India's Next General Election Picks a Prime Minister
ESTIMATEDDate confidence: ESTIMATEDA target, not a fixed dateHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all ESTIMATED pins50% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 50%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 1 reference, the source included, supports the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins from 50% to 74% confidenceThe Election Commission has not announced a schedule. Kalshi's[1] event ticker is dated April 30, 2029, which matches the 18th Lok Sabha's term ending in June 2029 and the spring polling India has used since 2014; its contracts stay open a year past that.
Kalshi
The 18th Lok Sabha's five-year term runs to June 2029, so India's next general election falls in the spring of that year. Kalshi dates its market to April 30, 2029, and on 20 September 2026 it had Narendra Modi at 51%, Yogi Adityanath at 19% and Rahul Gandhi at 6.5%.