ESTIMATEDDate confidence: ESTIMATEDA target, not a fixed dateHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all ESTIMATED pins65% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 65%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 2 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins from 50% to 74% confidence
Estimated: this is a listing-date market, which is separate from the earlier IPO announcement. Polymarket[1][2] resolves Yes only once shares are listed and open for trading, so no strike reaches 50%, so the date is the start of the largest step, September 30, 2027 (19%) to December 31, 2027 (38%). Prices read on 27 October 2026 from the exchange's public API; event volume US$12,731 is as reported by Polymarket. Polymarket
On 27 October 2026 Polymarket put Bloomberg shares listed and open for trading by September 30, 2027 at 19%, on US$12,731 of event volume. No strike reaches even odds yet, so the date marks the biggest jump in the ladder, not a confident call.
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