- Start
- Aug 31, 202690% CONFIDENCEfrom the source
Two Saudi-Loaded Supertankers Are Struck Leaving Hormuz as US-Iran Strikes Resume
- Late on Monday 31 August 2026 the Bahri-operated, Saudi-flagged VLCC Sidr was hit northeast of Khasab, Oman, and Sinokor-operated Senegal Prosperity, struck by three projectiles, east of Oman, within minutes of each other, both exiting the Gulf with their AIS off[1][4]
- Each carried roughly two million barrels of Saudi crude loaded at Juaymah; all crew were reported safe and no environmental damage was detected[1][4]
- No one claimed responsibility; the strikes followed a resumption of US-Iran tit-for-tat strikes earlier that Monday, when the US said it hit Iranian rocket launchers preparing to deploy mines and Iran reportedly retaliated against the UAE and Jordan[1]
- Visible commodity traffic through Hormuz that day was five ships, 64% below the 10-day average, with no visible tankers; Brent rose about 1.7% to above $92 on Tuesday as the attack interrupted weeks of recovery toward half of pre-war shipments[1][4]
- Korea's shipowners' association said Sinokor does not own Senegal Prosperity, had chartered it on, and that no Koreans were aboard; UKMTO had reported another tanker disabled by an unknown projectile off Oman on 24 August[3][5]
- Polymarket's market on Hormuz traffic returning to normal by 31 October, resolving on IMF PortWatch transit calls of 60 or more, had over $1.7 million traded and priced Yes near 3% on 3 October[2]
References 578% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 78%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
The first entry is always the pin's source. Overall confidence is a weighted average of how firmly each reference supports the start and end times used above; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newest.
- [1]90%worldoil.com/news/2026/9/1/two-oil-tankers-reportedly-struck-as-strait-of-hormuz-hostilities-resumeworldoil.com· Posted Oct 3, 2026· Starts Aug 31, 2026 ✓· 22% of score
World Oil (1 September 2026) places the strikes late on Monday 31 August, which ShipUniverse[4] times at about 19:52 UTC; some outlets date the report a day later.
- [2]75%Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? - Polymarketpolymarket.com· Added Oct 3, 2026· 22% of score
Market from 11 August 2026 resolving on IMF PortWatch transits; over $1.7 million traded, Yes about 3% on 3 October.[1]
- [3]80%Korean shipping company denies ownership of tanker struck in Strait of Hormuz - Korea JoongAng Dailykoreajoongangdaily.com· Published Sep 2, 2026· 19% of score
Sinokor's and the owners' association's statements.[1]
- [4]75%Two Saudi-Loaded Supertankers Hit Near Hormuz as Visible Commodity Traffic Falls to Just Five - Ship Universeshipuniverse.com· Published Sep 1, 2026· 19% of score
Vessel details, cargo, time and traffic counts.[1]
- [5]70%'Unknown projectile' hits oil tanker off Oman: UKMTO - Gulf Newsgulfnews.com· Published Aug 25, 2026· 19% of score
The previous tanker strike off Oman on 24 August.[1]
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