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Anthropic Expected to Release Its Next Claude Opus Model
预估可信度 65%前天No official date: September 21 is the day Polymarket's[1][2] per-day market prices highest, at 31% on its outcome row (the page header reads 30.5%), with September 22 at 25% and September 24 at 15%, and “No release by September 30” at 22%. The figures are the chance on each row, not the Buy Yes or Buy No prices in cents beside them.PolymarketPolymarketPrediction-market traders expected Anthropic to ship the successor to Claude Opus 5 (released July 24, 2026) within days. On 19 September 2026 Polymarket's per-day market made September 21 the single likeliest day at 31%, ahead of September 22 at 25%, and its deadline market gave a release by September 30 an 83% chance and by October 31 98%. Anthropic had not announced the model; the “Opus 5.1” name comes from leaked early-access identifiers and early tester reports.0.74- 0.74
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Anthropic 证实在湾区运营一间生物湿实验室
已确认可信度 93%5天前The source[1] page carries its own date of 22 September 2026 and is a write-up of earlier reporting, so the event's date comes from the two reports it is built on: Reuters[2] published the exclusive at 3:02 AM PDT on 18 September 2026 and TechCrunch[3] the confirmation at 4:13 PM PDT the same day - "Anthropic[4][5][6] has a wet biology lab in the Bay Area where it can use its AI models to run physical experiments, it has confirmed to TechCrunch". The pin is the day the lab was disclosed: Anthropic gave no date for when it opened and declined to say where it is beyond the Bay Area, so the pin sits on San Francisco, the city of its own headquarters.Anthropic 证实其在湾区运营一间生物湿实验室，模型可在其中开展实体实验。该公司生命科学负责人 Eric Kauderer-Abrams 表示，公司如今已在做真正的实验室工作。Anthropic 称该设施聚焦基础生物学而非药物发现，在药物发现方面则与 Novo Nordisk 等制药客户合作。0.70- 0.69
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OpenAI Announces an IPO
预估可信度 67%158天后A "by when" market with no scheduled event behind it. February 2027 carries the largest month-on-month jump among the rungs below that block — 12% before February 1 rising to 39% before March 1, 27 points — and a month-only date takes its last day. The April strike (70%) is quoted above both May (49%) and June (61%), so the top of the ladder is out of order and was not used. All figures are the chance the strike list shows, not the Yes price in cents.[1]KalshiKalshiOn 20 September 2026 Kalshi put an official OpenAI IPO announcement at 5% before January 2027, 12% before February and 39% before March — a 27-point jump across February. The upper rungs did not run in order: the page showed 70% before April, then 49% before May and 61% before June.0.62Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 Released
已确认可信度 90%22天前The announcement page does not date itself - it says only “September 2026” and “available today”, and the one ISO timestamp in its HTML is a page build time. The date comes from Anthropic's[1][3] own news index, whose card for this article carries <time>Sep 1, 2026</time>, and is confirmed independently by MacRumors[5]' article:published_time of 2026-09-01T19:15:16Z (“Anthropic today introduced Claude[2] Fable 5.1”) and by Wikipedia's[4] Claude Mythos infobox, “Claude Mythos 5.1 / September 1, 2026”.Anthropic releases Claude Fable 5.1 and Claude Mythos 5.1 - the same model behind different safeguards - and cuts cache reads by 75%, making typical workloads about 25% cheaper to run than Fable 5.0.60- 0.59
Abbott Agrees to Buy Exact Sciences for $21 Billion
已确认可信度 86%307天前The release is datelined "ABBOTT PARK, Ill., and MADISON, Wis., Nov. 20, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- Abbott (NYSE: ABT) and Exact Sciences (NASDAQ: EXAS) today announced a definitive agreement".[1]Abbott agreed to buy Cologuard maker Exact Sciences for $105 a share in cash, a total equity value of about $21 billion, to enter cancer screening and precision oncology diagnostics.$21B0.58
