Pins matching tag:"IPO Announcement"

October 27 Kalshi midpoints imply 87% for a qualifying IPO confirmation before December 1. The modal announcement window is November 16 to December 1; it is not a fixed listing day.

On 27 October 2026 Kalshi put an official Cluely IPO confirmation at 2% before Nov 1, 2026, rising to 3% before Jun 1, 2027. The largest step in the ladder runs from Dec 1, 2026 to Jan 1, 2027 (2% to 3%), so that window is the market's most likely stretch; it is a bet on timing, not a listing date.

On 27 October 2026 Kalshi put an official Brex IPO confirmation at 2% before Nov 1, 2026, rising to 3.5% before Jun 1, 2027. The largest step in the ladder runs from Dec 1, 2026 to Jan 1, 2027 (2.5% to 5%), so that window is the market's most likely stretch; it is a bet on timing, not a listing date.

On 27 October 2026 Kalshi priced each of five big banks at about 4.5% to 5% to serve as a lead underwriter for a Kraken US IPO before 1 January 2027. Bids of 1 to 2 cents sit against asks of 8 cents, so the quotes are wide and carry little signal about timing; it is a bet on who leads the deal, not a listing date.

On 27 October 2026 Kalshi put an official Oura IPO confirmation at 5.5% before Jan 1, 2027, rising to 68% before Jan 1, 2028. The largest step in the ladder runs from Jan 1, 2027 to Apr 1, 2027 (5.5% to 29%), so that window is the market's most likely stretch; it is a bet on timing, not a listing date.

On 27 October 2026 Kalshi put an official Glean IPO confirmation at 2.5% before Nov 1, 2026, rising to 17% before Jun 1, 2027. The largest step in the ladder runs from Jan 1, 2027 to Feb 1, 2027 (5% to 9%), so that window is the market's most likely stretch; it is a bet on timing, not a listing date.

On 27 October 2026 Kalshi put an official Olipop IPO confirmation at 2% before Nov 1, 2026, rising to 13% before Jun 1, 2027. The largest step in the ladder runs from Feb 1, 2027 to Mar 1, 2027 (5% to 7%), so that window is the market's most likely stretch; it is a bet on timing, not a listing date.

On 20 September 2026 Kalshi put an official OpenAI IPO announcement at 5% before January 2027, 12% before February and 39% before March — a 27-point jump across February. The upper rungs did not run in order: the page showed 70% before April, then 49% before May and 61% before June.

On 27 October 2026 Kalshi put an official Starlink IPO confirmation at 0.5% before Nov 1, 2026, rising to 4% before Jun 30, 2027. The largest step in the ladder runs from Mar 1, 2027 to Apr 1, 2027 (3% to 4.5%), so that window is the market's most likely stretch; it is a bet on timing, not a listing date.

On 27 October 2026 Kalshi put an official Discord IPO confirmation at 0.5% before Nov 1, 2026, rising to 40% before Jun 1, 2027. The largest step in the ladder runs from Mar 1, 2027 to Apr 1, 2027 (15% to 24%), so that window is the market's most likely stretch; it is a bet on timing, not a listing date.

On 27 October 2026 Kalshi put an official Databricks IPO confirmation at 2% before Nov 1, 2026, rising to 68% before Jan 1, 2028. The largest step in the ladder runs from Mar 1, 2027 to Apr 1, 2027 (11% to 22%), so that window is the market's most likely stretch; it is a bet on timing, not a listing date.

On 27 October 2026 Kalshi put an official Anduril IPO confirmation at 2% before Nov 1, 2026, rising to 16% before Jun 1, 2027. The largest step in the ladder runs from Apr 1, 2027 to May 1, 2027 (6.5% to 12%), so that window is the market's most likely stretch; it is a bet on timing, not a listing date.

On 27 October 2026 Kalshi put an official Freddie Mac IPO confirmation at 2% before Nov 1, 2026, rising to 7% before Jun 1, 2027. The largest step in the ladder runs from Apr 1, 2027 to May 1, 2027 (5% to 6%), so that window is the market's most likely stretch; it is a bet on timing, not a listing date.

On 27 October 2026 Kalshi put an official Ramp IPO confirmation at 2% before Nov 1, 2026, rising to 20% before Jun 1, 2027. The largest step in the ladder runs from Apr 1, 2027 to May 1, 2027 (12% to 16%), so that window is the market's most likely stretch; it is a bet on timing, not a listing date.

On 27 October 2026 Kalshi put an official Rippling IPO confirmation at 2.5% before Nov 1, 2026, rising to 15% before Jun 1, 2027. The largest step in the ladder runs from Apr 1, 2027 to May 1, 2027 (11% to 14%), so that window is the market's most likely stretch; it is a bet on timing, not a listing date.

On 27 October 2026 Kalshi put an official Whoop IPO confirmation at 4.5% before Jan 1, 2027, rising to 26% before Jan 1, 2028. The largest step in the ladder runs from Apr 1, 2027 to Jul 1, 2027 (8% to 15%), so that window is the market's most likely stretch; it is a bet on timing, not a listing date.

On 27 October 2026 Kalshi put an official Stripe IPO confirmation at 1.5% before Nov 1, 2026, rising to 12% before Jun 1, 2027. The largest step in the ladder runs from May 1, 2027 to Jun 1, 2027 (8.5% to 12%), so that window is the market's most likely stretch; it is a bet on timing, not a listing date.

On 27 October 2026 Kalshi put an official Beast Industries IPO confirmation at 2% before Nov 1, 2026, rising to 8% before Jun 1, 2027. The largest step in the ladder runs from May 1, 2027 to Jun 1, 2027 (5% to 8%), so that window is the market's most likely stretch; it is a bet on timing, not a listing date.

On 27 October 2026 Kalshi put an official AppsFlyer IPO confirmation at 2.5% before Nov 1, 2026, rising to 20% before Jun 1, 2027. The largest step in the ladder runs from May 1, 2027 to Jun 1, 2027 (16% to 20%), so that window is the market's most likely stretch; it is a bet on timing, not a listing date.

On 27 October 2026 Kalshi put an official Fannie Mae IPO confirmation at 1% before Nov 1, 2026, rising to 14% before Jun 1, 2027. The largest step in the ladder runs from May 1, 2027 to Jun 1, 2027 (8% to 14%), so that window is the market's most likely stretch; it is a bet on timing, not a listing date.

On 27 October 2026 Kalshi put an official Deel IPO confirmation at 2% before Nov 1, 2026, rising to 23% before Jun 1, 2027. The largest step in the ladder runs from May 1, 2027 to Jun 1, 2027 (18% to 23%), so that window is the market's most likely stretch; it is a bet on timing, not a listing date.

On 27 October 2026 Kalshi put an official Waymo IPO confirmation at 0.5% before Nov 1, 2026, rising to 24% before Jan 1, 2028. The largest step in the ladder runs from Dec 1, 2027 to Jan 1, 2028 (20% to 24%), so that window is the market's most likely stretch; it is a bet on timing, not a listing date.

On 27 October 2026 Kalshi put an official Canva IPO confirmation at 2% before Nov 1, 2026, rising to 50% before Jan 1, 2028. The largest step in the ladder runs from Dec 1, 2027 to Jan 1, 2028 (36% to 50%), so that window is the market's most likely stretch; it is a bet on timing, not a listing date.

On 27 October 2026 Kalshi put an official Skims IPO confirmation at 1.5% before Nov 1, 2026, rising to 40% before Jan 1, 2028. The largest step in the ladder runs from Dec 1, 2027 to Jan 1, 2028 (32% to 40%), so that window is the market's most likely stretch; it is a bet on timing, not a listing date.