US energy analysis sees renewable electricity passing coal by 2030
And the report is probably unrealistically conservative about wind power.
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Pins matching date:2029-12-31
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Brisbane's Cross River Rail Now Targets 2029 Opening
Woolloongabba Station, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia
DELAYED5 years late66% CONFIDENCEFirst passenger services were originally expected around 2024-2026; Queensland's own Cross River Rail authority now targets 2029, after cost estimates grew from the promoted $6.3BN toward $19BN.[1]
Brisbane's Cross River Rail, a new underground rail line meant to double the city's river crossing capacity ahead of the 2032 Olympics, has slipped to a 2029 opening.
A$19B
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The Houston Ship Channel's Project 11 Widening Finishes
ESTIMATED63% CONFIDENCEPort Houston's project page describes "expediting the process to complete the work in 2029", a year rather than a day, so it sits at the end of that year.[1]
Project 11 widens the channel by 170 feet along its Galveston Bay reach, from 530 to 700 feet, and deepens upstream segments to 46.5 feet so the largest container ships can pass one another. Dredging began in 2022; Port Houston finished its own segments in October 2025 and the US Army Corps of Engineers is completing the rest, with the spoil building bird islands, marsh and oyster reef.
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Beijing Subway Line 28 Opens Under the CBD
ESTIMATED50% CONFIDENCEEnglish Wikipedia[1] says "It is planned to open in 2029", a year with no month, so the day stands for the end of that year.
Phase 1 of Line 28 runs 8.877 km with nine stations beneath Chaoyang's Central Business District, from Dongdaqiao to Guangqudonglu by way of Guanghualu, Dawang Lu and Beijing East railway station. Construction started in July 2021.
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SKA-Mid Opens Science Verification at AA2
ESTIMATED70% CONFIDENCESKAO's[1][2] own SKA-Mid science-operations timeline places AA2 and the start of Science Verification at 2029, with AA* following in 2031. Only the year is given, so the pin takes the last day of 2029.
The SKA's mid-frequency array in South Africa's Karoo reaches AA2 in 2029, two years after its Australian counterpart, opening science verification observations.
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TSMC's Third Arizona Fab Starts Volume Production on N2 and A16
ESTIMATED58% CONFIDENCETSMC's[1][4] Arizona page gives only a span: "Third Fab: In April 2025, TSMC broke ground on the site of the third fab, slated for N2 and A16 process technologies. Targeting volume production by the end of the decade." - so the decade's last day, estimated.
The third fab on TSMC's north Phoenix campus, where ground was broken in April 2025, is slated for its 2nm (N2) and A16 processes and targeted for volume production by the end of the decade - the most advanced chipmaking TSMC has committed to the United States.
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Surrey Langley SkyTrain
SCHEDULED82% CONFIDENCEGiven as scheduled, per the source[1]: the line "is on track to be opened for service in late 2029."
Metro Vancouver is spending CAD $6BN extending the SkyTrain Expo Line 16km from Surrey to Langley, after scrapping a cheaper light-rail plan that would already have opened.
C$6B
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NASA Lands Astronauts on the Moon Again
ESTIMATED66% CONFIDENCENo landing date is set. The market’s heaviest year is 2029, which carries about 31 of the 44 points priced before 2030 (13% before 2029 rising to 44% before 2030), and a year-only date takes its last day. The 2027 and 2028 rungs are thinly traded and add under 3 points between them. The figures are the chance in the strike list; the order ticket reads 49% for the same before-2030 contract.[1]
Kalshi
Kalshi
On 20 September 2026 Kalshi’s moon-landing market priced a crewed NASA landing at 1.3% before 2027, 2.3% before 2028, 13% before 2029 and 44% before 2030 — putting the largest single year of probability, about 31 points, on 2029. The companion market had the United States as the next country to do it at 55%, with China at 28%.
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Vadhavan Port's First Phase Opens on Maharashtra's Coast
Jawaharlal Nehru Port Authority
ESTIMATED50% CONFIDENCEUnion shipping minister Sarbananda Sonowal is reported as saying the first phase of Vadhavan is "on track to become operational by 2029", a year rather than a fixed day, so the pin takes the last day of 2029.[1]
India's first offshore port built on reclaimed land off Vadhavan, with a 20 m draft deep enough for 233,000 DWT container ships, is being built by Vadhavan Port Project Limited, a company of the Jawaharlal Nehru Port Authority (74 per cent) and the Maharashtra Maritime Board. The 76,220 crore rupee port broke ground on 30 August 2024 and its first phase is to handle 6.85 million TEUs by 2030.
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New Ontario Science Centre Opens at Ontario Place
DELAYED12 months late40% CONFIDENCEGlobal News[1] reports that "the new building is expected to open in 2029", a year rather than a fixed day, so the pin sits at the end of 2029.
The 400,000-square-foot replacement for the Don Mills science centre is rising on Toronto's waterfront, pairing a mainland building with an integrated pod complex and a restored Cinesphere. Ontario's auditor general costed the move at roughly $1.4 billion against $1.3 billion to keep the old building, and shovels went in the ground in May 2026.
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Rogun Dam Targets Completion as World's Tallest
ESTIMATED61% CONFIDENCEGiven as scheduled, per the source[1]: "the dam registered a significant advancement of works, with a rise of as much as 100 metres" during the past year, with full completion still targeted for 2029.
Tajikistan's Rogun Dam, a Soviet-era project restarted after independence, is targeted to reach full completion around 2029 as the world's tallest dam at roughly 335 metres.
$6.3B
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