- Start
- Oct 4, 202675% CONFIDENCEfrom the source
Bosnia and Herzegovina Elects a Three-Member Presidency, the First Vote Since Dodik's Removal
- Voters elect the Bosniak, Croat and Serb members of the state Presidency, the 42-seat House of Representatives, the parliaments and governments of the Federation and Republika Srpska, and the Federation's cantonal assemblies[1]
- Bosniak seat: incumbent Denis Bećirović (Social Democratic Party) against Bakir Izetbegović (SDA), Semir Efendić and Fahrudin Radončić; Croat seat: Darijana Filipović (HDZ), Slaven Kovačević (Democratic Front) and Zdenko Lučić; Serb seat: incumbent Željka Cvijanović (SNSD) against Nebojša Vukanović and Marinko Božović[1]
- It is the first general election since Milorad Dodik was convicted in February 2025, banned from serving as president of Republika Srpska for six years and removed from office in August 2025[1]
- The vote is the first since October 2022 and comes inside the EU accession process Bosnia opened in March 2024[4]
- On Polymarket, $60,000 has traded on the next Bosniak member, with Bećirović at 80.5% and Izetbegović at 17.5% (read on 1 October 2026)[2]
References 478% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 78%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
The first entry is always the pin's source. Overall confidence is a weighted average of how firmly each reference supports the start and end times used above; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newest.
- [1]75%en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Bosnian_general_electionen.wikipedia.org· Posted Oct 1, 2026· Starts Oct 4, 2026 ✓· 25% of score
Bosnia's Central Election Commission called the general election for 4 October 2026; the election article and the campaign coverage give the same day.
- [2]70%Next Bosniak President of Bosnia and Herzegovina - Polymarketpolymarket.com· Added Oct 1, 2026· 25% of score
Prediction market on the Bosniak Presidency seat; $60K traded, Bećirović 80.5% on 1 October 2026.[1]
- [3]85%5 questions (and expert answers) about Bosnia and Herzegovina's election - Atlantic Councilatlanticcouncil.org· Added Oct 1, 2026· 25% of score
Expert explainer on the 4 October general election.[1]
- [4]82%Bosnia and Herzegovina in the election year 2026 - Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftungkas.de· Added Oct 1, 2026· 25% of score
Country report on the 2026 election year and the EU accession framework.[1]
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