CONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins96% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 96%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 6 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better32 days ago
Confirmed: All40 retrieved finalized contracts give expiration_value97.92 for 2026-09-3017:00EDT. Forecast history is reconstructed from exchange hourly candles cut off24 hours earlier, not invented from settled binary prices.[1] Kalshi
Kalshi’s September terminal observation settled at US$97.92/bbl. The reconstructed24-hour-ahead modal band was US$95.99–97.99; estimated final-book dollar turnover was US$141,514. This is a retrospective verified settlement, not a new forecast.