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The United States and China Establish Diplomatic Relations
CONFIRMED82% CONFIDENCE47.7 years agoThe Office of the Historian states that "the Joint Communiqué stated that the United States would begin official diplomatic relations with the People's Republic of China on January 1, 1979, and that the two countries would open Embassies on March 1". The agreement itself was announced on 15 December 1978.[1]From 1 January 1979 Washington recognised the People's Republic as the sole legal government of China and withdrew recognition from Taipei, ending thirty years in which the United States had treated the Republic of China on Taiwan as the government of all China.0.73Pelosi Lands in Taipei
CONFIRMED80% CONFIDENCE4.1 years agoThe delegation's own statement is datelined "Taipei, Taiwan – August 2, 2022" and was "issued this statement upon arrival in Taiwan". No hour is given, so the pin is an all-day one; the landing was late on 2 August local time, which is the same UTC day.[1]The first Speaker of the House to visit Taiwan in 25 years touched down in Taipei on the night of 2 August 2022. Within hours the PLA's Eastern Theater Command began live-fire exercises around the island, opening the Fourth Taiwan Strait Crisis.0.71Clinton Signs Permanent Normal Trade Relations With China
CONFIRMED78% CONFIDENCE26.0 years agoThe Statutes at Large text carries the note "Oct. 10, 2000 - [H.R. 4444]" against the enacting clause of Public Law 106-286.[1]Public Law 106-286 ended the annual congressional fight over China's trade status and cleared the last American obstacle to its entry into the WTO. It is the single act that opened the United States market to Chinese manufacturing on permanent terms.0.69The United States and China Issue the Shanghai Communiqué
CONFIRMED87% CONFIDENCE54.6 years agoForeign Relations of the United States prints the joint statement under the dateline "Shanghai, February 27, 1972". It is often dated 28 February, the day it reached readers in the United States and the visit's last day; this pin follows the document's own dateline.[1]At the end of Nixon's visit the two governments published a joint statement setting out, separately, what each believed about Taiwan. Washington said it 'acknowledges that all Chinese on either side of the Taiwan Strait maintain that there is but one China' — the sentence US policy has rested on ever since.0.67Court Sentences Ex-TSMC Engineer to 10 Years in the 2nm Trade Secret Case
CONFIRMED87% CONFIDENCE149 days agoFocus Taiwan[1] (CNA[3][4][5]), 27 April 2026: 'A former TSMC engineer has been sentenced to 10 years in prison ... a court ruled Monday'; CNA says the verdict was read on the morning of the 27th. No time is given, so it is an all-day date.Taiwan's Intellectual Property and Commercial Court jailed Chen Li-ming for 10 years, three TSMC engineers for 2 to 6 years, and fined Tokyo Electron's Taiwan unit NT$150 million - the first verdict under the National Security Act's core-technology clause.NT$150M0.67Supreme Court Makes the TSMC 2nm Leak Sentences Final
CONFIRMED88% CONFIDENCE55 days agoFocus Taiwan[1] (CNA[4]), 30 July 2026: 'The Supreme Court on Thursday rejected appeals by two former ... TSMC employees ... making their sentences final'; PTS[2] quotes the court's deputy spokesman on the ruling of the 30th. No time is given, so it is an all-day date.Taiwan's Supreme Court dismissed the appeals of Chen Li-ming and Chen Wei-chieh, making their 10- and 6-year sentences for leaking TSMC's 2nm and 14nm secrets final; both go straight to prison.0.66US and Taiwan Sign a $250 Billion Chip Investment Deal
CONFIRMED86% CONFIDENCE251 days agoCNBC[1], published 15 January 2026: 'The U.S. and Taiwan have reached a trade agreement ... the Department of Commerce announced Thursday'; USTR's[2] February fact sheet dates the 'Memorandum of Understanding signed by AIT and TECRO on January 15, 2026'. No signing time is given, so it is an all-day date.A memorandum signed in Washington commits Taiwanese chipmakers such as TSMC to at least $250 billion of new US investment plus $250 billion in Taiwan credit guarantees, in return for a 15% tariff cap and Section 232 chip-tariff exemptions for companies building US fabs.0.64Will China Invade Taiwan Before 2027?
Presidential Office Building, 122 Chongqing South Road, Taipei, Taiwan
ESTIMATED63% CONFIDENCEin 99 daysNothing is scheduled: the pin is dated to the market's own deadline, December 31, 2026, the last day the contract can resolve Yes, and the market page shows that only a 4% chance.[1]PolymarketPolymarketPolymarket's contract on China commencing a military offensive against any inhabited territory Taiwan administers, on or before December 31, 2026, showed a 4% chance on 20 September 2026 — its own note put the implied probability of no invasion at 95.8%. A separate market on any direct China-Taiwan military clash over the same window showed 6%.0.64The United States and China Sign the Phase One Trade Deal
CONFIRMED83% CONFIDENCE6.7 years agoUSTR[1][3] states that "the United States and China signed an historic and enforceable agreement on a Phase One trade deal on January 15, 2020".After eighteen months of escalating tariffs the two sides signed an 'historic and enforceable agreement' in the East Room on 15 January 2020 — purchase commitments, intellectual-property rules and a ban on forced technology transfer. Most of the tariffs stayed in place.0.63Xi Jinping's 48-hour plan to invade Taiwan, 2027 is the date that he wants the Chinese army to be ‘ready’ to take back Taiwan
Now, that doesn’t mean that they will invade in 2027, but certainly implies a significant milestone.
0.63Taiwan Indicts Three Engineers Over the Theft of TSMC's 2nm Secrets
CONFIRMED85% CONFIDENCE1.1 years agoThe Intellectual Property Branch's own release, posted 114-08-27 (27 August 2025), says the case against the three detained defendants 'was concluded today (27th)' ('於今（27）日偵查終結') and an indictment filed; no time is given, so it is an all-day date.[1]Prosecutors charged former TSMC engineer Chen Li-ming, by then at Tokyo Electron's Taiwan unit, and two serving TSMC engineers with stealing 2nm trade secrets, seeking 14, 9 and 7 years in Taiwan's first indictment for theft of a national core key technology.0.62China Joins the World Trade Organization
CONFIRMED82% CONFIDENCE24.8 years agoThe WTO's[1][3] own member page states that "China has been a member of WTO since 11 December 2001", thirty days after the Doha Ministerial Conference approved the accession on 10 November.China became the WTO's 143rd member on 11 December 2001, fifteen years after applying. Its export share of world trade roughly quadrupled over the next two decades, and the bargain struck in Doha is still what the tariff argument is about.0.62
