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Job growth totals 253,000 in April, beating expectations even as the U.S. economy slows
已确认可信度 94%Happened as dated, per cnbc.com[1]: "…ollowing the jobs report. " Wall Street opened sharply higher following the jobs news, with the Dow…"
Nonfarm payrolls increased 253,000 for April, beating Wall Street estimates for growth of 180,000.
The unemployment rate was 3.4% against an estimate for 3.6% and tied for the lowest level since 1969.
Average hourly earnings rose 0.5% for the month and increased 4.4% from a year ago, both higher than expected.
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Probability for another 25bps hike in June doubled today 8.5% to 16.6%
Probability for another 25bps hike in June doubled today pic.twitter.com/OWDq1ceIEx
— Jay Cal (@Jay__Cale) May 8, 2023
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Last time Fed Funds Rate was this high, S&P 500 TTM PE was around 18.
6/ So how has Big Tech fared? Here's a snapshot:$AAPL 29.18 on 1/4, 29.47 now$MSFT 35.39 then, 45.74 now$GOOG 25.78 then, 35.21 now$META 24.37 then, 40.24 now$NVDA 63.47 then, 164.24 now$AMZN 51.35 then, 267.10 now$NFLX and $TSLA are the only 2 with lower PEs today.
— RJR Capital (@RJRCapital) May 12, 2023
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The U.S. could hit the debt ceiling by June 1, much sooner than expected, Yellen warns
已确认可信度 83%Happened as dated, per cnbc.com[1]: "…nge, analysts wrote, "once the Treasury announces a specific deadline for Congress to raise the debt…"
The U.S. could fail to meet its debt obligations sooner than expected, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen warned in a letter to House Speaker Kevin McCarthy.
Yellen said a drop in tax receipts meant the U.S. could hit its debt ceiling as soon as June 1, earlier than Wall Street and Washington had estimated.
This date is earlier than Wall Street economists were expecting. Goldman Sachs’ latest estimate this week put the deadline at some point in late July, though the bank’s economists acknowledged that weaker-than-expected tax receipts could advance that timeline.
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Babcock & Wilcox Raises $67.5 Million in Two-Day Stock Sale
1200, East Market Street, East End, Goodyear Heights, Akron, Summit County, Ohio, 44305, United States
Babcock & Wilcox…
已确认可信度 85%Stated as done in the release datelined "AKRON, Ohio – November 7, 2025": B&W "announced today it has raised $67.5 million ... through its at-the-market (ATM) offering that opened on November 5, 2025".[1]
B&W sold $67.5 million of new shares through its at-the-market program in two days, about $50 million of it to a single institutional investor, then paused the sales. The money backs its move into power for AI factories and data centres.
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Eli Lilly Becomes the First Drugmaker Worth $1 Trillion
已确认可信度 87%BioPharma Dive[1] (published Nov. 21, 2025): Lilly "on Friday briefly became the first drugmaker to reach $1 trillion in market value"; Reuters the same day: "Eli Lilly hit $1 trillion in market value on Friday". Nasdaq's[4] daily prices show the 21 Nov close of $1,059.70 x 945,383,757 shares (10-Q cover) = $1.0018 trillion, and the 20 Nov high of $1,057.00 below the mark, so 21 Nov is the first day both intraday and at the close.
Eli Lilly's market value crossed $1 trillion on 21 November 2025, making it the first drugmaker and first health-care company to join the club dominated by tech giants. Its shares hit a record $1,066.65 and closed at $1,059.70, driven by Zepbound and Mounjaro.
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Babcock & Wilcox Reports Q4 and Full-Year 2025 Results
1200, East Market Street, East End, Goodyear Heights, Akron, Summit County, Ohio, 44305, United StatesBabcock & Wilcox…
已确认可信度 86%Stated as firm: the release is datelined "(AKRON, Ohio – March 4, 2026)" with no clock time, and the Form 8-K furnishing it as Exhibit 99.1 shows "Accepted 2026-03-04 06:40:37" (ET) on SEC[3][4][5] EDGAR, so the pin is timed to 06:40 ET (11:40 UTC); the call to discuss it came later, on "Monday, March 16, 2026 at 5 p.m. ET".
Fourth-quarter revenue was $161.0 million and adjusted EBITDA $16.4 million, and full-year 2025 adjusted EBITDA rose 107% to $43.7 million. Backlog reached $2.8 billion with the $2.4 billion Base Electron AI data-centre power project announced the same morning.
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Babcock & Wilcox Reports Q1 2026 Results, Revenue Up 44%
已确认可信度 85%Stated as firm: the release is datelined "(AKRON, Ohio – May 11, 2026)" with no clock time; the Form 8-K furnishing it (Item 2.02) shows "Accepted 2026-05-11 06:04:10" (ET) on SEC[4][5] EDGAR and Yahoo[6] Finance reports shares "surged more than 11% in premarket trading on Monday", so the pin is timed to 06:04 ET (10:04 UTC), ahead of the "Monday, May 11, 2026 at 5 p.m. ET" call.
First-quarter revenue rose 44% to $214.4 million and adjusted EBITDA rose 296% to $16.1 million, while $81.8 million of non-cash warrant and stock costs left a $79.6 million net loss. Backlog stood at $2.7 billion and the pipeline passed $14 billion.
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Babcock & Wilcox Closes $230 Million Stock Offering
1200, East Market Street, East End, Goodyear Heights, Akron, Summit County, Ohio, 44305, United StatesBabcock & Wilcox…
已确认可信度 87%Stated as done in the release datelined "AKRON, Ohio – May 18, 2026", which "announced today the closing of its previously announced underwritten public offering"; the 8-K says "The Offering was consummated on May 18, 2026."[1]
B&W sold 12.4 million new shares at $18.50 each, raising about $230 million with the underwriters' extra shares, and Applied Digital bought about 540,500 of them. The money is meant to expand steam turbine and boiler production for AI data centre power plants.
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Robinhood Cuts About 10% of Its Staff
已确认可信度 83%Robinhood's Form 8-K, Item 2.05, says "On June 16, 2026, Robinhood Markets, Inc. ... announced a reduction in force" involving "approximately 10% of the Company's full-time employees".[1]
Robinhood cut about 10% of its full-time employees, roughly 290 people, to flatten management layers, booking about $28 million in charges.
$28M
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Babcock & Wilcox Board Approves $50 Million Share Buyback
1200, East Market Street, East End, Goodyear Heights, Akron, Summit County, Ohio, 44305, United StatesBabcock & Wilcox…
已确认可信度 85%Stated as done in the release datelined "AKRON, Ohio – July 13, 2026": B&W "today announced that its Board of Directors has authorized a share repurchase program of up to $50 million".[1]
B&W's board authorised buying back up to $50 million of its common stock, starting after its second-quarter 10-Q, with no expiry date and subject to its lenders. The same day it called its last $61.4 million of 2026 notes for redemption.
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J&J Q2 2026 Results: $25.3B Sales, 2026 Outlook Raised
Johnson & Johnson World Headquarters, 1 Johnson and Johnson Plaza, New Brunswick, New Jersey 08933, United States
Johnson & Johnson…
已确认可信度 83%Confirmed by J&J's release dated "New Brunswick, N.J. (July 15, 2026)", which says it "will conduct a conference call with investors to discuss this earnings release today at 8:30 a.m., Eastern Time" (12:30 UTC; the edited transcript is stamped "JULY 15, 2026 / 12:30PM GMT").[1]
Johnson & Johnson reported second-quarter sales of $25.3 billion, up 6.6%, and adjusted EPS of $2.90, and raised its 2026 outlook to about $101.1 billion in sales and $11.68 adjusted EPS at the midpoint.
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TSMC Q2 2026 Results: Record $40.2B Revenue, Capex Raised to $60-64B
已确认可信度 86%TSMC's[1][2] release, datelined "HSINCHU, Taiwan, R.O.C., Jul. 16, 2026", says TSMC "today announced" its second-quarter results, and the call transcript TSMC posts gives "EVENT DATE/TIME: JULY 16, 2026 / 6:00AM GMT" (2 p.m. Taiwan time, as the FTNN report of TSMC's schedule says: "16日下午2時").
TSMC reported second-quarter revenue of US$40.20 billion, up 33.7% from a year earlier, a 67.7% gross margin and record net income of NT$706.56 billion, guided Q3 revenue to US$44.6-45.8 billion and raised its 2026 capital budget to US$60-64 billion.
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Abbott Reports Q2 2026 Results and Raises Full-Year EPS Guidance
已确认可信度 86%The release, datelined "ABBOTT[5] PARK, Ill., July 16, 2026", says "Abbott will live-webcast its second-quarter earnings conference call ... at 8 a.m. Central time today", so the pin is 8 a.m. CDT (13:00 UTC) on 16 July 2026.
Abbott posted second-quarter sales of $12.59 billion, up 13.0% reported and 4.8% comparable, and adjusted EPS of $1.31, and raised its 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to $5.45 to $5.60.
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Visa Cuts About 2,600 Jobs, 7% of Its Workforce
已确认可信度 88%CNBC[1] (published 28 July 2026) reports Visa "plans to cut about 7% of its workforce" per a memo and that "Impacted employees will start to be contacted on Tuesday"; American Banker[3] (28 July) says McInerney discussed the cuts "during Tuesday's earnings call".
Visa is eliminating about 2,600 roles, roughly 7% of its workforce and mostly in technology and product, with CEO Ryan McInerney saying AI is reshaping how work gets done.
$563M
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Babcock & Wilcox Reports Q2 2026 Results and Raises EBITDA Target
1200, East Market Street, East End, Goodyear Heights, Akron, Summit County, Ohio, 44305, United StatesBabcock & Wilcox…
已确认可信度 84%Stated as firm: the release is datelined "(AKRON, Ohio – August 10, 2026)" with no clock time, and the Form 8-K furnishing it (Item 2.02) shows "Accepted 2026-08-10 16:25:32" (ET) on SEC[4][5] EDGAR, so the pin is timed to 4:25 p.m. ET (20:25 UTC), just before the "Monday, August 10, 2026 at 5 p.m. ET" call.
Revenue rose 130% to $319.7 million, $100.7 million of it from the Base Electron data-centre power project, and B&W swung to a $14.3 million net profit. It raised the top of its 2026 adjusted EBITDA target range to $105 million.
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Babcock & Wilcox Pays Off Its Last $61.4 Million of 2026 Notes
1200, East Market Street, East End, Goodyear Heights, Akron, Summit County, Ohio, 44305, United StatesBabcock & Wilcox…
已确认可信度 87%Stated as done in B&W's release of 17 August 2026: "on August 14, 2026, we completed the previously announced redemption of the entire $61.4 million aggregate principal amount outstanding of our 6.50% Senior Notes due 2026".[1]
B&W redeemed all $61.4 million of its 6.50% Senior Notes due 2026 at full face value plus interest, so none of them remain outstanding. Its CFO said the company now has its strongest balance sheet in recent history.
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Unitree Robotics Debuts on the STAR Market
已确认可信度 87%Happened as dated, per scmp.com[1]: "Shares of Unitree Robotics surged 629 per cent above their initial public offering price to open at 1,100 yuan in their Shanghai trading debut on Wednesday", in an article published 19 Aug 2026.
Shares in China's best-known humanoid maker opened at 1,100 yuan on Shanghai's STAR Market, 629% above the 150.8-yuan offer price, valuing Unitree at about 445 billion yuan (US$66 billion). Some 9.8 million retail accounts had chased 9.7 million shares.
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NVIDIA Reports Q2 Fiscal 2027 Results: $96.2B Revenue, Up 106%
已确认可信度 90%The release is dated "August 26, 2026" and "today reported revenue for the second quarter"; GlobeNewswire's[2] copy is stamped "August 26, 2026 16:20 ET", after the close (SEC[3] 8-K accepted 20:21 UTC).
NVIDIA's revenue more than doubled from a year earlier to a record $96.2 billion for the quarter ended 26 July 2026, with Data Center at $89.0 billion, and it guided the third quarter to $108 billion.
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HPE Reports Record Fiscal Q3 2026 Results
CityPlace 8 - Hewlett Packard Enterprise, East Mossy Oaks Road, Spring, Texas 77373, United States
Hewlett Packard Enterprise…
已确认可信度 85%The release is datelined "HOUSTON – September 2, 2026 – HPE[1][5] (NYSE: HPE) today announced financial results for the third quarter ended July 31, 2026"; HPE's call transcript is headed "Wednesday, September 02, 2026, 04:30 PM Eastern", so the call started at 20:30 UTC.
HPE posted record fiscal third-quarter revenue of $12.2 billion, up 34%, and non-GAAP EPS of $1.11, then raised its fiscal 2026 and 2027 outlook as AI and networking orders ran ahead of memory-constrained supply.
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Apollo in Talks to Buy J&J's DePuy Synthes for About $20 Billion
Johnson & Johnson World Headquarters, 1 Johnson and Johnson Plaza, New Brunswick, New Jersey 08933, United StatesJohnson & Johnson…
已确认可信度 82%The disclosure is Bloomberg's report, dated "September 11, 2026" (Yahoo's[1][2][5] syndicated copy went up at 22:26 UTC and quotes Friday's closing share prices); Reuters' write-up the same evening says "Bloomberg News reported on Friday", and Quartz's 14 September story is a follow-up, so the pin is the all-day 11 September.
Bloomberg reported that Apollo Global Management is in talks to buy DePuy Synthes, J&J's $9.3 billion-a-year orthopaedics unit, at a value close to $20 billion, with a deal possible within weeks though J&J could still spin the unit off instead.
$20B
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HPE Hosts Its Networking Investor Day in Sunnyvale
Juniper Building A, 1133 Innovation Way, Sunnyvale, California 94089, United StatesHewlett Packard Enterprise…
已排期可信度 84%HPE's[1][2][3][4][5] release: "HPE (NYSE: HPE) will host its Networking Investor Day on September 30, 2026, in Sunnyvale, California ... The webcast will begin Wednesday, September 30, at 10:30 a.m. CT (8:30 a.m. PT)", which is 15:30 UTC; HPE's investor events page gives the same "Wednesday, September 30 at 8:30AM PT".
Rami Rahim and his HPE Networking leadership team set out the strategy and growth plans of the business built around Juniper, now $2.9 billion of revenue a quarter, in a webcast from Sunnyvale starting at 8:30 a.m. PT.
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Tesla Q3 2026 Production, Deliveries and Deployments Report
预估可信度 75%Tesla[1] has not announced the date (Benzinga, 17 Sept 2026: "Tesla has not announced its Q3 delivery date. Its second-quarter tally arrived two days after the quarter ended."); it released Q3 2025 figures on 2 October 2025 and Q1 and Q2 2026 figures on 2 April and 2 July 2026, so 2 October 2026 is estimated from that pattern.
Tesla is expected to publish its third-quarter 2026 vehicle production, deliveries and energy-storage deployments on 2 October, after a 480,126-delivery second quarter; Q3 forecasts run from Goldman Sachs' 435,000 to a 456,000 Visible Alpha consensus.
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J&J Third-Quarter 2026 Results and Investor Call
Johnson & Johnson World Headquarters, 1 Johnson and Johnson Plaza, New Brunswick, New Jersey 08933, United StatesJohnson & Johnson…
已排期可信度 73%Scheduled by J&J's 31 August release: it "will host a conference call for investors at 8:30 a.m. (Eastern Time) on Tuesday, October 13th to review third-quarter results" and "The press release will be available at approximately 6:45 a.m. (Eastern Time) the morning of the conference call"; 8:30 a.m. EDT is 12:30 UTC.[1]
Johnson & Johnson releases its third-quarter 2026 results at about 6:45 a.m. Eastern on Tuesday 13 October and reviews them on an 8:30 a.m. investor call hosted by CEO Joaquin Duato and CFO Joseph Wolk.
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TSMC Q3 2026 Earnings Conference
已排期可信度 80%TSMC's[1][2][3] own teleconference notice reads "TSMC Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call ... Thursday, October 15, 2026, 02:00 - 03:30 a.m. Eastern Time / 14:00 - 15:30 p.m. Taiwan Time", so 06:00-07:30 UTC; the notice names no venue yet, so the pin sits at TSMC's headquarters.
TSMC reports third-quarter 2026 results and gives its fourth-quarter outlook at its earnings conference on Thursday 15 October at 2 p.m. Taiwan time, against its own guidance of US$44.6-45.8 billion in revenue and a 65-67% gross margin.
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Abbott Q3 2026 Earnings and Conference Call
预估可信度 70%Abbott has not yet posted its third-quarter call notice (last year's, on 24 September, said it "will announce its third-quarter 2025 financial results on Wednesday, Oct. 15, before the market opens" with the call "at 8 a.m. Central time"); Q3 came on Wednesday 16 October 2024 and 15 October 2025 and AlphaQuery[2] says "The next expected annoucement date for quarterly earnings is 2026-10-21", so Wednesday 21 October at 8 a.m. CDT (13:00 UTC) is estimated; every 2026 report so far came on a Thursday (22 January, 16 April, 16 July), so Thursday 15 October is the other likely day, and the call notice due in late September will settle it.
Abbott is expected to report third-quarter 2026 results before the market opens and webcast its earnings call at 8 a.m. Central, most likely on Wednesday 21 October; it has guided to adjusted EPS of $1.38 to $1.46.
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Tesla Q3 2026 Earnings and Q&A Webcast
预估可信度 69%Tesla has not named the date yet (it does so in the quarter's deliveries release, as the Q2 one did: "after market close on Wednesday, July 22, 2026 ... webcast that day at 4:30 p.m. Central Time"); Q3 2025 was Wednesday 22 October 2025 and Wall Street Horizon[2] lists Q3 2026 as "UNCONFIRMED for Wednesday 10/21/2026 After Market", so Wednesday 21 October at 4:30 p.m. CDT (21:30 UTC) is estimated; MarketBeat's[3] algorithm says 28 October.
Tesla is expected to post its third-quarter 2026 financial results after the market close and hold its live Q&A webcast at 4:30 p.m. Central, most likely on Wednesday 21 October; the date is announced in the Q3 deliveries release.
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Alphabet Q3 2026 Results and Earnings Call
预估可信度 71%Alphabet has not announced the Q3 date (it gave two weeks' notice for Q2: 'Wednesday, July 22, at 1:30pm Pacific Time'); Wall Street Horizon[2] lists Q3 2026 as 'UNCONFIRMED for Wednesday 10/28/2026 After Market' and Alphabet's last four reports were all Wednesdays, so Wednesday 28 October at 1:30 p.m. PDT (20:30 UTC) is estimated. A search summary citing TipRanks says 27 October (a Tuesday); Zacks/Nasdaq's algorithm says 4 November.
Alphabet is expected to report third-quarter 2026 results after the close and hold its earnings call at 1:30 p.m. PT, most likely on Wednesday 28 October; Alphabet has not yet announced the date. Analysts expect about $126.9 billion in revenue.
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Microsoft FY27 Q1 Earnings Release and Conference Call
预估可信度 67%Microsoft[1][2][4] has not named the date (its investor site says "The next earnings release will be announced soon"); its last eight results 8-Ks on SEC EDGAR were all filed on the last Wednesday of the month after the quarter (FY26 Q1 on 29 October 2025, then 28 January, 29 April and 29 July 2026), each with a conference call "at 2:30 p.m. Pacific time (5:30 p.m. Eastern time)", so Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 2:30 p.m. PDT (21:30 UTC) is estimated; Wall Street Horizon[3] also lists it "UNCONFIRMED for Wednesday 10/28/2026 After Market", while some calendars show 27 October.
Microsoft is expected to report its first fiscal 2027 quarter after the market close, most likely on Wednesday 28 October, and discuss it on a 2:30 p.m. Pacific webcast; the previous quarter brought $90.0 billion of revenue, up 18%.
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礼来2026年第三季度财报电话会议
预估可信度 71%礼来尚未确认日期（截至2026年9月22日，没有发布“礼来确认2026年第三季度业绩发布日期及电话会议”的公告；第二季度的公告于7月22日发布，定于8月5日）。Public.com[2]和Nasdaq[3]将第三季度财报列为“预计”于2026年10月29日“开盘前”发布，这与礼来一贯的节奏（2025年第三季度于2025年10月30日公布）以及其电话会议“将于美东时间上午10点开始”的惯例相符——因此定为2026年10月29日10:00 ET（14:00 UTC），在礼来发布确认公告前均为估计时间。
礼来预计将于10月29日公布2026年第三季度业绩，并照例在美东时间上午10点召开电话会议。此前第二季度营收在Mounjaro和Zepbound带动下增长48%至230亿美元，公司将2026年全年营收指引上调至850亿至870亿美元。
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Babcock & Wilcox Q3 2026 Results and Earnings Call
1200, East Market Street, East End, Goodyear Heights, Akron, Summit County, Ohio, 44305, United StatesBabcock & Wilcox…
预估可信度 69%Estimated, not announced: B&W's events page lists no Q3 2026 call yet (the latest is "Aug 10, 2026 5:00 PM ET Babcock[1][3][4][5] & Wilcox Q2 2026 Earnings Conference Call"); every call since August 2023 has been at 5 p.m. ET, all three 2026 calls fell on Mondays (16 March, 11 May, 10 August) and Q3 2025's was "Monday, November 10, 2025 at 5 p.m. ET", so the second Monday of November, 9 November 2026 at 5 p.m. EST (22:00 UTC); Nasdaq's[2] Zacks algorithm instead says "estimated to report earnings on 11/03/2026", and the release itself may come earlier, "prior to" the call.
B&W's third-quarter 2026 report and its 5 p.m. ET call, estimated for Monday 9 November from its pattern of Monday-evening calls; the company has not announced the date yet. The quarter will be measured against its raised $80-105 million 2026 adjusted EBITDA target.
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NVIDIA Q3 Fiscal 2027 Results and Earnings Call
已排期可信度 80%NVIDIA's[2][3] own Q2 call transcript: "Our earnings call to discuss the results of our third quarter of fiscal 2027 is scheduled for November 17." The 2 p.m. PT time is NVIDIA's standing call time (events page) and is not yet confirmed; 17 Nov is a Tuesday, so Wednesday 18 Nov is the other likely day if it moves.
NVIDIA reports its third quarter of fiscal 2027 against its own guide of $108 billion in revenue, the quarter in which Vera Rubin is expected to reach about a fifth of Data Center sales.
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Anthropic Announces an IPO
预估可信度 67%Nothing has been scheduled: this is a "by when" market. November 2026 is the month it prices highest — the ladder rises from 9% before November 1 to 50% before December 1, a 41-point month against 24 for December — and a month-only date takes its last day.[1]
Kalshi
Kalshi
On 20 September 2026 Kalshi’s Anthropic IPO ladder went from a 9% chance of an announcement before November 1 to 50% before December 1, putting 41 points of probability on November 2026 alone — by far the single likeliest month. By April 2027 the market had the announcement at 91%.
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HPE Fiscal Q4 and Full-Year 2026 Earnings Call
CityPlace 8 - Hewlett Packard Enterprise, East Mossy Oaks Road, Spring, Texas 77373, United StatesHewlett Packard Enterprise…
预估可信度 72%HPE[4][6] has not named the date yet (it announced the Q3 call three weeks ahead: "Wednesday, September 2 at 3:30 p.m. CT (4:30 p.m. ET)"); its FY25 Q4 call was "Thursday, December 04, 2025, 05:00 PM Eastern", and MarketBeat[2] says HPE "has not confirmed its next earnings publication date, but the company's estimated earnings date is Thursday, December 3rd, 2026" after market close, with Zacks[3] listing 12/03/2026 as "an estimated date". So Thursday 3 December 2026 at 4:30 p.m. ET (21:30 UTC), the time of HPE's latest call, is estimated; its Q4 calls in 2024 and 2025 started at 5:00 p.m. ET.
HPE is expected to report fiscal Q4 and full-year 2026 results after the close, most likely on Thursday 3 December, having guided to $13.9-14.8 billion of quarterly revenue and $1.20-1.30 of non-GAAP EPS; HPE has not yet announced the date.
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J&J Enterprise Business Review (Investor Day)
已排期可信度 85%J&J set the date itself: CFO Joseph Wolk said on the 15 July Q2 call "We look forward to sharing more on strategy, growth catalysts and a longer-term outlook at our Enterprise business review on December 8", and the source[1] reports he "expects to present stronger growth expectations at its Dec. 8 investor day"; no time or venue has been announced, so the pin sits at J&J's headquarters as an all-day date.
Johnson & Johnson holds its first enterprise business review since December 2023, where CFO Joseph Wolk says it will set out growth above its 5% to 7% long-term target, with a clear line of sight to double digits by the end of the decade.
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OpenAI Announces an IPO
预估可信度 67%A "by when" market with no scheduled event behind it. February 2027 carries the largest month-on-month jump among the rungs below that block — 12% before February 1 rising to 39% before March 1, 27 points — and a month-only date takes its last day. The April strike (70%) is quoted above both May (49%) and June (61%), so the top of the ladder is out of order and was not used. All figures are the chance the strike list shows, not the Yes price in cents.[1]
Kalshi
Kalshi
On 20 September 2026 Kalshi put an official OpenAI IPO announcement at 5% before January 2027, 12% before February and 39% before March — a 27-point jump across February. The upper rungs did not run in order: the page showed 70% before April, then 49% before May and 61% before June.
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