The first entry is always the pin's source. Overall confidence is a weighted average of how firmly each reference supports the start and end times used above; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newest.
Stated as held, per the Board of Elections' certified ranked-choice report: "Contest: DEM Mayor Citywide Election Date: JUNE 24, 2025"; an election is all day on its date.
The Board of Elections' results index for 2025, linking the certified 24 June primary ranked-choice reports and cast vote[1] records.
AP report of the 1 July tabulation: Mamdani "declared victory the night of the June 24 primary", Cuomo "conceded defeat just hours after the polls closed", and the AP called the race once the ranked-choice count showed a 12-point win.[1]
Independent analysis of the tabulation: 56% to 44% after three rounds, about 99,000 transfers to Mamdani and 53,000 to Cuomo, and turnout of at least 1,026,783.[1]
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