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Starship launches Starlink Group 31-1 (Starship Flight 14)
SCHEDULED79% CONFIDENCEin 5 daysSpaceX[1], quoted 22 Sep 2026: "Now targeting to launch Starship Flight 14 as early as Monday, September 28, pending regulatory approval. The 75-minute launch window will open at 7:15 a.m. CT." Already slipped once from 22 Sep, and the FAA licence was still pending.KalshiPolymarket14th test flight of the two-stage Starship launch vehicle. 3rd flight of Starship V3 and the first Starship flight to deploy satellites (a group of Starlink satellites known as Starlink Group 31-1) into stable Low Earth Orbit. The ship is expected to fly at an altitude approximately 275 km above Earth and complete approximately 6 orbits around the planet for nearly 10 hours, with splashdown targeted in the Pacific Ocean west of Chile. The booster’s primary test objective on Flight 14 will be executing a successful launch, ascent, stage separation, boostback burn, and landing burn at an offshore landing point in the Gulf. Starship will deliver 26 Starlink V3 satellites to orbit for the first time, which aim to greatly expand the network's capacity and user speeds. Each Starlink V3 satellite will add 1 Tbps of capacity to the constellation. Lifts off from Orbital Launch Pad 2, SpaceX Starbase, TX, USA to Low Earth Orbit. The booster is due to land at Gulf of Mexico.0.72Falcon 9 launches Starlink Group 15-25
ESTIMATED10 days late60% CONFIDENCEin 17 daysSpaceflight Now's[2] schedule (checked 2026-09-23): "Falcon 9 Starlink 15-25 - 'TBD' launch time on October 10 | SLC-4E, Vandenberg"; rocketlaunch.org gives October 10, 4:00 PM UTC. No firm time yet.A batch of 27 satellites for the Starlink mega-constellation - SpaceX's project for space-based Internet communication system. Lifts off from Space Launch Complex 4E, Vandenberg SFB, CA, USA to Low Earth Orbit. The booster is due to land at Of Course I Still Love You.0.66Falcon 9 launches Starlink Group 15-27
SCHEDULED75% CONFIDENCE3 days agoLaunch Library 2 lists this as the no-earlier-than launch time; launches slip.[1]A batch of 27 satellites for the Starlink mega-constellation - SpaceX's project for space-based Internet communication system. Lifts off from Space Launch Complex 4E, Vandenberg SFB, CA, USA to Low Earth Orbit. The booster is due to land at Of Course I Still Love You.0.66Falcon 9 launches Crew-13
SCHEDULED75% CONFIDENCEin 8 daysLaunch Library 2 lists this as the no-earlier-than launch time; launches slip.[1]SpaceX Crew-13 is the thirteenth crewed operational flight of a Crew Dragon spacecraft to the International Space Station as part of NASA's Commercial Crew Program. Lifts off from Space Launch Complex 40, Cape Canaveral SFS, FL, USA to Low Earth Orbit. The booster is due to land at Landing Zone 40.0.64International Space Station Set for Controlled Deorbit
SCHEDULED77% CONFIDENCEin 4.3 yearsGiven as scheduled, per the source[1]: "NASA[3] and its international partners are planning to intentionally deorbit the orbiting laboratory around 2030 or shortly thereafter."NASA plans to retire the 25-year-old ISS by guiding it into a remote stretch of the South Pacific using a purpose-built SpaceX deorbit vehicle.$843M0.64Falcon 9 launches USSF-385
SCHEDULED77% CONFIDENCEin 3 daysSpaceflight Now[3] (checked 2026-09-23): "Window opens at 4:56 a.m. PDT (7:56 a.m. EDT / 1156 UTC)" on 26 September from SLC-4E, Vandenberg; launches slip.A classified mission for the United States Space Force. It is possibly a batch of classified LEO satellites based on SpaceX’s Starshield satellite bus, based on locations of rocket stage drop zones being exact fits with previous Starlink Group 15 launches. Lifts off from Space Launch Complex 4E, Vandenberg SFB, CA, USA to Low Earth Orbit. The booster is due to land at Of Course I Still Love You.0.63BepiColombo Enters Mercury Orbit
DELAYED11 months late76% CONFIDENCEin 59 daysDate has moved, per en.wikipedia.org[1]: "…propulsion system, Mercury arrival was delayed to November 2026.[10] Overview The mission involves…"After seven years and nine planetary flybys, the joint ESA/JAXA mission separates into two orbiters to study Mercury. Scheduled date.€1.6B0.63Soyuz 2.1b launches Progress MS-36 (97P)
SCHEDULED75% CONFIDENCEin 62 daysLaunch Library 2 lists this as the no-earlier-than launch time; launches slip.[1]Progress resupply mission to the International Space Station. Lifts off from 31/6, Baikonur Cosmodrome, Republic of Kazakhstan to Low Earth Orbit.0.63JUICE Arrives at Jupiter
ESA's mission to Ganymede, Callisto and Europa, ending as the first spacecraft to orbit a moon of another planet. Scheduled date.€1.5B0.62International Space Station Deorbit
ESTIMATED52% CONFIDENCEin 4.3 yearsGiven as a target, not a fixed date, per the pin description: "…ructive reentry over the South Pacific. Estimated date.…"After more than three decades in orbit, the ISS is to be steered into a controlled destructive reentry over the South Pacific. Estimated date.$150B0.61SpaceX Closes Out Its 2026 Launch Count
SCHEDULED75% CONFIDENCEin 99 daysAn annual count is settled when the year ends: Kalshi[1] expires the 2026 event on December 31, 2026 and Polymarket[2] closes its version at 04:59 UTC on January 1, 2027, so the date follows the market’s terms rather than an estimate.KalshiPolymarketKalshi settles its annual SpaceX launch tally at the end of 2026. On 20 September 2026 above 120 launches was all but certain at 97%, above 140 traded at 68% and above 150 at 11%. Polymarket’s bucketed version agreed, putting 140–159 at 75.9%.0.61MSC Meraviglia Megaship Delivered at Saint-Nazaire Shipyard
CONFIRMED88% CONFIDENCE9.3 years agoMSC Cruises' own press release states the Meraviglia was delivered and came into service on 31 May 2017 ("MSC CRUISES CELEBRATES THE COMING INTO SERVICE OF MSC MERAVIGLIA").[1]MSC Cruises took delivery of the 315-metre, 171,598-tonne MSC Meraviglia from the STX France shipyard in Saint-Nazaire, one of the largest cruise ships ever built, carrying more than 5,700 guests.0.60
