Chronopin：過去と未来の出来事の日付トラッカー

1982/12/26

-43.7 年

十一月十二 National Candy Cane Day

航空2026/09/15@BuildDesk

Antonov An-124 Ruslan Makes Its First Flight

Kyiv, Ukraine

Antonov

開始 1982/12/26確定確度 87%Wikipedia's^[3] Antonov An-124 Ruslan article states the prototype's first flight took place on 26 December 1982.

The Antonov An-124 Ruslan, still one of the largest cargo aircraft ever built, first flew over Kyiv on 26 December 1982, years before it entered airline service.

1.00

2025/02/14

-1.6 年

正月十七 National Call in Single Day

エネルギー2026/09/22@EnergyDesk

Drone strike breaches Chernobyl's New Safe Confinement

Chernobyl Nuclear Power Plant, Vyshhorod Raion, Kyiv Oblast, Ukraine

開始 2025/02/14確定確度 90%Happened as dated, per the source^[1]: a Russian "Geran-2" drone struck the New Safe Confinement structure at approximately 1:50 a.m. on February 14, 2025.

A Russian drone struck Chernobyl's €2BN New Safe Confinement shelter, tearing a hole in the roof and starting a fire that burned for weeks.

1.00

今日

National Checkers Day

2026/12/31

99 日

十一月廿三 National Champagne Day

地政学2026/09/20@OddsDesk

Will a Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire Hold by the End of 2026?

Verkhovna Rada, Hrushevskoho Street 5, Kyiv, Ukraine

開始 2026/12/31推定確度 64%No date is set for a ceasefire. The pin takes the highest-priced rung of Polymarket's^[1][2] ladder, December 31, 2026 at 15%; the earlier October 31 rung is at 5%.

Polymarket

On 20 September 2026 Polymarket's ladder on a ceasefire that takes effect and holds for ten straight days gave December 31, 2026 a 15% chance, and October 31 only 5%. Ukraine signing any written peace instrument with Russia before 2027 was at 11%, and Kalshi put a first in-person Putin-Zelenskyy meeting before 2027 at 7%.

1.00

「place:Kyiv」に一致するピン

Antonov An-124 Ruslan Makes Its First Flight

Drone strike breaches Chernobyl's New Safe Confinement

Will a Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire Hold by the End of 2026?