Cruising Yacht Club of Australia, 1, New Beach Road, Darling Point, Eastern Suburbs, Sydney, New South Wales, 2027, AustraliaCruising Yacht Club of Australia
5市場への影響度 5/10Kalshi API (opened): Astra 6.1+ release before 13 Nov now bids 22-23c and before 31 Dec 96-97c (pin text quotes the 7 Nov 52-54%, stale); a frontier release moves AI-compute and OpenAI-partner names.影響対象: NVDA, MSFT, ORCL, AMD, AVGO予測
Estimated: observed 12 November 2026 00:41 UTC, the before-November 13 contract was 22-23% (last 24%) and before-December 31 was 96-97% (last 97%), so December is now the first majority-probability window; 30 December is its last eligible day, not an announced launch date. The event reported about 681,153 contracts across all deadlines; contract counts are not dollar cash turnover.[1]
Kalshi
On November 11, 2026 (Pacific; 00:41 UTC on 12 November), Kalshi's Yes bid/ask for an OpenAI Astra 6.1-or-newer public release before November 13 was 22–23%, down from 52–54% on November 7, versus 96–97% before December 31. The release date remains unannounced; these are forecast windows.