The first entry is always the pin's source. Overall confidence is a weighted average of how firmly each reference supports the start and end times used above; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newest.
Estimated: this is a listing-date market, which is separate from the earlier IPO announcement. Polymarket[2] resolves Yes only once shares are listed and open for trading, so no strike reaches 50%, so the date is the start of the largest step, September 30, 2027 (19%) to December 31, 2027 (38%). Prices read on 27 October 2026 from the exchange's public API; event volume US$12,731 is as reported by Polymarket.
The public event feed returned each strike's price and the event volume.[1]
Something missing or wrong? Say it in your own words: a link that backs this pin up, a different start or end date and why, or a fact it lacks or gets wrong. The AI checks it against this pin's sources, searches for better ones, and adds any page that backs you up. The pin's own sources still count most. A picture that shows something else, or shows it badly, is looked at too, and moved down or replaced.
