Pushed to 2030

  Nakhon Ratchasima, Thailand

  

  Empieza el 31/12/2030RETRASADO4 años de retraso66% DE CONFIANZAdentro de 4,3 añosGiven as scheduled, per the source^[1]: "Thailand targets 2030 completion of first phase of high-speed rail link to China".

  The Bangkok-to-Nakhon Ratchasima leg of Thailand's high-speed rail link to China, once due by 2026, is now targeted for 2030 after years of delays.

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• Geopolítica21/09/2026@PoliticsDesk

  The United States and China Issue the Shanghai Communiqué

  Jinjiang Hotel, Maoming South Road, Shanghai, ChinaUS Department of State

  

  Empieza el 27/02/1972CONFIRMADO87% DE CONFIANZAhace 54,6 añosForeign Relations of the United States prints the joint statement under the dateline "Shanghai, February 27, 1972". It is often dated 28 February, the day it reached readers in the United States and the visit's last day; this pin follows the document's own dateline.^[1]

  At the end of Nixon's visit the two governments published a joint statement setting out, separately, what each believed about Taiwan. Washington said it 'acknowledges that all Chinese on either side of the Taiwan Strait maintain that there is but one China' — the sentence US policy has rested on ever since.

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• Semiconductores23/09/2026@LawDesk

  Supreme Court Makes the TSMC 2nm Leak Sentences Final

  Supreme Court, 6 Changsha Street Section 1, Zhongzheng District, Taipei 10048, Taiwan

  Empieza el 30/07/2026CONFIRMADO88% DE CONFIANZAhace 55 díasFocus Taiwan^[1] (CNA^[4]), 30 July 2026: 'The Supreme Court on Thursday rejected appeals by two former ... TSMC employees ... making their sentences final'; PTS^[2] quotes the court's deputy spokesman on the ruling of the 30th. No time is given, so it is an all-day date.

  Taiwan's Supreme Court dismissed the appeals of Chen Li-ming and Chen Wei-chieh, making their 10- and 6-year sentences for leaking TSMC's 2nm and 14nm secrets final; both go straight to prison.

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• Semiconductores20/09/2026@BuildDesk

  TSMC's Second Arizona Fab Starts Mass Production

  TSMC Arizona campus, N 43rd Avenue at W Dove Valley Road, Phoenix, AZ 85085TSMC

  

  Empieza el 01/07/2027ESTIMADO72% DE CONFIANZAdentro de 281 díasTSMC^[2] said it had "pushed up the mass production schedule for its second wafer fab in the U.S. state of Arizona to the second half of 2027 from the previously planned 2028," naming a half-year rather than a day.

  The second fab on TSMC's north Phoenix campus, whose structure was finished in 2025, is due to begin high-volume manufacturing in the second half of 2027 - a year earlier than the schedule the company had previously given. Chairman C.C. Wei gave the pulled-forward date on 15 January 2026; the campus is the centrepiece of a $165 billion Arizona investment.

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• Anime15/09/2026@AnimeDesk

  False Memory (2026) Premieres

  Beijing, ChinaStudio Tumble

  

  Empieza el 02/08/2026CONFIRMADO92% DE CONFIANZA86%7 episodioshace 52 díasRelease date confirmed on the title's own MyAnimeList^[1] listing.

  False Memory (2026), a Chinese donghua original streamed on Bilibili, follows Guan Chao's search for the "Burning Stone" needed to power his Time Gun, an accidental fall into the Memory Administration Bureau, and the fights to recover corrupted memories with fellow administrators.

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• Geopolítica21/09/2026@PoliticsDesk

  The United States and China Establish Diplomatic Relations

  Embassy of the United States, Liangmaqiao Road, Chaoyang, Beijing, ChinaUS Department of State

  

  Empieza el 01/01/1979CONFIRMADO82% DE CONFIANZAhace 47,7 añosThe Office of the Historian states that "the Joint Communiqué stated that the United States would begin official diplomatic relations with the People's Republic of China on January 1, 1979, and that the two countries would open Embassies on March 1". The agreement itself was announced on 15 December 1978.^[1]

  From 1 January 1979 Washington recognised the People's Republic as the sole legal government of China and withdrew recognition from Taipei, ending thirty years in which the United States had treated the Republic of China on Taiwan as the government of all China.

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• Semiconductores23/09/2026@TechDesk

  TSMC's 1.6nm-Class A16 Process Enters Volume Production

  TSMC·…TSMC headquarters, 8 Lixing 6th Road, Baoshan, Hsinchu County 30082, Taiwan

  Empieza el 31/12/2027RETRASADO12 meses de retraso67% DE CONFIANZAdentro de 1,3 añosTSMC's^[2][5] Kevin Zhang told Tom's Hardware "A16 will be ready for production in 2026... we expect volume production to begin in 2027", and TSMC's roadmap slide lists A16 under 2027; with no quarter named, the year's last day stands in.

  A16, TSMC's first node with Super Power Rail backside power delivery, is expected to reach volume production in 2027, a year after the 2026 production TSMC planned when it unveiled the node.

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