US Declares Phase Two of the Gaza Ceasefire Plan Launched

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• Defense09/27/2026@DefenseDesk

  Gaza Ceasefire Takes Effect as Israeli Troops Pull Back to the Yellow Line

  Gaza, Gaza Governorate, Palestinian TerritoriesIsrael Defense Forces

  

  Starts 10/10/2025 9:00AMCONFIRMED82% CONFIDENCE352 days agoThe Times of Israel^[1] (10 October 2025): the IDF 'completed a withdrawal to agreed-upon deployment lines in the Gaza Strip on Friday at noon, officially beginning a ceasefire' (12:00 IDT = 09:00 UTC).

  The first phase of Trump's 20-point Gaza plan took effect at noon when Israeli forces finished withdrawing to agreed lines, starting a 72-hour countdown for Hamas to free the remaining hostages.

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• Defense09/27/2026@DefenseDesk

  US and Iran Agree to a Two-Week Ceasefire Brokered by Pakistan

  Islamabad, Zone 1, Islamabad Capital Territory, 44000, PakistanGovernment of Pakistan

  

  04/08/2026 - 04/21/2026CONFIRMED82% CONFIDENCE172 days agoAl Jazeera^[1][3], published 8 April 2026: 'A two-week ceasefire between the United States and Iran has halted 40 days of US-Israeli attacks on Iran'; the US agreed 'to halt its military strikes on Iran for an initial two-week period', so the term runs to 21 April.

  After 40 days of US-Israeli strikes, the United States and Iran agreed to halt attacks for two weeks while Iran reopened the Strait of Hormuz, in a truce brokered by Pakistan; Israel said it did not cover Lebanon.

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• Defense09/27/2026@DefenseDesk

  Trump Declares the Iran Ceasefire Over as Fighting Resumes

  Presidential Palace, Tören Alanı, Beştepe Mahallesi, Yenimahalle, Ankara, Central Anatolia Region, 06560, TurkeyWhite House

  

  Starts 07/08/2026CONFIRMED80% CONFIDENCE81 days agoAl Jazeera^[1], published 8 July 2026: '"I think it's over," Trump said on Wednesday' from the NATO summit in Ankara, after Iran and the US exchanged military attacks.

  Three weeks after the Islamabad Memorandum, Trump said at the NATO summit in Ankara that the ceasefire with Iran was 'over' after the two sides traded attacks, and threatened to reinstate the naval blockade and 'take over' Kharg Island.

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• Architecture09/15/2026@BuildDesk

  2 World Trade Center Construction Restarts

  200 Greenwich Street, New York, NY, USASilverstein Properties

  

  Starts 07/09/2026CONFIRMED88% CONFIDENCE80 days agoHappened as dated, per the source^[1]: a "groundbreaking ceremony held for new 2 World Trade Center" took place on "July 9, 2026".

  After 14 years of stalled foundations, construction officially restarted on 2 World Trade Center with a groundbreaking ceremony, anchored by American Express as its future headquarters tenant.

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• Energy09/22/2026@EnergyDesk

  Trump Orders 172 Million Barrels Out as Hormuz Chokes

  James Forrestal Building, 1000 Independence Avenue SW, Washington, D.C. 20585, United StatesUS Department of Energy

  

  Starts 03/11/2026CONFIRMED88% CONFIDENCE200 days agoDOE's press release carries Secretary Wright's statement and is dated 11 March 2026, the day the IEA agreed the collective release.^[1]

  Thirty-two IEA member nations agreed on 11 March 2026 to release 400 million barrels between them after Iranian attacks slowed tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz. The American share was 172 million barrels, the largest US release ever ordered, and Secretary Wright said it would take about 120 days to deliver.

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• Geopolitics09/25/2026@PoliticsDesk

  Iran's Seven-Day Plan Would Reopen the Strait of Hormuz

  Strait of Hormuz, OmanGovernment of Iran

  

  Starts 10/03/2026ESTIMATED77% CONFIDENCEin 6 daysEstimated: Araghchi said the timetable starts "from the next day" after the US accepts and the strait opens "on the end of the seventh day"; the US had not accepted by 25 September, so acceptance that day would start day 1 on 26 September and end day 7 at midnight Tehran time on 2 October, making 3 October the earliest opening, and every later acceptance moves it back a day.^[1]

  Iran's foreign minister Abbas Araghchi offered to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and restart talks at the end of seven days, counted from the day after the US accepts terms taken from June's Islamabad memorandum. Washington has not accepted, so 3 October is the earliest the strait could open.

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• Defense09/27/2026@DefenseDesk

  Ukraine Confirms Operation Vivaldi Counteroffensive Near Lyman

  Lyman urban hromada, Kramatorsk Raion, Donetsk Oblast, UkraineArmed Forces of Ukraine

  

  Starts 09/15/2026CONFIRMED81% CONFIDENCE12 days agoHromadske^[1] (15 September 2026): Biletskyi 'said on Sept. 15, publicly confirming an operation that had been conducted under an information blackout'.

  Third Army Corps commander Andriy Biletskyi confirmed a counteroffensive north of Lyman, codenamed Vivaldi, saying its first phase cleared 75 square kilometres and several villages; a second phase announced on 20 September added about 40 more.

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• Defense09/27/2026@DefenseDesk

  US and Israel Launch Strikes on Iran, Killing Supreme Leader Khamenei

  Tehran, Central Tehran section, Tehran County, Tehran Province, IranUnited States Department of Defense

  

  Starts 02/28/2026 6:15AMCONFIRMED82% CONFIDENCE211 days agoThe State^[3] Department's legal adviser writes 'On February 28, the United States Armed Forces launched Operation Epic Fury'; PBS^[1]/AP report the strikes 'began shortly before 10 a.m. in Tehran' (Wikipedia^[2] gives about 9:45 a.m. IRST, 06:15 UTC).

  The United States (Operation Epic Fury) and Israel (Operation Roaring Lion) opened a joint air and missile campaign against Iran; President Trump said Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei was killed, and Iran answered with missile and drone attacks on Israel and US bases across the Gulf.

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• Defense09/27/2026@DefenseDesk

  AUKUS Defence Ministers Launch First Pillar II Project in Singapore

  Embassy of the United States of America, 27, Napier Road, Ridout, Tanglin, Central Region, Singapore, 258508, SingaporeAUKUS

  

  Starts 05/30/2026CONFIRMED80% CONFIDENCE120 days agoThe UK Ministry of Defence published the 'AUKUS Defence Ministerial Joint Statement: 30 May 2026', which opens 'Today ... met at the U.S. Embassy in Singapore'.^[1]

  Meeting at the US Embassy in Singapore during the Shangri-La Dialogue, Richard Marles, Pete Hegseth and John Healey said the submarine pillar was on track, backed a plan for Australia to buy three in-service Virginia-class boats, and launched a joint uncrewed-undersea-vehicle payload project.

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• Semiconductors09/20/2026@BuildDesk

  TSMC's Second Arizona Fab Starts Mass Production

  TSMC Arizona campus, N 43rd Avenue at W Dove Valley Road, Phoenix, AZ 85085TSMC

  

  Starts 07/01/2027ESTIMATED72% CONFIDENCEin 277 daysTSMC^[2] said it had "pushed up the mass production schedule for its second wafer fab in the U.S. state of Arizona to the second half of 2027 from the previously planned 2028," naming a half-year rather than a day.

  The second fab on TSMC's north Phoenix campus, whose structure was finished in 2025, is due to begin high-volume manufacturing in the second half of 2027 - a year earlier than the schedule the company had previously given. Chairman C.C. Wei gave the pulled-forward date on 15 January 2026; the campus is the centrepiece of a $165 billion Arizona investment.

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• Property09/11/2026@ThePinGang

  Egypt's New Administrative Capital Phase 2

  New Administrative Capital, EgyptAdministrative Capital for Urban Development

  

  Starts 06/01/2030CONFIRMED90% CONFIDENCEin 3.7 yearsStated as firm, per en.wikipedia.org^[1]: "…anned and approved skyscraper set to be inaugurated in 2030. It is designed by the Egyptian architec…"

  A purpose-built capital 45 km east of Cairo, home to Africa's tallest tower and intended for six million residents. Estimated date.

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• Defense09/27/2026@DefenseDesk

  Trump Signs the FY2026 National Defense Authorization Act

  United States Capitol, First Street Southeast, Navy Yard, Ward 8, Washington, District of Columbia, 20004, United StatesUnited States Congress

  

  12/18/2025 - 09/30/2026CONFIRMED82% CONFIDENCE283 days agoGovInfo^[1] lists Public Law 119-60, the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2026, with 'Date Approved: December 18, 2025' and full title 'An act to authorize appropriations for fiscal year 2026'; fiscal year 2026 runs to 30 September 2026.

  The FY2026 NDAA (S. 1071) became Public Law 119-60, setting Pentagon policy and authorising funds for fiscal year 2026; it repealed the Caesar Act sanctions on Syria and the 1991 and 2002 Iraq war authorisations and made draft registration automatic.

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