ESTIMATEDDate confidence: ESTIMATEDA target, not a fixed dateHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all ESTIMATED pins65% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 65%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins from 50% to 74% confidence
Estimated: the election is officially scheduled for November 28, 2026, but its winner is unconfirmed. On October 22 the opened public Polymarket[1] page showed Chiang Wan-an 63%, Puma Shen 37.6% and US$1,761,117 total event volume. The all-day marker is polling day, not market settlement or a claimed winner-declaration hour.
Polymarket
On October 22, Polymarket’s public Taipei winner page showed Chiang Wan-an at 63% and Puma Shen at 37.6%, with US$1,761,117 total event volume. The November 28 vote is scheduled; the winner remains a prediction.
McCormick Place, East 23rd Street, Motor Row, Near South Side, Chicago, South Chicago Township, Cook County, Illinois, 60616, United StatesRadiological Society of North America
CONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins82% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 82%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 2 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
The RSNA[1] site reads 'Annual Meeting: Nov. 29 - Dec. 3, 2026' and 'Technical Exhibits: Nov. 29 - Dec. 2, 2026'.
The annual meeting of the Radiological Society of North America runs five days, with technical exhibits open for four.
2100 Barton Springs Rd, Austin, TX 78746Zilker Park
CONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins85% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 85%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 1 reference, the source included, supports the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
The Parks and Recreation page lists November 29 through January 1.[1]
The tall light-strand tree is lit at a ceremony and stays up through New Year's Day.
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins75% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 75%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
OPEC's[1] press release of the 41st ministerial on 7 June 2026 states that the 42nd OPEC and non-OPEC Ministerial Meeting is scheduled for 29 November 2026; Bernama's[2] August preview repeats the date.
OPEC+ ministers meet on 29 November 2026 for the group's twice-yearly ministerial, its second since the UAE left, with production levels agreed through December 2026 and maximum-capacity assessments due to set 2027 baselines.
Lusail International Circuit, Al Khor Coastal Road, Lusail, Al-Daayen, QatarFormula 1
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins77% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 77%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
Formula1.com[1]'s race page shows the race on 29 Nov at 16:00 in its time display, which matches the 19:00 Qatar start (16:00 UTC), and the Wikipedia[2] calendar lists round 22 on 29 November.
Round 22 of 23: the Qatar Grand Prix, a 57-lap night race at Lusail International Circuit, starts at 19:00 local time on Sunday 29 November 2026, the penultimate round before Abu Dhabi, with no sprint and the Paddock Club already sold out.
Parque Rizal, Ermita, Fifth District, Manila, Capital District, Metro Manila, 1000, PhilippinesSunrise Events
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins78% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 78%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
The Rock 'n' Roll Running Series lists Manila on 29 November 2026 and Philstar[2] (2 June 2026) announces the same date for the fifth edition.
The night run starts at Luneta Park on 29 November 2026 and passes the National Museum, Fort Santiago and Binondo before the Manila Bay strip, with marathon, half, 10K and 5K distances.
Ronald Reagan Building and International Trade Center, 1300 Pennsylvania Avenue Northwest, Washington, DC 20004, United StatesNVIDIA
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins82% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 82%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
NVIDIA's[1][2][4] GTC Washington, D.C. page states "November 30–December 3, 2026" ("Keynote Dec. 1 | Workshops Nov. 30") and "Tuesday, December 1 | 2 p.m. ET" for the keynote; its FAQ repeats the schedule.
NVIDIA's GTC returns to Washington from 30 November to 3 December 2026, centred on the Ronald Reagan Building, with Jensen Huang's keynote on 1 December at 2 p.m. ET.
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins75% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 75%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 1 reference, the source included, supports the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
WCPFC[1] meeting page, 23rd Regular Session of the Commission: 'Location: Port Vila, Vanuatu; Meeting Dates: Monday, November 30, 2026 - Saturday, December 5, 2026; Arrangements: Provisional'.
The Western and Central Pacific Fisheries Commission holds its 23rd annual session in Port Vila, Vanuatu, from 30 November to 5 December 2026, with a bigeye tuna management procedure and the 2027 IUU vessel list on the agenda.
ESTIMATEDDate confidence: ESTIMATEDA target, not a fixed dateHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all ESTIMATED pins65% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 65%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 3 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins from 50% to 74% confidence
This is a "by when" ladder with monthly rungs, not a scheduled event. November 2026 is the month the market prices highest (10% by November 1 rising to 23% by December 1, a 13-point month against 9 for October and 3 for December), and a month-only date takes its last day. The market gives the crossing only 26% before 2027 at all.[1]
Kalshi
Kalshi
On 20 September 2026 Kalshi’s "when will Bitcoin cross $100k again" ladder gave the whole of 2026 only a 26% chance, and the single likeliest month was November: the book jumped from 10% by November 1 to 23% by December 1. With BTC near $80,800 that was a 24% move traders mostly did not expect this year.
ESTIMATEDDate confidence: ESTIMATEDA target, not a fixed dateHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all ESTIMATED pins65% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 65%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 3 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins from 50% to 74% confidence
Estimated: On October 17, 2026, Polymarket[1] traders assigned 62.5% to an announcement by November 30, the first listed deadline above 50%, on US$229,217 reported event volume. This cumulative forecast dates the expected announcement approximately by that horizon; it predicts neither the exact day nor the later swearing-in or settlement time.
Polymarket
On October 17, Polymarket priced a replacement announcement by November 30 at 62.5%, versus 18.5% by October 31 and 82.5% by December 31, with US$229,217 traded. November 30 is an estimated timeline marker, not an official appointment date.
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins86% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 86%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
OpenAI's[1][2][4][5] own deprecation page, announced 2026-06-03, gives the shutdown date as 30 November 2026. A shutdown date is the vendor's commitment to developers and is occasionally pushed back, never brought forward.
OpenAI switches off Reusable prompts on 30 November 2026; requests to them stop working and callers have to move to the named replacements.
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins85% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 85%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
OpenAI's[1][3][4][5] own deprecation page, announced 2026-06-03, gives the shutdown date as 30 November 2026. A shutdown date is the vendor's commitment to developers and is occasionally pushed back, never brought forward.
OpenAI switches off Evals platform on 30 November 2026; requests to them stop working and callers have to move to the named replacements.
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins77% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 77%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
OpenAI's[1][3][5] own deprecation page, announced 2026-06-03, gives the shutdown date as 30 November 2026. A shutdown date is the vendor's commitment to developers and is occasionally pushed back, never brought forward.
OpenAI switches off Agent Builder on 30 November 2026; requests to them stop working and callers have to move to the named replacements.
Mahan Court, FDA White Oak Campus, White Oak, Montgomery County, Maryland, 20993, United StatesRoche
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins78% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 78%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
Roche's[1] release says "The FDA is expected to make a decision on the approval by 30 November 2026", the PDUFA goal date set under Priority Review.
The FDA is due to decide by 30 November 2026 whether to approve Roche's giredestrant, an oral SERD that cut the risk of recurrence or death by 30% versus standard hormone therapy in early ER-positive breast cancer.
Shangcheng District, Hangzhou City, Zhejiang, China
ESTIMATEDDate confidence: ESTIMATEDA target, not a fixed dateHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all ESTIMATED pins65% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 65%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins from 50% to 74% confidence
DeepSeek has announced nothing. On Polymarket’s[1] ladder for DeepSeek’s next Pro model, traders price a 20% chance by October 31 and 40% by November 30, 2026, on over $24,000 in volume. The pin takes the November 30 window.
Polymarket
Polymarket traders price a 40% chance that DeepSeek will release its next Pro model by November 30, 2026, on over $24,000 in volume.
ESTIMATEDDate confidence: ESTIMATEDA target, not a fixed dateHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all ESTIMATED pins65% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 65%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins from 50% to 74% confidence
Estimated: On 1 November 2026 Kalshi's[1][2][3][4] 20 November Brent strikes quoted Yes bid/ask of 50-51% above US$107.99, 45-46% above US$109.99 and 25-26% above US$117.99 a barrel. The contract settles to a single index reading on 30 November 2026 at 5:00 PM EST (22:00 UTC), not a monthly average. The book is thin: about 2,165 contracts traded, roughly US$700 when each strike's volume is multiplied by its last price.
Kalshi
Kalshi
Kalshi's November Brent contract resolves to the one-minute closing price on 30 November 2026 at 5:00 PM EST. On 1 November 2026 its 20-strike ladder put the 50% crossing near US$108 a barrel, on a very thin book.
Googleplex, 1600 Amphitheatre Parkway, Mountain View, California 94043, United States
ESTIMATEDDate confidence: ESTIMATEDA target, not a fixed dateHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all ESTIMATED pins65% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 65%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 1 reference, the source included, supports the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins from 50% to 74% confidence
Google has announced nothing. On Polymarket’s[1] ladder for Google’s next Gemini Flash-Lite model (version 3.6 or higher), the probability trades at 16% by October 31 and rises to 55.5% by November 30, 2026, putting the majority probability threshold at the end of November.
Polymarket
Polymarket traders price a 55.5% chance that Google will release its next Gemini Flash-Lite model (version 3.6 or higher) by November 30, 2026, up from 16% by October 31.
Discord, 444 De Haro Street, San Francisco, CADiscord
ESTIMATEDDate confidence: ESTIMATEDA target, not a fixed dateHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all ESTIMATED pins65% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 65%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 2 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins from 50% to 74% confidence
Estimated: this is a listing-date market, which is separate from the earlier IPO announcement. Polymarket[1][2] resolves Yes only once shares are listed and open for trading, so no strike reaches 50%, so the date is the start of the largest step, November 30 (2.4%) to December 31 (6%). Prices read on 27 October 2026 from the exchange's public API; event volume US$17,614 is as reported by Polymarket.
Polymarket
On 27 October 2026 Polymarket put Discord shares listed and open for trading by November 30 at 2.4%, on US$17,614 of event volume. No strike reaches even odds yet, so the date marks the biggest jump in the ladder, not a confident call.
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins76% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 76%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 3 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
ODFW: 'Targeted to open Dec. 1, Oregon's ocean commercial Dungeness crab season can be delayed or partially opened so consumers get a high-quality product and crabs are not wasted.'[1]
Oregon's ocean commercial Dungeness crab season is targeted to open on 1 December 2026, subject to pre-season meat-fill and biotoxin tests and to opening in step with Washington and California.
CONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins85% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 85%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 1 reference, the source included, supports the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
Downtown Tempe[1] lists Dec 4-6, 2026 and March 12-14, 2027, two separate runs.
Twice-yearly art festival on Mill Avenue, cash free.
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins76% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 76%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 3 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
The organiser's page gives "Ceremonia de premiación: Martes 1 de diciembre de 2026" and "Entrega de resultados: Martes 1 de diciembre de 2026".[1]
The 31st Catad'Or World Wine Awards, Latin America's largest wine competition by its own billing, holds blind tastings on 24-26 November and its ceremony on 1 December.
CONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins85% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 85%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 1 reference, the source included, supports the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
NPS[1] says whale watching season is roughly end of December through mid-March.
Point Loma overlook for spotting migrating gray whales offshore.
CONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins85% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 85%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 1 reference, the source included, supports the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
LAist[1] says whale watching typically runs December through May, peaking January to March.
Clifftop overlook where gray whales can be spotted on their migration along the coast, with a small museum on site. Boat cruises also leave from nearby harbors.
CONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins85% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 85%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 1 reference, the source included, supports the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
Groundbreaking date from VHB's[1] report; December 2026 is the developer's expected commissioning, so the end date is a target.
Flatiron Energy's Taft battery is a 200 MW, 800 MWh storage project on an industrial parcel in Uxbridge, Massachusetts. It broke ground on October 23, 2025 with full commissioning expected by December 2026.
CONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins88% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 88%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 2 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
The city page lists ice skating as the winter use of the Frog Pond; exact opening dates for 2026-27 were not posted.[1]
The city's public rink on Boston Common offers winter skating in the middle of downtown. The same pond is a spray pool in summer.
ESTIMATEDDate confidence: ESTIMATEDA target, not a fixed dateHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all ESTIMATED pins65% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 65%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 3 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins from 50% to 74% confidence
Estimated: a "by when" market with no scheduled event behind it. The largest step between consecutive strikes (taking the highest quote seen so far where a later strike is quoted lower) is Dec 1, 2026 (2%) to Jan 1, 2027 (3%), so the window opens on Dec 1, 2026. Quotes are bid/ask midpoints read on 27 October 2026; some strikes are quoted out of order, so the ladder is not strictly rising. Estimated contract-count-times-last-price volume across active strikes is about US$198 (3,374 contracts); this is not reported cash turnover.[1]
Kalshi
On 27 October 2026 Kalshi put an official Cluely IPO confirmation at 2% before Nov 1, 2026, rising to 3% before Jun 1, 2027. The largest step in the ladder runs from Dec 1, 2026 to Jan 1, 2027 (2% to 3%), so that window is the market's most likely stretch; it is a bet on timing, not a listing date.
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins84% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 84%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
OpenAI's[1][3][5] own deprecation page, announced 2026-06-02, gives the shutdown date as 1 December 2026. A shutdown date is the vendor's commitment to developers and is occasionally pushed back, never brought forward.
OpenAI removes gpt-image-1-mini, gpt-image-1.5 and chatgpt-image-latest from its API on 1 December 2026; its current deprecation table points callers to the gpt-image-2.5 models (sunburst or flare).
