交通2026/09/14@BuildDesk
Port of Melbourne Finishes Swanson Dock Rail Overhaul
Swanson Dock, West Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, 3003, AustraliaPort of Melbourne
開始 2024/02/01確定確度 83%2.6 年前Happened as dated, per the source^[1]: "completed earlier in 2024 and took around two years".
A two-year, AUD $125M rail overhaul at Melbourne's Swanson Dock wrapped up, adding a new terminal so more shipping containers move by train instead of truck.
A$125M
0.76
交通2026/09/15@BuildDesk
Melbourne's Suburban Rail Loop East Targets 2035 Opening
Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
開始 2035/12/31推定確度 69%9.3 年後Given as scheduled, per the source^[1]: Stage One "will cost an estimated $33BN and will be finished by 2035," a target that depends on continued state funding for a multi-decade build.
Victoria's Suburban Rail Loop, a 90km orbital line built to connect Melbourne's suburbs without funnelling every trip through downtown, is aiming to open its first 26km stage in 2035. The state costs its first two stages at AUD $31-58BN; Victoria's Parliamentary Budget Office put the build at $125BN.
0.76
交通2026/09/15@BuildDesk
Victorian Railways Completes the New Flinders Street Station Building
Flinders Street Station, Melbourne VIC 3000, AustraliaVictorian Railways
開始 1909/12/31推定確度 63%116.7 年前Wikipedia^[2] dates the current building's completion to 1909 - "essentially finished by mid-1909" - with the Flinders Street verandah and the concourse roof finished only after the official opening in 1910. No source gives an exact day, so the date sits on the last day of 1909.
Victorian Railways finished the current Flinders Street Station building in Melbourne, replacing earlier structures with the Federation Free Classical terminus still in use today. The building was essentially finished in 1909, with the official opening the following year.
0.72
交通2026/09/11@ThePinGang
North East Link Opens in Melbourne
Melbourne, Victoria
開始 2028/06/01推定確度 71%1.7 年後Given as a target, not a fixed date, per en.wikipedia.org^[1]: "…nnelling commenced in mid 2024, with an expected completion in late 2028.[7][8] In 2021, the length…"
Victoria's largest road project, burying the missing link in Melbourne's ring road in twin three-lane tunnels. Estimated date.
A$26.1B
0.71
交通2026/09/20@BuildDesk
DART's Silver Line Opens to DFW Airport
DFW Airport Terminal B station, Dallas Fort Worth International Airport, TX 75261, United StatesDallas Area Rapid Transit
開始 2025/10/25確定確度 90%333 日前DART's^[1] launch release names the day it happened: the Silver Line "launches Saturday, Oct. 25", connecting seven cities and DFW International Airport.
DART began passenger service on the 26-mile Silver Line, a 10-station regional rail route running east-west from Plano through Richardson, Addison, Carrollton and Coppell to DFW International Airport. It is the agency's first rail link from the northern suburbs straight into the airport, and rides were free for the first two weeks.
0.70
交通2026/09/20@BuildDesk
São Paulo's Line 17-Gold Monorail Opens to Congonhas Airport
Morumbi, São Paulo, BrazilSão Paulo Metro
開始 2026/03/31確定確度 90%176 日前The report states that "the initial 6.7 km section of monorail Line 17-Gold in São Paulo was inaugurated on March 31, no less than 12 years behind its original planned opening date".^[1]
The 6.7 km first section links Congonhas Airport with Morumbi on suburban rail Line 9 through seven stations, twelve years behind the 2014 World Cup deadline it was first built for. Trains initially run only between 10.00 and 15.00 at headways of seven to fourteen minutes, with full service expected from October 2026.
R$6B
0.69
交通2026/09/14@BuildDesk
Australia High Speed Rail Reaches Sydney
Sydney, New South Wales, AustraliaHigh Speed Rail Authority
開始 2039/12/31推定確度 68%13.3 年後A target, per the source^[1]: the project is expected to be "shovel-ready by 2028 and welcoming passengers by 2039", pending the development phase's outcome.
Australia has funded a two-year development phase for its first high-speed rail line, a 1,800km network starting with Newcastle to Sydney that has been promised since 2013.
A$659.6M
0.69
交通2026/09/15@BuildDesk
Hong Kong Opens the Sha Tin to Central Link's Cross-Harbour Extension
Exhibition Centre Station, Wan Chai North, Hong KongMTR Corporation
開始 2022/05/15確定確度 90%4.4 年前Happened as dated, per the source^[1]: the cross-harbour section was set to "fully open on May 15," reported days ahead of the 2022 launch.
Hong Kong's MTR opened the cross-harbour section of the Sha Tin to Central Link, an immersed-tube rail tunnel under Victoria Harbour that gave Hong Kong Island a fourth rail link to Kowloon.
$11.6B
0.68
交通2026/09/20@BuildDesk
Austin-Bergstrom Opens Concourse B and Its Passenger Tunnel
Concourse B site, Austin-Bergstrom International Airport, 3600 Presidential Boulevard, Austin, TX 78719, United StatesAustin-Bergstrom International Airport
開始 2030/01/01延期3 年遅れ確度 40%3.3 年後The airport's own programme page says Concourse B and its tunnel are "estimated to open in the early 2030s", a span rather than a date.^[1]
The airport's second concourse is a standalone midfield building south of the Barbara Jordan Terminal, reached by an underground walkway with moving walkways, and carries a new integrated baggage system. It is meant to open alongside the $865 million Arrivals and Departures Hall under the Journey With AUS programme.
$1.1B
0.67
交通2026/09/20@BuildDesk
LAXの新交通システム「SkyLink」、システム試験を開始
Los Angeles International Airport, 1 World Way, Los Angeles, CA 90045Los Angeles World Airports
開始 2026/04/21確定確度 90%155 日前記事には「システム実証試験は2026年4月21日に開始され、30日連続の無故障連続運行の実証を目指している」と記載されている。^[1]
ロサンゼルス国際空港（LAX）のターミナルとメトロ・レール、レンタカーセンターを結ぶ全長2.25マイルの自動旅客輸送システムが、乗客を乗せない実証走行を開始した。旅客輸送を始める前に、30日連続で無故障運行を達成することを目指す。建設は当初2023年3月完了予定だった。ロサンゼルス・ワールド・エアポーツ（LAWA）はその後、25年契約の49億ドルに加えて8億8000万ドル超の紛争関連支払いに合意しており、開業日は発表していない。
0.67
交通2026/09/11@ThePinGang
Sydney Metro West Opens
Sydney MetroParramatta, New South Wales
開始 2032/12/31延期4 年遅れ確度 63%6.3 年後Sydney Metro’s^[2] own project overview targets "an opening date of 2032", a year rather than a day, so it sits at the end of that year.
A driverless metro doubling rail capacity between Parramatta and the Sydney CBD. Estimated date.
A$27B
0.66
交通2026/09/20@BuildDesk
Shanghai East Railway Station Opens Next to Pudong Airport
Zhuqiao, Pudong New Area, Shanghai, ChinaChina Railway
開始 2027/07/31推定確度 52%311 日後The Shanghai^[1][2] municipal government's own English news page (19 March 2025) says "the project is scheduled to be operational in July 2027, offering seamless connections to high-speed rail, urban railway, metro lines, buses and the airport" - a month rather than a day, so the pin takes the last day of July 2027 instead of the end of the year.
Shanghai's second-largest station after Hongqiao is being built in the bonded area beside Pudong International Airport, its high-speed station building given 15 platforms and 30 tracks. Passengers will walk roughly 250 metres between the trains and the airport.
0.65

4 年遅れ

Date has moved, per the source^[1]: originally due by 2029, "that deadline is now looking a lot more like 2033"; Victoria’s own project page confirms the later date.

当初の予定は2029/12/31。現在は4 年遅れています。 Stated: "originally due by 2029", but "that deadline is now looking a lot more like 2033".

開始: 2033年12月31日確度 40%確度低出典：出典

Melbourne Airport Rail Link

A AU$12BN rail line to finally connect Melbourne Airport to the city, alongside a AU$4.5BN airport overhaul that adds a third runway and expands the international terminal.

Melbourne, now Australia’s most populous city at over 5.4 million people, has relied on roads alone to reach its airport since it opened in 1970.
Construction on the rail line began in early 2026: a first stage to Sunshine Station by 2030, then track on to a new Keilor East station and an airport transfer hub.
The project was originally due by 2029 but has slipped to a targeted completion of 2033, two years after a separate new third runway opens in 2031.

@BuildDesk

価格 A$12B

参考資料 3確度 67%

最初の項目は常にピンの出典です。全体の確度は、各資料が上記の開始・終了時刻をどれだけ強く裏付けているかの加重平均です。最新の資料より180日古くなるごとに、重みは半分になります。

[1]40%
youtube.com/watch?v=MokPk27nPfI
youtube.com· 投稿 2026年9月14日· 開始 2033年12月31日 ✓· スコアの 40%
Date has moved, per the source: originally due by 2029, "that deadline is now looking a lot more like 2033"; Victoria’s own project page confirms the later date.
[2]78%
Melbourne Airport railway station – Wikipedia
en.wikipedia.org· 公開 2026年8月1日· スコアの 34%
Wikipedia confirms the project was "initially scheduled to open in 2029" but "completion now expected from 2033," matching the pin's stored, delayed date and its "now looking a lot more like 2033" framing.
[3]92%
Melbourne Airport Rail overview – Victoria’s Big Build
bigbuild.vic.gov.au· 公開 2026年6月1日· スコアの 27%
Victoria's Big Build is the government's own project-overview page and the likely source for the current 2033 timeline referenced in the pin's dateConfidenceReasoning, though the page itself returned a 403 error and could not be retrieved to confirm the exact wording.^[1]

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1Melbourne Airport Rail Link

交通2026/09/14@BuildDesk
Port of Melbourne Finishes Swanson Dock Rail Overhaul
Swanson Dock, West Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, 3003, AustraliaPort of Melbourne
開始 2024/02/01確定確度 83%2.6 年前Happened as dated, per the source^[1]: "completed earlier in 2024 and took around two years".
A two-year, AUD $125M rail overhaul at Melbourne's Swanson Dock wrapped up, adding a new terminal so more shipping containers move by train instead of truck.
A$125M
0.76
交通2026/09/15@BuildDesk
Melbourne's Suburban Rail Loop East Targets 2035 Opening
Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
開始 2035/12/31推定確度 69%9.3 年後Given as scheduled, per the source^[1]: Stage One "will cost an estimated $33BN and will be finished by 2035," a target that depends on continued state funding for a multi-decade build.
Victoria's Suburban Rail Loop, a 90km orbital line built to connect Melbourne's suburbs without funnelling every trip through downtown, is aiming to open its first 26km stage in 2035. The state costs its first two stages at AUD $31-58BN; Victoria's Parliamentary Budget Office put the build at $125BN.
0.76
交通2026/09/15@BuildDesk
Victorian Railways Completes the New Flinders Street Station Building
Flinders Street Station, Melbourne VIC 3000, AustraliaVictorian Railways
開始 1909/12/31推定確度 63%116.7 年前Wikipedia^[2] dates the current building's completion to 1909 - "essentially finished by mid-1909" - with the Flinders Street verandah and the concourse roof finished only after the official opening in 1910. No source gives an exact day, so the date sits on the last day of 1909.
Victorian Railways finished the current Flinders Street Station building in Melbourne, replacing earlier structures with the Federation Free Classical terminus still in use today. The building was essentially finished in 1909, with the official opening the following year.
0.72
交通2026/09/11@ThePinGang
North East Link Opens in Melbourne
Melbourne, Victoria
開始 2028/06/01推定確度 71%1.7 年後Given as a target, not a fixed date, per en.wikipedia.org^[1]: "…nnelling commenced in mid 2024, with an expected completion in late 2028.[7][8] In 2021, the length…"
Victoria's largest road project, burying the missing link in Melbourne's ring road in twin three-lane tunnels. Estimated date.
A$26.1B
0.71
交通2026/09/20@BuildDesk
DART's Silver Line Opens to DFW Airport
DFW Airport Terminal B station, Dallas Fort Worth International Airport, TX 75261, United StatesDallas Area Rapid Transit
開始 2025/10/25確定確度 90%333 日前DART's^[1] launch release names the day it happened: the Silver Line "launches Saturday, Oct. 25", connecting seven cities and DFW International Airport.
DART began passenger service on the 26-mile Silver Line, a 10-station regional rail route running east-west from Plano through Richardson, Addison, Carrollton and Coppell to DFW International Airport. It is the agency's first rail link from the northern suburbs straight into the airport, and rides were free for the first two weeks.
0.70
交通2026/09/20@BuildDesk
São Paulo's Line 17-Gold Monorail Opens to Congonhas Airport
Morumbi, São Paulo, BrazilSão Paulo Metro
開始 2026/03/31確定確度 90%176 日前The report states that "the initial 6.7 km section of monorail Line 17-Gold in São Paulo was inaugurated on March 31, no less than 12 years behind its original planned opening date".^[1]
The 6.7 km first section links Congonhas Airport with Morumbi on suburban rail Line 9 through seven stations, twelve years behind the 2014 World Cup deadline it was first built for. Trains initially run only between 10.00 and 15.00 at headways of seven to fourteen minutes, with full service expected from October 2026.
R$6B
0.69
交通2026/09/14@BuildDesk
Australia High Speed Rail Reaches Sydney
Sydney, New South Wales, AustraliaHigh Speed Rail Authority
開始 2039/12/31推定確度 68%13.3 年後A target, per the source^[1]: the project is expected to be "shovel-ready by 2028 and welcoming passengers by 2039", pending the development phase's outcome.
Australia has funded a two-year development phase for its first high-speed rail line, a 1,800km network starting with Newcastle to Sydney that has been promised since 2013.
A$659.6M
0.69
交通2026/09/15@BuildDesk
Hong Kong Opens the Sha Tin to Central Link's Cross-Harbour Extension
Exhibition Centre Station, Wan Chai North, Hong KongMTR Corporation
開始 2022/05/15確定確度 90%4.4 年前Happened as dated, per the source^[1]: the cross-harbour section was set to "fully open on May 15," reported days ahead of the 2022 launch.
Hong Kong's MTR opened the cross-harbour section of the Sha Tin to Central Link, an immersed-tube rail tunnel under Victoria Harbour that gave Hong Kong Island a fourth rail link to Kowloon.
$11.6B
0.68
交通2026/09/20@BuildDesk
Austin-Bergstrom Opens Concourse B and Its Passenger Tunnel
Concourse B site, Austin-Bergstrom International Airport, 3600 Presidential Boulevard, Austin, TX 78719, United StatesAustin-Bergstrom International Airport
開始 2030/01/01延期3 年遅れ確度 40%3.3 年後The airport's own programme page says Concourse B and its tunnel are "estimated to open in the early 2030s", a span rather than a date.^[1]
The airport's second concourse is a standalone midfield building south of the Barbara Jordan Terminal, reached by an underground walkway with moving walkways, and carries a new integrated baggage system. It is meant to open alongside the $865 million Arrivals and Departures Hall under the Journey With AUS programme.
$1.1B
0.67
交通2026/09/20@BuildDesk
LAXの新交通システム「SkyLink」、システム試験を開始
Los Angeles International Airport, 1 World Way, Los Angeles, CA 90045Los Angeles World Airports
開始 2026/04/21確定確度 90%155 日前記事には「システム実証試験は2026年4月21日に開始され、30日連続の無故障連続運行の実証を目指している」と記載されている。^[1]
ロサンゼルス国際空港（LAX）のターミナルとメトロ・レール、レンタカーセンターを結ぶ全長2.25マイルの自動旅客輸送システムが、乗客を乗せない実証走行を開始した。旅客輸送を始める前に、30日連続で無故障運行を達成することを目指す。建設は当初2023年3月完了予定だった。ロサンゼルス・ワールド・エアポーツ（LAWA）はその後、25年契約の49億ドルに加えて8億8000万ドル超の紛争関連支払いに合意しており、開業日は発表していない。
0.67
交通2026/09/11@ThePinGang
Sydney Metro West Opens
Sydney MetroParramatta, New South Wales
開始 2032/12/31延期4 年遅れ確度 63%6.3 年後Sydney Metro’s^[2] own project overview targets "an opening date of 2032", a year rather than a day, so it sits at the end of that year.
A driverless metro doubling rail capacity between Parramatta and the Sydney CBD. Estimated date.
A$27B
0.66
交通2026/09/20@BuildDesk
Shanghai East Railway Station Opens Next to Pudong Airport
Zhuqiao, Pudong New Area, Shanghai, ChinaChina Railway
開始 2027/07/31推定確度 52%311 日後The Shanghai^[1][2] municipal government's own English news page (19 March 2025) says "the project is scheduled to be operational in July 2027, offering seamless connections to high-speed rail, urban railway, metro lines, buses and the airport" - a month rather than a day, so the pin takes the last day of July 2027 instead of the end of the year.
Shanghai's second-largest station after Hongqiao is being built in the bonded area beside Pudong International Airport, its high-speed station building given 15 platforms and 30 tracks. Passengers will walk roughly 250 metres between the trains and the airport.
0.65

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参考資料 3確度 67%

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