The first entry is always the pin's source. Overall confidence is a weighted average of how firmly each reference supports the start and end times used above; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newest.
Air & Space Forces Magazine reports that "at 2:39 pm Eastern time, an F-22 Raptor from the 1st Fighter Wing at Joint Base Langley-Eustis, Va. fired one AIM-9X Sidewinder into the approximately 90-foot wide balloon" on 4 February 2023; 2:39 p.m. EST is 19:39Z.
The recovery operation off South Carolina and the diplomatic exchange that followed.[1]
Politicana's episode "Ep. 116 - Nikki Haley Expected To Announce Presidential Run, Democrats Demand Removal Of Lincoln Statue, U.S. Shoots Down Chinese Surveillance Balloon, And More!" (2023-02-06) says: "racially insensitive image of President Abraham Lincoln freeing an enslaved man. 39:30 - U.S. military shoots down suspected Chinese surveillance balloon The U.S. military on Saturday shot down a suspected Chinese surveillance balloon that had been transiting across the country for several days. President Biden told reporters that he had"[1]
Something missing or wrong? Say it in your own words: a link that backs this pin up, a different start or end date and why, or a fact it lacks or gets wrong. The AI checks it against this pin's sources, searches for better ones, and adds any page that backs you up. The pin's own sources still count most.
Now, that doesn’t mean that they will invade in 2027, but certainly implies a significant milestone.