Elections09/24/2026@PoliticsDesk
Wu Routs Kraft in Boston's Preliminary Mayoral Election
City of BostonBoston City Hall, 1, Congress Street, Government Center/Faneuil Hall, Downtown, Boston, Suffolk County, Massachusetts, 02201, United States
Starts 09/09/2025CONFIRMED 90% CONFIDENCE1.0 years agoStated as firm, per the City of Boston^[1][2][4] Election Department tally: "PRELIMINARY MUNICIPAL ELECTION - SEPTEMBER 9, 2025 - MAYOR".
Mayor Michelle Wu took 71.9% to Josh Kraft's 23.1% and won every ward; both advanced to November, but the 49-point margin ended Kraft's run two days later.
0.80
Elections09/24/2026@PoliticsDesk
Josh Kraft Drops Out of the Boston Mayor's Race
Boston City Hall, 1, Congress Street, Government Center/Faneuil Hall, Downtown, Boston, Suffolk County, Massachusetts, 02201, United States
Starts 09/11/2025CONFIRMED 90% CONFIDENCE1.0 years agoStated as firm, per WBUR^[1][2] (11 Sep 2025): Kraft "announced his decision to suspend the campaign in an interview with WCVB Thursday evening", two days after the 9 September preliminary.
Two days after losing the preliminary by 49 points, Josh Kraft suspended his campaign, the first Boston mayoral finalist to quit since preliminaries began in 1951, leaving Wu effectively unopposed.
0.66
Law09/24/2026@LawDesk
Ninth Circuit Upholds Block on Trump's Housing and Transit Grant Conditions
US Court of Appeals 9 Circuit, 95, 7th Street, South of Market, San Francisco, California, 94102, United StatesUnited States Department of Housing and Urban Development
Starts 08/25/2026CONFIRMED 89% CONFIDENCE30 days agoStated as firm, per the City Attorney's release dated August 25, 2026: "The Ninth Circuit U.S. Court of Appeals today affirmed in large part a lower court decision"; the SF Standard^[2]: the panel "on Tuesday voted to uphold an order".
Appeals judges largely affirmed an injunction won by San Francisco and seven other local governments, stopping HUD and the Transportation Department from tying grants to anti-DEI, immigration and abortion conditions, protecting about $240 million a year in HUD money and $2 billion in DOT funding to the city.
0.56
Elections09/20/2026@OddsDesk
Americans Vote in the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election
The White House, 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue NW, Washington, DC
Starts 11/07/2028SCHEDULED 72% CONFIDENCEin 2.1 yearsFederal law sets Election Day on the Tuesday after the first Monday in November, which falls on November 7 in 2028.^[1]
Kalshi
Polymarket
Election Day for the 2028 U.S. presidential race is November 7, 2028, and Kalshi's winner market was still wide open on 20 September 2026: J.D. Vance led at 22%, followed by Jon Ossoff at 12% and Marco Rubio at 9.6%. The winner takes office on January 20, 2029.
0.55
Elections09/23/2026@PoliticsDesk
British Columbia Votes in a Snap Provincial Election
Elections BCBritish Columbia Parliament Buildings, 501 Belleville Street, Victoria, British Columbia V8W 9W2, Canada
Starts 10/24/2026 3:00PMSCHEDULED 85% CONFIDENCEin 30 daysScheduled, per elections.bc.ca^[1][2]: "A provincial general election has been called. Final Voting Day is October 24, 2026." and the Ways to Vote page: "October 24 | 8 a.m. to 8 p.m. (Pacific time)".
British Columbians vote on Saturday 24 October 2026 for all 93 seats in the legislature, with polls open 8 a.m. to 8 p.m. Pacific. Premier David Eby called the snap election two years early, citing the Trump trade war.
0.54
TV09/20/2026@FilmDesk
Boston Blue Season 2 Premieres
CBS Building, Manhattan, United StatesCBS
Starts 10/10/2026 2:00AMSCHEDULED 80% CONFIDENCEin 16 daysTVmaze's^[1][2] forward schedule gives 2026-10-09 as the announced premiere on CBS.
In Boston Blue, NYPD Detective Danny Reagan takes a position with Boston PD. Once in Boston, he is paired with Detective Lena Silver, the eldest daughter of a prominent law enforcement family. The premiere, "The Crash": When a series of murders begins mirroring the infamous Boston Strangler killings, Danny and Lena race to stop a copycat killer before he strikes again. As panic grips the city, Jonah and Sean, fresh off their rookie year, as well as Henry Reagan, jump in to help Danny and Lena track down and arrest the killer. Also, Danny faces a career-defining promotion while Lena uncovers a lead that could link the attack on Detective Rodgers to a powerful figure. Season 2 starts on CBS.
0.54
Music09/24/2026@MusicDesk
Boston Calling Returns After Its 2026 Gap Year
C3 PresentsHarvard Athletic Complex, South Campus Drive, Barry's Corner, Allston, Boston, Suffolk County, Massachusetts, 02163, United States
06/04/2027 - 06/06/2027SCHEDULED 76% CONFIDENCEin 253 daysGiven as scheduled on the festival's own site: "Boston Calling^[1] Music Festival | Boston, MA | June 4 - 6, 2027 ... SEE YOU IN 2027", matching the organisers' post quoted by Boston.com^[3]: "an exciting return on a new weekend: June 4-6, 2027."
New England's largest music festival comes back to the Harvard Athletic Complex on 4-6 June 2027, a new weekend after years on Memorial Day, having skipped 2026. Mayor Michelle Wu linked the gap year to the strain of Boston's 250th and World Cup events.
0.54
Weather09/24/2026@ClimateDesk
Boston Hits 102 Degrees, Its Hottest June Day on Record
National Weather ServiceLogan International Airport, 1, Harborside Drive, East Boston, Boston, Suffolk County, Massachusetts, 02128, United States
Starts 06/24/2025CONFIRMED 86% CONFIDENCE1.3 years agoStated as fact, per WBUR^[1] (24 Jun 2025): "Hottest June day ever: Boston reached 102 degrees Tuesday" - Tuesday being 24 June 2025.
Logan Airport reached 102 degrees on 24 June 2025, beating Boston's 100-degree June record from 2021, 1952 and 1925, with a heat index near 110. It fell just 2 degrees short of the city's all-time high of 104, set on 4 July 1911.
0.53
Geopolitics09/20/2026@OddsDesk
The Next UN Secretary-General Takes Office
United Nations Headquarters, 405 East 42nd Street, New York, New York
Starts 01/01/2027SCHEDULED 75% CONFIDENCEin 99 daysUN Secretaries-General serve five-year terms that run from January 1; Guterres's second expires December 31, 2026, so his successor starts January 1, 2027. Kalshi's^[1] contracts close on January 5, 2027.
Kalshi
Antonio Guterres's second term ends on December 31, 2026 and his successor's five-year term begins on January 1, 2027. On 20 September 2026 Kalshi's market on who is confirmed had Rebeca Grynspan at 37%, Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett at 18% and Olara Otunnu at 10%.
0.53
Sports09/24/2026@SportDesk
129th Boston Marathon: Lokedi Sets a Course Record, Korir Wins
Boston Athletic AssociationBoston Marathon Finish Line, 665, Boylston Street, Back Bay, Boston, Suffolk County, Massachusetts, 02116, United States
Starts 04/21/2025 1:06PMCONFIRMED 85% CONFIDENCE1.4 years agoStated as firm, per the B.A.A.'s race report datelined "BOSTON (21-April)" on the 129th Boston Marathon it describes as having played out, with the first start from the B.A.A.'s race-eve media notes: "9:06 a.m. ET – Wheelchair Division – Men" (13:06 UTC, EDT).^[1]
Sharon Lokedi of Kenya won the women's race in 2:17:22, breaking the 2014 course record of 2:19:59, and John Korir won the men's race in 2:04:45 after falling in the opening meters. Marcel Hug took his eighth wheelchair title on the 250th anniversary of Patriots' Day.
0.53
Geopolitics09/21/2026@PoliticsDesk
The United States and China Establish Diplomatic Relations
Embassy of the United States, Liangmaqiao Road, Chaoyang, Beijing, ChinaUS Department of State
Starts 01/01/1979CONFIRMED 82% CONFIDENCE47.7 years agoThe Office of the Historian states that "the Joint Communiqué stated that the United States would begin official diplomatic relations with the People's Republic of China on January 1, 1979, and that the two countries would open Embassies on March 1". The agreement itself was announced on 15 December 1978.^[1]
From 1 January 1979 Washington recognised the People's Republic as the sole legal government of China and withdrew recognition from Taipei, ending thirty years in which the United States had treated the Republic of China on Taiwan as the government of all China.
0.52
Health09/20/2026@BuildDesk
Mass General's Ragon Building Opens Its First Tower to Patients
Cambridge Street at Blossom Street, Boston, MA 02114, United StatesMass General Brigham
Starts 01/01/2028DELAYED12 months late40% CONFIDENCEin 1.3 yearsMass General Brigham's^[1] own page still describes "initial first side of the building opening in 2027", a year earlier than current reporting.
The first of two connected towers in Mass General's Cambridge Street expansion takes its first patients, bringing 450 beds and 12 levels of operating, procedural and interventional space for the Corrigan Minehan Heart Center and the Mass General Cancer Center. Turner topped out the steel in February 2025; the second tower is not due until 2030.
0.52

Stated as firm, per the City of Boston^[1][3][4] Election Department official tally: "GENERAL MUNICIPAL ELECTION - NOVEMBER 4, 2025 - MAYOR".

Start: Nov 4, 202590% CONFIDENCEfrom the source

Michelle Wu Wins a Second Term as Boston Mayor, Unopposed

With Kraft withdrawn, Wu won 78,997 votes, 93% of ballots cast, and all four at-large city councillors kept their seats.

Official result: Wu 78,997 of 96,405 ballots cast (93.24%); Josh Kraft drew 1,128 write-in votes and 11,683 ballots were left blank^[1]
The election chose the mayor and all 13 city councillors, nine by district and four at-large; polls were open 7 a.m. to 8 p.m.^[3][4]
All four at-large councillors were re-elected, Wu ally Henry Santana finishing 16,000 votes ahead of former councillor Frank Baker, and the Wu-backed council president topped the ticket^[2]
Wu celebrated at Grace by Nia in the Seaport and heads into a second term with a 13-member council on which only three or four members regularly push back^[2]

@PoliticsDesk

References 490% CONFIDENCE

The first entry is always the pin's source. Overall confidence is a weighted average of how firmly each reference supports the start and end times used above; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newest.

[1]90%
boston.gov/sites/default/files/file/2025/11/2025-11-04-Mayor.pdf
boston.gov· Posted Sep 24, 2026· Starts Nov 4, 2025 ✓· 59% of score
Stated as firm, per the City of Boston^[3][4] Election Department official tally: "GENERAL MUNICIPAL ELECTION - NOVEMBER 4, 2025 - MAYOR".
[2]90%
Mayor Wu's win streak continues: 3 takeaways from Boston's 2025 election
wbur.org· Published Nov 10, 2025· 17% of score
WBUR's post-election analysis: Wu unopposed, the at-large council results and what the council looks like for her second term.
[3]90%
Election Department Issues Reminders Ahead Of General Municipal Election; Issues Call For Poll Workers
boston.gov· Published Oct 24, 2025· 16% of score
The city's notice that the General Municipal Election on Tuesday, November 4, 2025 decides the mayor and all 13 councillors.^[1]
[4]85%
City of Boston 2025 Guide to Run for Municipal Office
boston.gov· Published Apr 1, 2025· 7% of score
The Election Department's calendar: 'November 4, 2025 MUNICIPAL ELECTION (7AM-8PM)'.^[1]

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Elections09/24/2026@PoliticsDesk
Wu Routs Kraft in Boston's Preliminary Mayoral Election
City of BostonBoston City Hall, 1, Congress Street, Government Center/Faneuil Hall, Downtown, Boston, Suffolk County, Massachusetts, 02201, United States
Starts 09/09/2025CONFIRMED 90% CONFIDENCE1.0 years agoStated as firm, per the City of Boston^[1][2][4] Election Department tally: "PRELIMINARY MUNICIPAL ELECTION - SEPTEMBER 9, 2025 - MAYOR".
Mayor Michelle Wu took 71.9% to Josh Kraft's 23.1% and won every ward; both advanced to November, but the 49-point margin ended Kraft's run two days later.
0.80
Elections09/24/2026@PoliticsDesk
Josh Kraft Drops Out of the Boston Mayor's Race
Boston City Hall, 1, Congress Street, Government Center/Faneuil Hall, Downtown, Boston, Suffolk County, Massachusetts, 02201, United States
Starts 09/11/2025CONFIRMED 90% CONFIDENCE1.0 years agoStated as firm, per WBUR^[1][2] (11 Sep 2025): Kraft "announced his decision to suspend the campaign in an interview with WCVB Thursday evening", two days after the 9 September preliminary.
Two days after losing the preliminary by 49 points, Josh Kraft suspended his campaign, the first Boston mayoral finalist to quit since preliminaries began in 1951, leaving Wu effectively unopposed.
0.66
Law09/24/2026@LawDesk
Ninth Circuit Upholds Block on Trump's Housing and Transit Grant Conditions
US Court of Appeals 9 Circuit, 95, 7th Street, South of Market, San Francisco, California, 94102, United StatesUnited States Department of Housing and Urban Development
Starts 08/25/2026CONFIRMED 89% CONFIDENCE30 days agoStated as firm, per the City Attorney's release dated August 25, 2026: "The Ninth Circuit U.S. Court of Appeals today affirmed in large part a lower court decision"; the SF Standard^[2]: the panel "on Tuesday voted to uphold an order".
Appeals judges largely affirmed an injunction won by San Francisco and seven other local governments, stopping HUD and the Transportation Department from tying grants to anti-DEI, immigration and abortion conditions, protecting about $240 million a year in HUD money and $2 billion in DOT funding to the city.
0.56
Elections09/20/2026@OddsDesk
Americans Vote in the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election
The White House, 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue NW, Washington, DC
Starts 11/07/2028SCHEDULED 72% CONFIDENCEin 2.1 yearsFederal law sets Election Day on the Tuesday after the first Monday in November, which falls on November 7 in 2028.^[1]
Kalshi
Polymarket
Election Day for the 2028 U.S. presidential race is November 7, 2028, and Kalshi's winner market was still wide open on 20 September 2026: J.D. Vance led at 22%, followed by Jon Ossoff at 12% and Marco Rubio at 9.6%. The winner takes office on January 20, 2029.
0.55
Elections09/23/2026@PoliticsDesk
British Columbia Votes in a Snap Provincial Election
Elections BCBritish Columbia Parliament Buildings, 501 Belleville Street, Victoria, British Columbia V8W 9W2, Canada
Starts 10/24/2026 3:00PMSCHEDULED 85% CONFIDENCEin 30 daysScheduled, per elections.bc.ca^[1][2]: "A provincial general election has been called. Final Voting Day is October 24, 2026." and the Ways to Vote page: "October 24 | 8 a.m. to 8 p.m. (Pacific time)".
British Columbians vote on Saturday 24 October 2026 for all 93 seats in the legislature, with polls open 8 a.m. to 8 p.m. Pacific. Premier David Eby called the snap election two years early, citing the Trump trade war.
0.54
TV09/20/2026@FilmDesk
Boston Blue Season 2 Premieres
CBS Building, Manhattan, United StatesCBS
Starts 10/10/2026 2:00AMSCHEDULED 80% CONFIDENCEin 16 daysTVmaze's^[1][2] forward schedule gives 2026-10-09 as the announced premiere on CBS.
In Boston Blue, NYPD Detective Danny Reagan takes a position with Boston PD. Once in Boston, he is paired with Detective Lena Silver, the eldest daughter of a prominent law enforcement family. The premiere, "The Crash": When a series of murders begins mirroring the infamous Boston Strangler killings, Danny and Lena race to stop a copycat killer before he strikes again. As panic grips the city, Jonah and Sean, fresh off their rookie year, as well as Henry Reagan, jump in to help Danny and Lena track down and arrest the killer. Also, Danny faces a career-defining promotion while Lena uncovers a lead that could link the attack on Detective Rodgers to a powerful figure. Season 2 starts on CBS.
0.54
Music09/24/2026@MusicDesk
Boston Calling Returns After Its 2026 Gap Year
C3 PresentsHarvard Athletic Complex, South Campus Drive, Barry's Corner, Allston, Boston, Suffolk County, Massachusetts, 02163, United States
06/04/2027 - 06/06/2027SCHEDULED 76% CONFIDENCEin 253 daysGiven as scheduled on the festival's own site: "Boston Calling^[1] Music Festival | Boston, MA | June 4 - 6, 2027 ... SEE YOU IN 2027", matching the organisers' post quoted by Boston.com^[3]: "an exciting return on a new weekend: June 4-6, 2027."
New England's largest music festival comes back to the Harvard Athletic Complex on 4-6 June 2027, a new weekend after years on Memorial Day, having skipped 2026. Mayor Michelle Wu linked the gap year to the strain of Boston's 250th and World Cup events.
0.54
Weather09/24/2026@ClimateDesk
Boston Hits 102 Degrees, Its Hottest June Day on Record
National Weather ServiceLogan International Airport, 1, Harborside Drive, East Boston, Boston, Suffolk County, Massachusetts, 02128, United States
Starts 06/24/2025CONFIRMED 86% CONFIDENCE1.3 years agoStated as fact, per WBUR^[1] (24 Jun 2025): "Hottest June day ever: Boston reached 102 degrees Tuesday" - Tuesday being 24 June 2025.
Logan Airport reached 102 degrees on 24 June 2025, beating Boston's 100-degree June record from 2021, 1952 and 1925, with a heat index near 110. It fell just 2 degrees short of the city's all-time high of 104, set on 4 July 1911.
0.53
Geopolitics09/20/2026@OddsDesk
The Next UN Secretary-General Takes Office
United Nations Headquarters, 405 East 42nd Street, New York, New York
Starts 01/01/2027SCHEDULED 75% CONFIDENCEin 99 daysUN Secretaries-General serve five-year terms that run from January 1; Guterres's second expires December 31, 2026, so his successor starts January 1, 2027. Kalshi's^[1] contracts close on January 5, 2027.
Kalshi
Antonio Guterres's second term ends on December 31, 2026 and his successor's five-year term begins on January 1, 2027. On 20 September 2026 Kalshi's market on who is confirmed had Rebeca Grynspan at 37%, Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett at 18% and Olara Otunnu at 10%.
0.53
Sports09/24/2026@SportDesk
129th Boston Marathon: Lokedi Sets a Course Record, Korir Wins
Boston Athletic AssociationBoston Marathon Finish Line, 665, Boylston Street, Back Bay, Boston, Suffolk County, Massachusetts, 02116, United States
Starts 04/21/2025 1:06PMCONFIRMED 85% CONFIDENCE1.4 years agoStated as firm, per the B.A.A.'s race report datelined "BOSTON (21-April)" on the 129th Boston Marathon it describes as having played out, with the first start from the B.A.A.'s race-eve media notes: "9:06 a.m. ET – Wheelchair Division – Men" (13:06 UTC, EDT).^[1]
Sharon Lokedi of Kenya won the women's race in 2:17:22, breaking the 2014 course record of 2:19:59, and John Korir won the men's race in 2:04:45 after falling in the opening meters. Marcel Hug took his eighth wheelchair title on the 250th anniversary of Patriots' Day.
0.53
Geopolitics09/21/2026@PoliticsDesk
The United States and China Establish Diplomatic Relations
Embassy of the United States, Liangmaqiao Road, Chaoyang, Beijing, ChinaUS Department of State
Starts 01/01/1979CONFIRMED 82% CONFIDENCE47.7 years agoThe Office of the Historian states that "the Joint Communiqué stated that the United States would begin official diplomatic relations with the People's Republic of China on January 1, 1979, and that the two countries would open Embassies on March 1". The agreement itself was announced on 15 December 1978.^[1]
From 1 January 1979 Washington recognised the People's Republic as the sole legal government of China and withdrew recognition from Taipei, ending thirty years in which the United States had treated the Republic of China on Taiwan as the government of all China.
0.52
Health09/20/2026@BuildDesk
Mass General's Ragon Building Opens Its First Tower to Patients
Cambridge Street at Blossom Street, Boston, MA 02114, United StatesMass General Brigham
Starts 01/01/2028DELAYED12 months late40% CONFIDENCEin 1.3 yearsMass General Brigham's^[1] own page still describes "initial first side of the building opening in 2027", a year earlier than current reporting.
The first of two connected towers in Mass General's Cambridge Street expansion takes its first patients, bringing 450 beds and 12 levels of operating, procedural and interventional space for the Corrigan Minehan Heart Center and the Mass General Cancer Center. Turner topped out the steel in February 2025; the second tower is not due until 2030.
0.52

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