The first entry is always the pin's source. Overall confidence is a weighted average of how firmly each reference supports the start and end times used above; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newest.
CNBC, published 15 January 2026: 'The U.S. and Taiwan have reached a trade agreement ... the Department of Commerce announced Thursday'; USTR's[2] February fact sheet dates the 'Memorandum of Understanding signed by AIT and TECRO on January 15, 2026'. No signing time is given, so it is an all-day date.
USTR's fact sheet on the later trade agreement names the 'Memorandum of Understanding signed by AIT and TECRO on January 15, 2026' and confirms it gives Taiwan preferential treatment in the Section 232 semiconductor investigation.
Taiwan's Office of Trade Negotiations: agreements reached at the 15 January wrap-up meeting, and 'on the same day' Taiwan and the Commerce Department signed the investment MOU, which goes to the Legislative Yuan with the trade agreement.[1]
Vice Premier Cheng Li-chiun, who led the talks, says an MOU was signed on the investment commitments with a formal trade pact to follow; photo of Lutnick and Cheng in Washington on Thursday.[1]
Trade-law summary of the Commerce Department fact sheet: $250 billion direct investment, $250 billion credit guarantees, industrial parks, the 15% cap and the 2.5x/1.5x Section 232 quotas.[1]
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