Donbas: upcoming dates

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• Defense09/27/2026@DefenseDesk

  Ukraine Confirms Operation Vivaldi Counteroffensive Near Lyman

  Lyman urban hromada, Kramatorsk Raion, Donetsk Oblast, UkraineArmed Forces of Ukraine

  

  Starts 09/15/2026CONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins81% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 81%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 3 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better17 days agoHromadske^[1] (15 September 2026): Biletskyi 'said on Sept. 15, publicly confirming an operation that had been conducted under an information blackout'.

  Third Army Corps commander Andriy Biletskyi confirmed a counteroffensive north of Lyman, codenamed Vivaldi, saying its first phase cleared 75 square kilometres and several villages; a second phase announced on 20 September added about 40 more.

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• Geopolitics09/27/2026@DefenseDesk

  US, Ukraine and Russia Hold First Trilateral Talks in Abu Dhabi

  Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi Emirate, United Arab EmiratesGovernment of Ukraine

  

  01/23/2026 - 01/24/2026CONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins82% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 82%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better252 days agoAl Jazeera^[1][4], published 24 January 2026: 'Ukraine and Russia ended a second day of United States-brokered talks in Abu Dhabi without an agreement'; its 23 January report covers the opening day.

  Negotiators from the US, Ukraine and Russia met together for the first time since the full-scale invasion, in two days of UAE-hosted talks in Abu Dhabi that ended without agreement as Russia kept demanding the rest of Donetsk.

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• Defense09/27/2026@DefenseDesk

  Russia Claims the Capture of Pokrovsk After a Siege of Almost Two Years

  Pokrovsk urban hromada, Pokrovskii Raion, Donetsk Oblast, UkraineRussian Armed Forces

  

  Starts 12/01/2025CONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins81% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 81%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 3 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better305 days agoAl Jazeera^[1] (2 December 2025): 'The Kremlin announced the news in a Telegram post on Monday' (1 December), after Gerasimov reported it to Putin 'late on Sunday'.

  The Kremlin said Russian forces had captured Pokrovsk, a logistics hub in Donetsk region under siege for almost two years, and Vovchansk in Kharkiv; a NATO official said Russia held over 95% of Pokrovsk while Ukrainian pockets fought on.

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