ESTIMATED75% CONFIDENCESources disagree: tweet "“Ice Cold” - November 24" vs Yahoo[3] Sports "out on the first of December" and Nice Kicks[1] "December 1, 2026".
Nike’s “Ice Cold” colorway of Caitlin Clark’s Caitlin 1 signature basketball shoe goes on sale December 1 for $140 in adult sizes.
ESTIMATED63% CONFIDENCEAniplex only announced a winter 2026 broadcast (reported by Anime News Network[2][3] on July 2, 2026), so the pin sits on the first day of December 2026 as the start of that winter.
Shaft continues Monogatari Series: Off & Monster Season with a new episode, Wazamonogatari: Karen Ogre, adapting a story from NisiOisin's Off Season novels.
SCHEDULED80% CONFIDENCEOpenAI's[1][2] own deprecation page, announced 2026-06-02, gives the shutdown date as 1 December 2026. A shutdown date is the vendor's commitment to developers and is occasionally pushed back, never brought forward.
OpenAI switches off 3 models and endpoints on 1 December 2026; requests to them stop working and callers have to move to the named replacements. Going: gpt-image-1-mini, gpt-image-1.5, chatgpt-image-latest.
ESTIMATED50% CONFIDENCEThe redevelopment's schedule page gives a season, not a day: "We anticipate the South Station Retail Concourse opening to the public in late 2026 and construction continuing through 2028."[1]
The first large public piece of Amtrak's phased rebuild of the William H. Gray III 30th Street Station: a restored concourse of shops and restaurants beneath the 1933 building, part of a redevelopment of nearly 500,000 square feet running to 2028.
ESTIMATED50% CONFIDENCEWikipedia[1] says construction "began in late 2022 and is expected to top out in 2026"; the developers' August 2026 update narrows that to winter 2026, a season rather than a day.
The Waldorf Astoria Hotel and Residences Miami - nine stacked and cantilevered glass cubes holding nearly 100 storeys of condominiums and a 205-room hotel - is expected to reach its full 1,049 feet, making it the tallest building in Florida and the southern United States. Its superstructure passed level 85 and started the ninth and final cube in August 2026; delivery of the finished tower is set for 2028.
Nike Philip H. Knight Campus, 1, Merlo Station, Marlene Village, Beaverton, Washington County, Oregon, 97005, United StatesNike
ESTIMATED67% CONFIDENCESneakerFiles[1]: "will be released on December 1st, 2026"; Sneaker Freaker[3] ("expect this yellow iteration to land on December 1") and Sneaker Bar Detroit[2] agree, but Nike has not announced it.
LeBron James's 24th signature shoe arrives in an almost all Tour Yellow colourway named for his 2002 'The Chosen One' Sports Illustrated cover, reported for $200.
1 Apple Park Way, Cupertino, United StatesApple TV
SCHEDULED80% CONFIDENCE10 episodes plannedTVmaze's[1][2] forward schedule gives 2026-12-02 as the announced premiere on Apple TV.
Bad Monkey tells the story of Andrew Yancy, a one-time detective demoted to restaurant inspector in Southern Florida. A severed arm found by a tourist out fishing pulls Yancy into the world of greed and corruption that decimates the land and environment in both Florida and the Bahamas. And yes, there's a monkey. Season 2 starts on Apple TV.
ESTIMATED66% CONFIDENCEEstimated from the pattern, per en.wikipedia.org[1]: the tree is "lit in a public ceremony on the last Wednesday of November or first Wednesday of December and following Thanksgiving"; Thanksgiving 2026 falls on 26 November (macysinc.com[2]), so the ceremony should be Wednesday 2 December. No official 2026 date has been announced.
The Rockefeller Center Christmas tree is lit in a televised ceremony on the Wednesday after Thanksgiving, expected on 2 December 2026, opening the holiday season in Midtown.
European Space Astronomy Centre, Camino Bajo del Castillo, Sexmo de Casarrubios, El Castillo, Comunidad de Ciudad y Tierra de Segovia, Villanueva de la Cañada, Community of Madrid, 28692, SpainEuropean Space Agency
SCHEDULED80% CONFIDENCEESA's[1][2] own Gaia Data Release 4 page states the date as a commitment - "Coming up: 2 December 2026" - and says the release-day stories summarising the data products will be published on the day itself. A release date set by the agency that owns the archive is scheduled, not estimated, though data releases have slipped before.
ESA publishes the fourth Gaia data release, the mission's first principal release, covering the first 5.5 years of observations. It adds astrometric time series, an exoplanet list and the software to work with them.
Salesforce Tower, 415, Mission Street, Rincon Hill, San Francisco, California, 94105, United StatesSalesforce
ESTIMATED63% CONFIDENCEEstimated: Salesforce has not announced the date; its Q3 results came on Wednesday 3 Dec 2025, Tuesday 3 Dec 2024 and Wednesday 29 Nov 2023, each in the week after Thanksgiving, and every FY2026-27 release went out on a Wednesday at about 4:01 pm ET, which points to Wednesday 2 Dec 2026.[1]
Salesforce reports its August-October 2026 quarter, guided at $11.42-11.50 billion of revenue, up 11-12%, and the first to include Contentful and Fin if both deals close in the quarter as expected.
Fira de Barcelona - Gran Via, Carrer de Mileva Maric, 08908 L'Hospitalet de Llobregat, Catalonia, SpainHewlett Packard Enterprise
SCHEDULED80% CONFIDENCEHPE's[1][2][3][4] event page states "2–3 December 2026 Fira Barcelona Gran Via, Barcelona, Spain" and schedules Antonio Neri's keynote for "Wednesday, 2 December 2026, 10:00-11:00"; HPE's events calendar and event guide give the same days. All day, 2 December to the exclusive 00:00Z after 3 December.
HPE's flagship European conference comes to Fira Barcelona Gran Via on 2-3 December 2026, opening with Antonio Neri's keynote and running networking, cloud and AI programmes with hundreds of demos.
Spotify, Regeringsgatan 19, 111 53 Stockholm, Sweden
ESTIMATED65% CONFIDENCESpotify[2] has not announced when 2026's Wrapped drops. The 2025 report - the source Polymarket[1] names - was published on 3 December 2025, and recent editions have all landed in the first days of December, so early December 2026 is an estimate.
Polymarket
Spotify's annual Wrapped report closes the streaming year, and on 20 September 2026 Polymarket already treated it as settled: Bad Bunny was priced at 86%, with Drake at 7% and Taylor Swift at 3%. Wrapped has landed in the first week of December in recent years.
CityPlace 8 - Hewlett Packard Enterprise, East Mossy Oaks Road, Spring, Texas 77373, United StatesHewlett Packard Enterprise
ESTIMATED72% CONFIDENCEHPE[4][6] has not named the date yet (it announced the Q3 call three weeks ahead: "Wednesday, September 2 at 3:30 p.m. CT (4:30 p.m. ET)"); its FY25 Q4 call was "Thursday, December 04, 2025, 05:00 PM Eastern", and MarketBeat[2] says HPE "has not confirmed its next earnings publication date, but the company's estimated earnings date is Thursday, December 3rd, 2026" after market close, with Zacks[3] listing 12/03/2026 as "an estimated date". So Thursday 3 December 2026 at 4:30 p.m. ET (21:30 UTC), the time of HPE's latest call, is estimated; its Q4 calls in 2024 and 2025 started at 5:00 p.m. ET.
HPE is expected to report fiscal Q4 and full-year 2026 results after the close, most likely on Thursday 3 December, having guided to $13.9-14.8 billion of quarterly revenue and $1.20-1.30 of non-GAAP EPS; HPE has not yet announced the date.
SCHEDULED80% CONFIDENCELVCVA: "2026 Wrangler National Finals Rodeo (NFR) December 3-12, 2026 at Thomas & Mack Center".[1]
Ten nights of championship rodeo at the Thomas & Mack Center, 3-12 December, for a record $14,270,736 purse - with every go-round now paying eight places instead of six.
SCHEDULED82% CONFIDENCEStated as firm, per gameranx.com[1]: "launching on Nintendo Switch 2 on December 4" with cross-play and local multiplayer confirmed.
Capcom's Monster Hunter Wilds is porting to Nintendo Switch 2 with local wireless four-player multiplayer and cross-play, with the "Ascendance" expansion and Master Rank content to follow in 2027.
SCHEDULED74% CONFIDENCEGiven as a fixed deadline, per KPBS[1]/CalMatters (31 August 2026): "The city and Midway Rising[2] developers do not have a deal to build the project, but a deal to make a deal by Dec. 4."
The City of San Diego and the Midway Rising developers have until Dec. 4 to reach the deal to build a 25-story arena, 4,250 homes and nearly 15 acres of parks on the Pechanga Arena site. The Legislature passed SB 344 in August to shield the project from CEQA lawsuits.
Yas Marina Circuit, Yas Island, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
SCHEDULED80% CONFIDENCEThe circuit's own site and the Emirates News Agency both put the 2026 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix weekend at 3-6 December with the race on Sunday 6 December; Kalshi's[1] market expires the next day.
Kalshi
Formula 1's first season under the 2026 rules ends with the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix at Yas Marina on Sunday 6 December 2026, the 24th and final round. On 20 September 2026 Kalshi priced the constructors' championship as all but over: Mercedes sat at 95-96%, with Ferrari, McLaren and Red Bull all at 1-2%.
SCHEDULED80% CONFIDENCE10 episodes plannedTVmaze's[1][2] forward schedule gives 2026-12-08 as the announced premiere on Hulu.
Only Murders in the Building follows three New Yorkers who find they have a mutual interest in solving true crime – but limit their amateur sleuthing to only murders in their building. Season 6 starts on Hulu.
SCHEDULED85% CONFIDENCEVMware's[1][2] Washington event page reads "Washington, D.C. | Ronald Reagan Building and International Trade Center December 8, 2026", as did Broadcom's[3][4] 18 March release ("Broadcom will host the event on December 8, 2026 at the Ronald Reagan Building").
New to the tour in 2026, a one-day VMware Explore for the US public sector, state and local governments and contractors, at the Ronald Reagan Building on 8 December.
SCHEDULED85% CONFIDENCEJ&J set the date itself: CFO Joseph Wolk said on the 15 July Q2 call "We look forward to sharing more on strategy, growth catalysts and a longer-term outlook at our Enterprise business review on December 8", and the source[1] reports he "expects to present stronger growth expectations at its Dec. 8 investor day"; no time or venue has been announced, so the pin sits at J&J's headquarters as an all-day date.
Johnson & Johnson holds its first enterprise business review since December 2023, where CFO Joseph Wolk says it will set out growth above its 5% to 7% long-term target, with a clear line of sight to double digits by the end of the decade.
SCHEDULED79% CONFIDENCEThe Bond Buyer[1] (September 21, 2026): bondholders moved the lender longstop to December, and the best case is to "reach a utility agreement by Dec. 8 and service to the public begins on that date"; Wikipedia[2] gives "the project longstop date of December 8, 2026".
The 2.25-mile LAX people mover, 99% complete but years late, must enter passenger service by its project longstop date of 8 December 2026 or its developer LINXS risks a technical default on $1.2 billion of bonds.
SCHEDULED78% CONFIDENCEThe Federal Reserve’s[2] published 2026 FOMC calendar lists the December 8–9 meeting, and the statement is released at 2:00 p.m. ET on the second day; Kalshi’s[1][4] market expires December 9, 2026 at 19:05 UTC and closes at 18:59 UTC, minutes before the announcement.
Kalshi
Polymarket
The Federal Open Market Committee announces its final 2026 rate decision at 2:00 p.m. ET on December 9, the last of the year’s eight scheduled meetings. On 20 September 2026 Kalshi had a second consecutive quarter-point hike as the favourite at 67%, with a hold at 31% and cuts priced near zero; Polymarket agreed almost to the point.
3421 Hillview Avenue, Palo Alto, California 94306, United StatesBroadcom
SCHEDULED83% CONFIDENCEBroadcom's[2][6] Q3 call transcript (The Motley Fool[1][4]): "Broadcom currently plans to report its earnings for the fourth quarter and fiscal year 2026 after close of market on Wednesday, December 9, 2026"; no formal date release yet, and the 4:15 p.m. ET (21:15 UTC) time is inferred from every fiscal 2026 release crossing PR Newswire at 4:15 p.m. ET.
Broadcom reports its fourth quarter and fiscal year 2026 against its own guide of about $34.8 billion in revenue, up 93%, including $21.7 billion of AI semiconductor revenue.
SCHEDULED78% CONFIDENCEThe Game Awards[2]' own announcement and the Peacock Theater's[3] event listing both give Thursday 10 December 2026, and Polymarket's market on the same award ends that night.
Kalshi
The Game Awards return to the Peacock Theater in Los Angeles on Thursday 10 December 2026. On 20 September 2026 Kalshi had Grand Theft Auto VI at 69% for Game of the Year, well clear of Resident Evil Requiem at 14% and Phantom Blade Zero at 7%.